TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Martin Cerny vs David Vesecky 3-0 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 7Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119119119––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingMartin Cerny above · David Vesecky below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 60 set 3, 11-9
60 points played in total.
H2H Martin Cerny 80–56 David Vesecky David Vesecky has won 56 of their 136 meetings.
They have already met 2 times today · last one 1h before this match
Cerny beat Vesecky 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vesecky form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCerny 1.571 / Vesecky 2.25
TT Cup · #13260771
Cerny1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 169 of 254
Up 2–0, closes it96% 86 of 90
Up 1–0, closes it84% 122 of 145
Vesecky2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 60 of 140
Down 0–1, comes back25% 19 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCerny8wins
AwayVesecky2wins
6 of 10 to a deciderCerny leads 8–2, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCerny100%6 of 6
AwayVesecky50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cerny6Vesecky4n = 10Cerny took 6 of 10
S2Cerny6Vesecky4n = 10Cerny took 6 of 10
S3Cerny4Vesecky6n = 10Vesecky took 6 of 10
S4Cerny5Vesecky3n = 8Cerny took 5 of 8
S5Cerny5Vesecky1n = 6Cerny took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricCernyVeseckyC − VBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.237.3+5.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCernyVeseckyBasisWin rate · lifetime509 / 877 vs 350 / 64658%54.2%509 / 877 vs 350 / 646Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
CernyCerny 1.57/Vesecky 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–0
Cerny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 7 · 10:55M. Cerny5510111013112D. Vesecky541261211133
WOct 4 · 18:10M. Cerny4311114173D. Vesecky386611151
WOct 4 · 17:25M. Cerny50118119113D. Vesecky3021111152
LOct 2 · 13:25M. Cerny188640D. Vesecky331111113
WOct 1 · 12:25M. Cerny47116811113D. Vesecky3971111462
WOct 1 · 06:55M. Cerny44111111113D. Vesecky34713771
WSep 25 · 07:25M. Cerny48511812123D. Vesecky461141110102
WSep 23 · 18:35M. Cerny45411118113D. Vesecky4211761172
WSep 23 · 14:55M. Cerny49111188113D. Vesecky3784111132
WSep 23 · 11:25M. Cerny331111113D. Vesecky206950
M. Cerny10
WOct 7 · 17:25M. Cerny1.5712411113D. Vesecky2.251011871LOct 7 · 15:55T. Flicek1.801111143M. Cerny1.9169120LOct 7 · 15:25M. Stusek2.00111194113M. Cerny1.7369111182WOct 7 · 13:54M. Cerny1.671111113V. Nadvornik2.103460WOct 7 · 13:25V. Nadvornik2.2532110M. Cerny1.571111133LOct 7 · 12:25M. Cerny1.80113891D. Bochnak1.9171111113LOct 7 · 10:55D. Vesecky2.101261211133M. Cerny1.6710111013112LOct 6 · 22:05P. Vanek1.8011116113M. Cerny1.91941171WOct 6 · 21:25M. Cerny3.0011711113O. Kadavy1.36711881LOct 6 · 19:55P. Vanek2.10111211113M. Cerny1.67414961
D. Vesecky10
LOct 7 · 17:25M. Cerny1.5712411113D. Vesecky2.251011871LOct 7 · 16:25D. Vesecky2.257660M. Stusek1.571111113LOct 7 · 14:55T. Flicek1.80911911113D. Vesecky1.9111811962LOct 7 · 14:23D. Bochnak1.501115113D. Vesecky2.5091360LOct 7 · 12:55D. Vesecky2.38611581D. Bochnak1.5311911113WOct 7 · 11:55D. Vesecky1.731511113V. Nadvornik2.0013950WOct 7 · 10:55D. Vesecky2.101261211133M. Cerny1.6710111013112LOct 4 · 18:10D. Vesecky1.906611151M. Cerny1.8011114173LOct 4 · 17:25M. Cerny3.00118119113D. Vesecky1.3621111152LOct 4 · 16:25D. Vesecky2.633711101D. Bochnak1.4411117123
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