TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Daniel Vojna vs Daniel Zelezny 3-2 · TT Cup
TT CupCzech 6 · Prague
Played Oct 10Finished
Daniel Vojna
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1171191012711115
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:18 and never touched: 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeDaniel Zelezny to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDaniel Vojna above · Daniel Zelezny below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 94 set 5, 11-5 · our read held Daniel Zelezny at 59.3%
94 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Vojna 3–4 Daniel Zelezny Daniel Vojna has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:1859.3%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571
short by 4.4pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Zelezny
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vojna 1359 vs Zelezny 1631
Zelezny
Wrong
both rated, 272 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vojna 40% vs Zelezny 80%
Zelezny
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vojna 30% vs Zelezny 70%
Zelezny
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vojna +1 · Zelezny +3
Zelezny
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% · Slight lean (leans Zelezny) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zelezny form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVojna 2.25 / Zelezny 1.571
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Zelezny)-4.4pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13273899
Vojna2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog38% won 12 of 32
Down 0–1, comes back19% 3 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Zelezny1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 38 of 64
Up 2–0, closes it80% 12 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it75% 24 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeVojna3wins
AwayZelezny4wins
1 of 7 to a deciderZelezny leads 4–3, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVojna50%2 of 4
AwayZelezny66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vojna4Zelezny3n = 7Vojna took 4 of 7
S2Vojna2Zelezny5n = 7Zelezny took 5 of 7
S3Vojna4Zelezny3n = 7Vojna took 4 of 7
S4Vojna3Zelezny2n = 5Vojna took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricVojnaZeleznyV − ZBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match35.035.00.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVojnaZeleznyBasisWin rate · lifetime211 / 478 vs 130 / 23544.1%55.3%211 / 478 vs 130 / 235Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.240.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ZeleznyVojna 2.25/Zelezny 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Zelezny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vojna won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WMay 24 · 18:30D. Vojna3851111113D. Zelezny33116881
WMay 24 · 17:25D. Vojna3911511123D. Zelezny324117101
LMay 19 · 17:25D. Vojna33117781D. Zelezny4291111113
LMay 19 · 16:50D. Vojna35118791D. Zelezny3851111113
WApr 13 · 18:50D. Vojna331111113D. Zelezny228770
LApr 6 · 17:25D. Vojna4368111172D. Zelezny42111154113
LApr 6 · 16:20D. Vojna2441280D. Zelezny361114113
D. Vojna10
WOct 10 · 18:00D. Vojna1.25111111113L. Rek3.75813731WOct 10 · 15:55L. Rek1.739490D. Vojna2.001111113LOct 10 · 15:25A. Brandtl Jr1.8311118113D. Vojna1.83551171LOct 7 · 13:20D. Vojna1.73711913102T. Cerveny Jr2.001151111123LOct 7 · 12:50D. Vojna2.2511650F. Dvorak1.571311113WOct 7 · 11:20T. Cerveny Jr1.739590D. Vojna2.001111113LOct 7 · 10:50T. Rein1.5011911113D. Vojna2.50211951LSep 24 · 13:24D. Vojna1.80811121252P. Vodal1.911191014113LSep 24 · 12:50D. Vojna2.206101171B. Budik1.5811127113WSep 24 · 11:20P. Vodal1.8316117882D. Vojna1.831491111113
D. Zelezny10
LOct 10 · 18:29D. Zelezny1.4061161182A. Brandtl Jr2.75114117113WOct 10 · 16:25D. Zelezny1.2811711113A. Brandtl Jr3.50811791WOct 10 · 14:55L. Rek3.008890D. Zelezny1.361111113WOct 5 · 22:05J. Dohnal1.8099100D. Zelezny1.901111123LOct 5 · 20:50D. Zelezny2.0010111111122J. Dohnal1.73125139143WOct 5 · 19:20T. Rein2.754620D. Zelezny1.401111113WOct 5 · 18:50J. Cousin2.6311115101D. Zelezny1.4413711123LOct 3 · 18:35D. Zelezny1.3271171172J. Cousin3.00115114113LOct 3 · 17:25D. Zelezny1.2515117982A. Brandtl Jr3.751381111113WOct 3 · 15:55J. Cousin3.0084100D. Zelezny1.361111123
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