TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Mateusz Karpiuk vs Cezary Pawlik 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesBLW · Blachownia
Played Oct 11Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
11131214811––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
69 points played in total.
Set by set
11131214811––––
H2H Mateusz Karpiuk 0–1 Cezary Pawlik Mateusz Karpiuk has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Pawlik beat Karpiuk 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Karpiuk form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKarpiuk 2.50 / Pawlik 1.45
TT Elite Series · #13277520
Karpiuk2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 72 of 180
Down 0–1, comes back23% 23 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 53
Pawlik1.45
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 137 of 203
Up 2–0, closes it94% 84 of 89
Up 1–0, closes it81% 107 of 133
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKarpiuk0wins
AwayPawlik1wins
Pawlik leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricKarpiukPawlikK − PBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match16.033.0−17.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKarpiukPawlikBasisWin rate · lifetime160 / 350 vs 335 / 56745.7%59.1%160 / 350 vs 335 / 567Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PawlikKarpiuk 2.50/Pawlik 1.45
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
0–3
Pawlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LOct 10 · 19:10M. Karpiuk168530C. Pawlik331111113
M. Karpiuk10
LOct 11 · 00:00M. Karpiuk1.9051111762J. Skorupa1.80119911113WOct 10 · 22:25M. Karpiuk2.8511811113J. Oracz1.36911891LOct 10 · 21:10M. Karpiuk2.257149121O. Jedrzejowski1.57111211143LOct 10 · 20:00J. Oracz1.321113113M. Karpiuk3.0041180LOct 10 · 19:10C. Pawlik1.491111113M. Karpiuk2.458530LOct 10 · 18:25M. Karpiuk1.9096111192G. Mucha1.75111178113WOct 10 · 16:50M. Karpiuk2.30111179113O. Jedrzejowski1.5587111182LOct 10 · 16:00J. Skorupa1.88111215113M. Karpiuk1.825101771LOct 4 · 02:10D. Maszczynski3.25111316113M. Karpiuk1.33511111162WOct 4 · 01:25A. Fomin1.838111491M. Karpiuk1.8311616113
C. Pawlik10
LOct 11 · 00:25C. Pawlik2.30471151G. Mucha1.5511116113WOct 10 · 22:50C. Pawlik1.801111123O. Jedrzejowski1.9086100WOct 10 · 22:00J. Skorupa3.601211771C. Pawlik1.26101311113LOct 10 · 20:45C. Pawlik1.50122111152G. Mucha2.351011713113WOct 10 · 19:10C. Pawlik1.491111113M. Karpiuk2.458530WOct 10 · 18:00C. Pawlik1.531111113J. Skorupa2.385790LOct 10 · 16:25C. Pawlik2.00119971J. Oracz1.7191111113WOct 10 · 15:10C. Pawlik1.801151011113O. Jedrzejowski1.9061112492LOct 10 · 02:00J. Oracz1.77111111113C. Pawlik1.93713691LOct 10 · 01:10M. Krutak2.1011411113C. Pawlik1.65911471
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