TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jaromir Zlamal vs Tomas Vorisek 3-1 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 7Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116118911118––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:52 and never touched: 59.8% is still 59.8%
Graded at full timeJaromir Zlamal to win
59.8%
59.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
RightSent to Pro: Jaromir Zlamal @ 1.67 · Won
How it is goingJaromir Zlamal above · Tomas Vorisek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 75 set 4, 11-8 · our read held Jaromir Zlamal at 59.8%
75 points played in total.
H2H Jaromir Zlamal 119–60 Tomas Vorisek Tomas Vorisek has won 60 of their 179 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:5259.8%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50
short by 6.9pp66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Zlamal
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
119-60 in 179
Zlamal
Correct
gap of 59 in 179, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zlamal 1871 vs Vorisek 1736
Zlamal
Correct
both rated, 135 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zlamal 40% vs Vorisek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zlamal 70% vs Vorisek 50%
Zlamal
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zlamal -3 · Vorisek -2
Zlamal
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 60% · Slight lean (leans Zlamal) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zlamal form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZlamal 1.50 / Vorisek 2.50
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Zlamal)-6.9pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13258316
Zlamal1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 89 of 136
Up 2–0, closes it98% 49 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it91% 67 of 74
Vorisek2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 60 of 134
Down 0–1, comes back24% 17 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZlamal8wins
AwayVorisek2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZlamal leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZlamal83.3%5 of 6
AwayVorisek25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zlamal6Vorisek4n = 10Zlamal took 6 of 10
S2Zlamal7Vorisek3n = 10Zlamal took 7 of 10
S3Zlamal6Vorisek4n = 10Zlamal took 6 of 10
S4Zlamal4Vorisek2n = 6Zlamal took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZlamalVorisekZ − VBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.732.4+5.3per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZlamalVorisekBasisWin rate · lifetime210 / 332 vs 402 / 79063.3%50.9%210 / 332 vs 402 / 790Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ZlamalZlamal 1.50/Vorisek 2.50
Hit
What we said
59.8%
Zlamal · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Jaromir Zlamal @ 1.67 · Won
What happened
3–1
Zlamal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 1 · 21:55J. Zlamal2151060T. Vorisek341112113
WOct 1 · 19:50J. Zlamal47512811113T. Vorisek42111011642
WSep 28 · 21:55J. Zlamal331111113T. Vorisek207760
WSep 28 · 18:20J. Zlamal51913116123T. Vorisek471111411102
WSep 27 · 21:53J. Zlamal3812411113T. Vorisek351011861
WSep 27 · 20:20J. Zlamal3811115113T. Vorisek27351181
LSep 22 · 21:25J. Zlamal3811111061T. Vorisek4481312113
WSep 21 · 22:30J. Zlamal4391211113T. Vorisek331110661
WSep 21 · 21:25J. Zlamal331111113T. Vorisek188460
WSep 17 · 22:38J. Zlamal351212113T. Vorisek24101040
J. Zlamal10
WOct 7 · 22:00J. Zlamal1.5711119113T. Vorisek2.25841181LOct 7 · 19:55F. Cernota2.1051111113J. Zlamal1.67119891LOct 7 · 19:25M. Stusek2.751111811123J. Zlamal1.40813113102LOct 1 · 21:55J. Zlamal1.6351060T. Vorisek2.151112113WOct 1 · 20:20M. Stusek2.7561141152J. Zlamal1.40116118113WOct 1 · 19:50T. Vorisek2.20111011642J. Zlamal1.61512811113WOct 1 · 18:50J. Zlamal1.671111123F. Cernota2.1078100WSep 28 · 21:55J. Zlamal1.611111113T. Vorisek2.207760WSep 28 · 20:50F. Strejc2.75511841J. Zlamal1.4011311113WSep 28 · 19:50J. Zlamal1.441212113M. Stusek2.63101060
T. Vorisek10
LOct 7 · 22:00J. Zlamal1.5711119113T. Vorisek2.25841181LOct 7 · 20:25T. Vorisek1.8371111862M. Stusek1.83115411113LOct 7 · 18:55F. Cernota1.571111113T. Vorisek2.259980WOct 1 · 21:55J. Zlamal1.6351060T. Vorisek2.151112113WOct 1 · 20:50F. Cernota1.67511561T. Vorisek2.1011911113LOct 1 · 19:50T. Vorisek2.20111011642J. Zlamal1.61512811113WOct 1 · 18:20M. Stusek1.83119871T. Vorisek1.8351111113LSep 28 · 21:55J. Zlamal1.611111113T. Vorisek2.207760WSep 28 · 20:20T. Vorisek1.8311117113M. Stusek1.83581151WSep 28 · 19:20T. Vorisek1.61991111113F. Strejc2.2011116472
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.