TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Roman Konkulovskyi vs Oleksii Rodin 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 7Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911911811––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:39 and never touched: 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timeRoman Konkulovskyi to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRoman Konkulovskyi above · Oleksii Rodin below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 59 set 3, 8-11 · our read held Roman Konkulovskyi at 64.1%
59 points played in total.
H2H Roman Konkulovskyi 6–0 Oleksii Rodin Oleksii Rodin has won 0 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:3964.1%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50
short by 2.6pp66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Konkulovskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
6-0 in 6
Konkulovskyi
Wrong
gap of 6 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Konkulovskyi 1693 vs Rodin 1673
Konkulovskyi
Wrong
both rated, 19 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Konkulovskyi 60% vs Rodin 40%
Konkulovskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Konkulovskyi 70% vs Rodin 30%
Konkulovskyi
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Konkulovskyi +2 · Rodin +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% · Clear lean (leans Konkulovskyi) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKonkulovskyi 1.50 / Rodin 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Konkulovskyi)-2.6pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13255656
Konkulovskyi1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 06)
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 80 of 130
Up 2–0, closes it97% 33 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it83% 55 of 66
Rodin2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 06)
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog49% won 42 of 85
Down 0–1, comes back19% 7 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeKonkulovskyi6wins
AwayRodin0wins
Konkulovskyi leads 6–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKonkulovskyi100%5 of 5
AwayRodinn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Konkulovskyi5Rodin1n = 6Konkulovskyi took 5 of 6
S2Konkulovskyi2Rodin4n = 6Rodin took 4 of 6
S3Konkulovskyi6Rodin0n = 6Konkulovskyi took 6 of 6
S4Konkulovskyi5Rodin0n = 5Konkulovskyi took 5 of 5
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home583%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricKonkulovskyiRodinK − RBasisWins60+6in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match40.232.5+7.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKonkulovskyiRodinBasisWin rate · lifetime367 / 742 vs 213 / 37049.5%57.6%367 / 742 vs 213 / 370Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.738.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KonkulovskyiKonkulovskyi 1.50/Rodin 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.1%
Konkulovskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Rodin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WOct 6 · 01:15R. Konkulovskyi4511911143O. Rodin399117121
WOct 5 · 00:15R. Konkulovskyi4011711113O. Rodin31911831
WSep 29 · 23:00R. Konkulovskyi4211911113O. Rodin33511891
WSep 28 · 21:15R. Konkulovskyi331111113O. Rodin198470
WSep 21 · 20:45R. Konkulovskyi4011413123O. Rodin4191111101
WSep 20 · 21:00R. Konkulovskyi4181111113O. Rodin32116961
R. Konkulovskyi10
WOct 6 · 02:15M. Loboda2.0011711892R. Konkulovskyi1.73711211113WOct 6 · 01:15R. Konkulovskyi1.4411911143O. Rodin2.639117121LOct 6 · 00:15R. Konkulovskyi1.8331160V. Slozka1.831113113LOct 5 · 22:45R. Konkulovskyi1.83771281V. Kaidakov1.83111110113WOct 5 · 20:45R. Konkulovskyi1.6771112113Y. Vorsuliak2.101161081LOct 5 · 02:15M. Loboda2.20117711113R. Konkulovskyi1.6191111682WOct 5 · 01:15R. Konkulovskyi1.83111175113V. Slozka1.8387111182WOct 5 · 00:15R. Konkulovskyi1.5311711113O. Rodin2.38911831WOct 4 · 22:45R. Konkulovskyi2.2591111113V. Kaidakov1.57116981WOct 4 · 20:45R. Konkulovskyi2.2011412113O. Pohonov1.617111091
O. Rodin10
LOct 7 · 22:00O. Rodin1.7312551192Y. Vorsuliak2.001011117113WOct 6 · 03:15O. Rodin1.8014101111113Y. Vorsuliak1.9116126742LOct 6 · 01:15R. Konkulovskyi1.4411911143O. Rodin2.639117121WOct 5 · 23:15M. Loboda1.678640O. Rodin2.101111113LOct 5 · 22:15O. Rodin1.83811161V. Slozka1.8311911113LOct 5 · 21:13V. Kaidakov2.101111153O. Rodin1.6789130WOct 5 · 02:45V. Kaidakov1.835990O. Rodin1.831111113LOct 5 · 01:45O. Pohonov1.801111113O. Rodin1.918980LOct 5 · 00:15R. Konkulovskyi1.5311711113O. Rodin2.38911831LOct 4 · 22:15V. Slozka2.1081711113O. Rodin1.671115991
Upcoming Matches
R. Konkulovskyi
O. Rodin
Oct 7 · 23:00O. Rodin2.00V. Kaidakov1.73—Oct 8 · 01:00O. Rodin1.80M. Loboda1.91—Oct 8 · 03:00O. Rodin1.83V. Slozka1.83—Oct 8 · 12:35O. Rodin1.80M. Loboda1.91—Oct 8 · 13:35O. Rodin1.83V. Slozka1.83—Oct 8 · 15:35O. Rodin1.80Y. Vorsuliak1.91—Oct 8 · 17:35O. Rodin1.83A. Nazrin1.83—Oct 8 · 19:05O. Rodin2.00V. Kaidakov1.73—
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