TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vadym Slabyshev vs Vitalii Sydorenko 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 7Finished
Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 8
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119112117––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:32 and never touched: 69.1% is still 69.1%
Graded at full timeVadym Slabyshev to win
69.1%
69.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingVadym Slabyshev above · Vitalii Sydorenko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 51 set 3, 11-7 · our read held Vadym Slabyshev at 69.1%
51 points played in total.
H2H Vadym Slabyshev 4–0 Vitalii Sydorenko Vitalii Sydorenko has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:3269.1%Our read71.4%to break even at 1.40
short by 2.3pp71.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.40 they are the same number)
What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Slabyshev
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
4-0 in 4
Slabyshev
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slabyshev 1521 vs Sydorenko 1350
Slabyshev
Correct
both rated, 171 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slabyshev 100% vs Sydorenko 80%
Slabyshev
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slabyshev 90% vs Sydorenko 70%
Slabyshev
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Slabyshev +8 · Sydorenko +2
Slabyshev
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% · Clear lean (leans Slabyshev) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sydorenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlabyshev 1.40 / Sydorenko 2.75
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Slabyshev)-2.3pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13255587
Slabyshev1.40
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 8
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite93% won 14 of 15
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Sydorenko2.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 86 of 224
Down 0–1, comes back24% 32 of 136
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 84
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSlabyshev4wins
AwaySydorenko0wins
2 of 4 to a deciderSlabyshev leads 4–0, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlabyshev100%3 of 3
AwaySydorenkon = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slabyshev3Sydorenko1n = 4Slabyshev took 3 of 4
S2Slabyshev1Sydorenko3n = 4Sydorenko took 3 of 4
S3Slabyshev3Sydorenko1n = 4Slabyshev took 3 of 4
S4Slabyshev3Sydorenko1n = 4Slabyshev took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home250%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricSlabyshevSydorenkoSlabyshev − SydorenkoBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match47.240.8+6.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlabyshevSydorenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime21 / 34 vs 255 / 57861.8%44.1%21 / 34 vs 255 / 578Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SlabyshevSlabyshev 1.40/Sydorenko 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.1%
Slabyshev · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Slabyshev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WOct 6 · 15:35V. Slabyshev4711915123V. Sydorenko3951113101
WOct 1 · 13:25V. Slabyshev541111119123V. Sydorenko50813811102
WSep 24 · 18:05V. Slabyshev4011117113V. Sydorenko34691181
WSep 23 · 17:25V. Slabyshev481051111113V. Sydorenko4012116652
V. Slabyshev10
WOct 6 · 19:35V. Slabyshev1.3311116113D. Boltenkov3.25981171WOct 6 · 17:35R. Serhyenko2.6311119942V. Slabyshev1.44941111113WOct 6 · 15:35V. Sydorenko2.7551113101V. Slabyshev1.4011915123WOct 6 · 14:35V. Slabyshev1.2591111113A. Azarov3.75117931WOct 6 · 13:35Y. Bielokon3.7511970V. Slabyshev1.251311113WOct 1 · 19:55V. Husiev2.20981131V. Slabyshev1.6111113113WOct 1 · 18:55D. Boltenkov3.251581191V. Slabyshev1.33131113113WOct 1 · 17:25Y. Bielokon2.5010670V. Slabyshev1.501211113LOct 1 · 15:25V. Chumak1.6711127113V. Slabyshev2.106101171WOct 1 · 13:25V. Sydorenko2.50813811102V. Slabyshev1.501111119123
V. Sydorenko10
WOct 6 · 18:35V. Sydorenko1.501111113R. Serhyenko2.505970WOct 6 · 17:05V. Sydorenko1.80811311113Y. Bielokon1.9111311562LOct 6 · 15:35V. Sydorenko2.7551113101V. Slabyshev1.4011915123WOct 6 · 14:05V. Sydorenko2.20121013143D. Boltenkov1.61101211121WOct 6 · 12:35V. Sydorenko1.611111123A. Azarov2.2082100WOct 1 · 19:25V. Sydorenko1.801111113Y. Bielokon1.916640LOct 1 · 17:55V. Sydorenko1.67810120V. Husiev2.101112143WOct 1 · 16:25V. Sydorenko2.101111123V. Chumak1.6768100WOct 1 · 14:55V. Sydorenko2.20311119113D. Boltenkov1.6111851192LOct 1 · 13:25V. Sydorenko2.50813811102V. Slabyshev1.501111119123
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