TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Tomas Vorisek vs Jaromir Zlamal 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1151012118611411
Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:04 and never touched: 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeJaromir Zlamal to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
RightSent to Pro: Jaromir Zlamal @ 1.61 · Won
How it is goingTomas Vorisek above · Jaromir Zlamal below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 89 set 5, 4-11 · our read held Jaromir Zlamal at 61.7%
89 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Vorisek 59–118 Jaromir Zlamal Tomas Vorisek has won 59 of their 177 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 09:0461.7%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615
short by 0.2pp61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)
What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Zlamal
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
59-118 in 177
Zlamal
Correct
gap of 59 in 177, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vorisek 1736 vs Zlamal 1917
Zlamal
Correct
both rated, 182 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vorisek 60% vs Zlamal 100%
Zlamal
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vorisek 60% vs Zlamal 90%
Zlamal
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vorisek +1 · Zlamal +7
Zlamal
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 62% · Slight lean (leans Zlamal) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zlamal form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVorisek 2.20 / Zlamal 1.615
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Zlamal)-0.2pp
TT Cup · #13226913
Vorisek2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 61 of 138
Down 0–1, comes back23% 17 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 45
Zlamal1.61
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 7
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite64% won 90 of 140
Up 2–0, closes it98% 51 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it90% 68 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVorisek1wins
AwayZlamal9wins
1 of 10 to a deciderZlamal leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVorisekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayZlamal87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vorisek2Zlamal8n = 10Zlamal took 8 of 10
S2Vorisek2Zlamal8n = 10Zlamal took 8 of 10
S3Vorisek3Zlamal7n = 10Zlamal took 7 of 10
S4Vorisek2Zlamal4n = 6Zlamal took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricVorisekZlamalV − ZBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match30.338.4−8.1per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVorisekZlamalBasisWin rate · lifetime405 / 793 vs 210 / 33151.1%63.4%405 / 793 vs 210 / 331Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ZlamalVorisek 2.20/Zlamal 1.61
Hit
What we said
61.7%
Zlamal · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Jaromir Zlamal @ 1.61 · Won
What happened
2–3
Zlamal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 28 · 21:55T. Vorisek207760J. Zlamal331111113
LSep 28 · 18:20T. Vorisek471111411102J. Zlamal51913116123
LSep 27 · 21:53T. Vorisek351011861J. Zlamal3812411113
LSep 27 · 20:20T. Vorisek27351181J. Zlamal3811115113
WSep 22 · 21:25T. Vorisek4481312113J. Zlamal3811111061
LSep 21 · 22:30T. Vorisek331110661J. Zlamal4391211113
LSep 21 · 21:25T. Vorisek188460J. Zlamal331111113
LSep 17 · 22:38T. Vorisek24101040J. Zlamal351212113
LSep 17 · 19:55T. Vorisek32961161J. Zlamal4211119113
LSep 15 · 21:25T. Vorisek239860J. Zlamal331111113
T. Vorisek10
WOct 1 · 20:50F. Cernota1.67511561T. Vorisek2.1011911113WOct 1 · 18:20M. Stusek1.83119871T. Vorisek1.8351111113LSep 28 · 21:55J. Zlamal1.611111113T. Vorisek2.207760WSep 28 · 20:20T. Vorisek1.8311117113M. Stusek1.83581151WSep 28 · 19:20T. Vorisek1.61991111113F. Strejc2.2011116472LSep 28 · 18:20T. Vorisek2.201111411102J. Zlamal1.61913116123LSep 27 · 21:53J. Zlamal1.6112411113T. Vorisek2.201011861LSep 27 · 20:20J. Zlamal1.5311115113T. Vorisek2.38351181WSep 27 · 19:50M. Stusek2.005580T. Vorisek1.731111113WSep 27 · 18:50T. Vorisek1.831213153D. Jicha1.831011130
J. Zlamal10
WOct 1 · 20:20M. Stusek2.7561141152J. Zlamal1.40116118113WOct 1 · 18:50J. Zlamal1.671111123F. Cernota2.1078100WSep 28 · 21:55J. Zlamal1.611111113T. Vorisek2.207760WSep 28 · 20:50F. Strejc2.75511841J. Zlamal1.4011311113WSep 28 · 19:50J. Zlamal1.441212113M. Stusek2.63101060WSep 28 · 18:20T. Vorisek2.201111411102J. Zlamal1.61913116123WSep 27 · 21:53J. Zlamal1.6112411113T. Vorisek2.201011861WSep 27 · 20:20J. Zlamal1.5311115113T. Vorisek2.38351181LSep 27 · 19:20J. Zlamal1.579850D. Jicha2.251111113WSep 27 · 18:20J. Zlamal1.501112113M. Stusek2.5041080
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