TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jacek Wieczerzak vs Grzegorz Sawicki 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesOSP 1 · Czestochowa
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119116118––––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:46 and never touched: 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timeJacek Wieczerzak to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingJacek Wieczerzak above · Grzegorz Sawicki below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 56 set 3, 11-8 · our read held Jacek Wieczerzak at 67.3%
56 points played in total.
H2H Jacek Wieczerzak 1–2 Grzegorz Sawicki Jacek Wieczerzak has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:4667.3%Our read69.3%to break even at 1.444
short by 2.0pp69.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.444 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Wieczerzak
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wieczerzak 1434 vs Sawicki 1223
Wieczerzak
Correct
both rated, 212 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wieczerzak 40% vs Sawicki 20%
Wieczerzak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wieczerzak 50% vs Sawicki 20%
Wieczerzak
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wieczerzak -1 · Sawicki -4
Sawicki
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% · Clear lean (leans Wieczerzak) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sawicki form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWieczerzak 1.444 / Sawicki 2.625
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Wieczerzak)-2.0pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13268842
Wieczerzak1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 13 days ago (Sep 27) · back after a break
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 81 of 142
Up 2–0, closes it94% 45 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it77% 62 of 81
Sawicki2.63
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 130 of 377
Down 0–1, comes back20% 48 of 245
Down 0–2, comes back8% 13 of 156
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeWieczerzak1wins
AwaySawicki2wins
Sawicki leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWieczerzakn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwaySawicki66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wieczerzak0Sawicki3n = 3Sawicki took 3 of 3
S2Wieczerzak1Sawicki2n = 3Sawicki took 2 of 3
S3Wieczerzak2Sawicki1n = 3Wieczerzak took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricWieczerzakSawickiW − SBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match32.738.0−5.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWieczerzakSawickiBasisWin rate · lifetime156 / 293 vs 368 / 94253.2%39.1%156 / 293 vs 368 / 942Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.236.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
WieczerzakWieczerzak 1.44/Sawicki 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.3%
Wieczerzak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Wieczerzak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 5 · 03:50J. Wieczerzak4381113113G. Sawicki401191191
LJul 18 · 07:45J. Wieczerzak229760G. Sawicki331111113
LJul 4 · 08:10J. Wieczerzak33761191G. Sawicki4111118113
J. Wieczerzak10
LSep 27 · 14:20J. Wieczerzak2.0087110W. Wojtaszczyk1.731111133WSep 27 · 12:40A. Cichocki1.676950J. Wieczerzak2.101111113LSep 27 · 11:50P. Polok1.80811118123J. Wieczerzak1.91119611102WSep 27 · 11:00J. Wieczerzak1.9191111113S. Szostok1.80118811LSep 27 · 09:50J. Wieczerzak1.361041171Z. Sobkow3.0012116113LSep 27 · 08:10J. Wieczerzak2.209117111W. Wojtaszczyk1.6111511133WSep 27 · 06:30A. Cichocki1.671191151J. Wieczerzak2.1013117113WSep 27 · 05:40Z. Sobkow2.386560J. Wieczerzak1.531111113WSep 27 · 04:55J. Wieczerzak1.9111115113S. Szostok1.80751161LSep 27 · 03:50J. Wieczerzak1.8312180P. Polok1.831411113
G. Sawicki10
WOct 10 · 04:30G. Sawicki3.0011114113W. Wojtaszczyk1.36761191LOct 10 · 02:35G. Sawicki1.53111191042M. Cesarz2.38891112113LOct 10 · 01:00G. Sawicki2.757890K. Juszczyk1.401111113LOct 9 · 23:45G. Sawicki4.331081251O. Jadach1.20121110113LOct 9 · 22:10G. Sawicki2.7579130K. Schaniel1.401111153WOct 9 · 21:00G. Sawicki1.5311129113R. Adach2.384101191LOct 5 · 02:00G. Sawicki2.009121091M. Adamus1.73111012113LOct 5 · 00:45G. Sawicki2.005111291M. Sikon1.73111310113LOct 4 · 23:35G. Sawicki2.15281391A. Ruszkiewicz1.60111111113WOct 4 · 22:25M. Guzik—811781G. Sawicki—11611113
Upcoming Matches
J. Wieczerzak
Oct 10 · 05:40J. Wieczerzak1.36Z. Sobkow3.00—Oct 10 · 06:30J. Wieczerzak1.91M. Lach1.80—Oct 10 · 08:10J. Wieczerzak2.25W. Wojtaszczyk1.57—Oct 10 · 09:00J. Wieczerzak2.25W. Wojtaszczyk1.57—Oct 10 · 10:10J. Wieczerzak1.83M. Lach1.83—Oct 10 · 11:50J. Wieczerzak1.13I. Szymanski5.50—Oct 10 · 13:05J. Wieczerzak1.36Z. Sobkow3.00—Oct 10 · 14:40J. Wieczerzak1.83S. Szostok1.83—
G. Sawicki
Oct 10 · 06:05G. Sawicki3.40S. Szostok1.30—Oct 10 · 06:55G. Sawicki2.63Z. Sobkow1.44—Oct 10 · 07:45G. Sawicki2.63M. Lach1.44—Oct 10 · 17:30G. Sawicki—R. Wiza——Oct 10 · 19:10G. Sawicki—M. Sikon——Oct 10 · 19:55G. Sawicki—R. Szymik——Oct 10 · 21:55G. Sawicki—O. Jadach——Oct 10 · 22:40G. Sawicki—K. Juszczyk——Oct 10 · 23:30G. Sawicki—M. Sikon——Oct 11 · 01:10G. Sawicki—R. Wiza——
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