TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vadim Shvidkiy vs Yevhenii Holoborodko 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 8Finished
Vadim Shvidkiy
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
118114911511911
Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:37 and never touched: 61.8% is still 61.8%
Graded at full timeVadim Shvidkiy to win
61.8%
61.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVadim Shvidkiy above · Yevhenii Holoborodko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 90 set 5, 9-11 · our read held Vadim Shvidkiy at 61.8%
90 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:3761.8%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571
short by 1.9pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Shvidkiy
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Shvidkiy 40% vs Holoborodko 20%
Shvidkiy
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shvidkiy 50% vs Holoborodko 10%
Shvidkiy
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Shvidkiy +1 · Holoborodko -3
Holoborodko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% · Slight lean (leans Shvidkiy) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holoborodko form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShvidkiy 1.571 / Holoborodko 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Shvidkiy)-1.9pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13260902
Shvidkiy1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Holoborodko2.25
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog37% won 76 of 205
Down 0–1, comes back22% 28 of 125
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricShvidkiyHoloborodkoBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 10 vs 351 / 69250%50.7%5 / 10 vs 351 / 692Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
ShvidkiyShvidkiy 1.57/Holoborodko 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.8%
Shvidkiy · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Holoborodko won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
V. Shvidkiy10
WOct 8 · 15:40V. Merzlikin1.91911651V. Shvidkiy1.8011911113LOct 8 · 13:40O. Kuzyshyn1.831111123V. Shvidkiy1.8375100WOct 8 · 12:38V. Shvidkiy2.381291213113A. Zozulia1.531411101182LFeb 20 · 19:30V. Sidorenko—118117113V. Shvidkiy—41141182LFeb 20 · 18:20A. Zaitsev—611111103V. Shvidkiy—1194801WFeb 20 · 17:10A. Yaroshenko—1199401V. Shvidkiy—611111103WFeb 20 · 15:25A. Zaitsev—11108601V. Shvidkiy—612111103WFeb 20 · 14:15V. Sidorenko—111011401V. Shvidkiy—512131103LFeb 20 · 13:40V. Shvidkiy—12118901A. Yaroshenko—149111103LFeb 13 · 18:20A. Scherinskiy—911118113V. Shvidkiy—11971142
Y. Holoborodko10
LOct 8 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko2.503920A. Zozulia1.501111113LOct 8 · 14:10A. Droshchynskyi1.331111113Y. Holoborodko3.254650LOct 8 · 12:10O. Kuzyshyn1.36118119113Y. Holoborodko3.0081191192WOct 8 · 11:10V. Merzlikin1.83591161Y. Holoborodko1.8311116113LOct 7 · 17:40A. Zozulia1.441111511113Y. Holoborodko2.6377111342LOct 7 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko1.614990V. Ishchuk2.201111113LOct 7 · 14:10O. Zhyrnov1.4011117113Y. Holoborodko2.75731181LOct 7 · 12:10O. Kuzyshyn1.40111211123Y. Holoborodko2.755143101LOct 7 · 11:10V. Maksuta1.441111113Y. Holoborodko2.632660LOct 4 · 11:00O. Kuzyshyn1.441111113Y. Holoborodko2.635670
Upcoming Matches
V. Shvidkiy
Nothing scheduled
Y. Holoborodko
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