TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Radomir Revay vs Jan Szotkowski 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
211311511––––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:28 and never touched: 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeJan Szotkowski to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingRadomir Revay above · Jan Szotkowski below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 43 set 3, 5-11 · our read held Jan Szotkowski at 54.1%
43 points played in total.
H2H Radomir Revay 21–25 Jan Szotkowski Radomir Revay has won 21 of their 46 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:2854.1%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 3.8pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Szotkowski
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
21-25 in 46
Szotkowski
Correct
gap of 4 in 46, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Revay 1823 vs Szotkowski 1839
Szotkowski
Correct
both rated, 16 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Revay 40% vs Szotkowski 20%
Revay
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Revay 40% vs Szotkowski 20%
Revay
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Revay -2 · Szotkowski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Szotkowski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szotkowski form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRevay 2.00 / Szotkowski 1.727
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Szotkowski)-3.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13259049
Revay2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog49% won 114 of 231
Down 0–1, comes back32% 40 of 126
Down 0–2, comes back15% 9 of 60
Szotkowski1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 145 of 269
Up 2–0, closes it93% 77 of 83
Up 1–0, closes it76% 117 of 155
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRevay6wins
AwaySzotkowski4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderRevay leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRevayn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySzotkowski50%4 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Revay2Szotkowski8n = 10Szotkowski took 8 of 10
S2Revay4Szotkowski6n = 10Szotkowski took 6 of 10
S3Revay7Szotkowski3n = 10Revay took 7 of 10
S4Revay7Szotkowski0n = 7Revay took 7 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home660%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricRevaySzotkowskiR − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match35.236.0−0.8per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRevaySzotkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime332 / 637 vs 437 / 83852.1%52.2%332 / 637 vs 437 / 838Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.740.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SzotkowskiRevay 2.00/Szotkowski 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Szotkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Szotkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 28 · 06:30R. Revay4291111113J. Szotkowski35119691
LSep 24 · 12:00R. Revay49781111122J. Szotkowski52111179143
WSep 21 · 12:00R. Revay4211812113J. Szotkowski399111091
LSep 3 · 08:30R. Revay228590J. Szotkowski331111113
LAug 31 · 20:30R. Revay187290J. Szotkowski331111113
WAug 31 · 16:00R. Revay4291111113J. Szotkowski30117481
LAug 27 · 11:30R. Revay123360J. Szotkowski331111113
WAug 14 · 09:00R. Revay4071111113J. Szotkowski36119791
WAug 14 · 06:30R. Revay4181111113J. Szotkowski33118591
WAug 10 · 11:30R. Revay4411911133J. Szotkowski369115111
R. Revay10
WOct 8 · 13:00T. Zika1.536480R. Revay2.381111113LOct 8 · 11:00R. Revay1.80513471T. Zika1.91111111113LOct 8 · 10:00M. Sedlacek1.671112113R. Revay2.1061090WOct 7 · 20:58D. Opanasiuk1.4484111452R. Revay2.631111612113WOct 7 · 20:30O. Paril1.8091111452R. Revay1.91115911113LOct 7 · 19:30R. Revay3.006119121R. Niezgoda1.3611411143LOct 7 · 18:30D. Opanasiuk1.671111113R. Revay2.107870WOct 5 · 21:00R. Revay1.73118312113T. Dousek2.00611111082LOct 5 · 20:30R. Revay1.91119100T. Zika1.801311123WOct 5 · 19:00R. Revay1.7381111123T. Dousek2.001198101
J. Szotkowski10
WOct 8 · 11:30J. Szotkowski1.9114126113M. Sedlacek1.8012101161LOct 8 · 10:30T. Zika2.101111123J. Szotkowski1.6798100LOct 6 · 17:03O. Paril2.381091111113J. Szotkowski1.5312114592LOct 6 · 16:30M. Biolek1.831141110113J. Szotkowski1.8381151272LOct 6 · 15:30J. Szotkowski1.61131181252O. Paril2.201591110113LOct 6 · 14:30T. Zika2.1011111010113J. Szotkowski1.6758121272LOct 6 · 12:58J. Szotkowski1.5081250R. Polasek2.501114113LOct 6 · 12:00M. Sedlacek1.83117911113J. Szotkowski1.8351111762WOct 6 · 11:00R. Polasek2.255580J. Szotkowski1.571111113LOct 6 · 10:30J. Szotkowski1.67611111092T. Zika2.10114812113
Upcoming Matches
R. Revay
J. Szotkowski
Oct 8 · 13:30J. Szotkowski2.00M. Sedlacek1.73—Oct 8 · 14:30J. Szotkowski1.57T. Zika2.25—Oct 8 · 15:00J. Szotkowski2.10J. Dzida1.67—Oct 8 · 16:00J. Szotkowski1.80M. Biolek1.91—Oct 9 · 10:30J. Szotkowski1.65R. Revay2.10—Oct 9 · 11:00J. Szotkowski1.73O. Paril2.00—Oct 9 · 12:00J. Szotkowski2.10J. Dzida1.67—
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