TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Vladislav Reska vs Tomas Ogrocki 3-0 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118118114––––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingVladislav Reska above · Tomas Ogrocki below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 53 set 3, 11-4
53 points played in total.
H2H Vladislav Reska 18–13 Tomas Ogrocki Tomas Ogrocki has won 13 of their 31 meetings.
They have already met 2 times today · last one 2h before this match
Reska beat Ogrocki 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Reska form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsReska 1.444 / Ogrocki 2.625
TT Cup · #13251360
Reska1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 70 of 133
Up 2–0, closes it94% 30 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it75% 51 of 68
Ogrocki2.63
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 66 of 154
Down 0–1, comes back30% 26 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeReska7wins
AwayOgrocki3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderReska leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeReska71.4%5 of 7
AwayOgrocki33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Reska7Ogrocki3n = 10Reska took 7 of 10
S2Reska7Ogrocki3n = 10Reska took 7 of 10
S3Reska8Ogrocki2n = 10Reska took 8 of 10
S4Reska5Ogrocki1n = 6Reska took 5 of 6
S5Reska0Ogrocki3n = 3Ogrocki took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricReskaOgrockiR − OBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.233.9+6.3per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricReskaOgrockiBasisWin rate · lifetime265 / 533 vs 253 / 52949.7%47.8%265 / 533 vs 253 / 529Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ReskaReska 1.44/Ogrocki 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–0
Reska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 5 · 18:15V. Reska361111143T. Ogrocki2769120
LOct 5 · 15:45V. Reska4899111182T. Ogrocki46111158113
LSep 26 · 13:45V. Reska49111111882T. Ogrocki50613911113
WSep 10 · 17:40V. Reska351113113T. Ogrocki2561180
WSep 5 · 12:40V. Reska4313127113T. Ogrocki3411101121
WSep 5 · 09:40V. Reska331111113T. Ogrocki238690
LAug 21 · 17:45V. Reska4411781172T. Ogrocki50811119113
WAug 18 · 17:40V. Reska3961111113T. Ogrocki35118791
WJul 22 · 17:40V. Reska4291111113T. Ogrocki28115481
WJul 16 · 17:40V. Reska331111113T. Ogrocki219570
V. Reska10
LOct 5 · 20:15V. Reska1.677970K. Zeman2.101111113LOct 5 · 18:45K. Przeczek2.501111113V. Reska1.479870WOct 5 · 18:15T. Ogrocki2.1069120V. Reska1.651111143LOct 5 · 15:45T. Ogrocki2.38111158113V. Reska1.5399111182WOct 5 · 15:15O. Coufal2.251011661V. Reska1.5712811113LOct 5 · 14:15V. Reska1.67111181152M. Janik2.10913115113LSep 30 · 21:20V. Reska2.107680F. Theodor1.671111113WSep 30 · 20:15V. Reska1.80125711113K. Zeman1.91101111682LSep 30 · 18:45F. Theodor1.80111113143V. Reska1.9161311121WSep 30 · 18:15M. Raska1.809660V. Reska1.911111113
T. Ogrocki10
LOct 5 · 19:45K. Przeczek1.40811118113T. Ogrocki2.7511981152LOct 5 · 19:15K. Zeman1.5711811113T. Ogrocki2.25911831LOct 5 · 18:15T. Ogrocki2.1069120V. Reska1.651111143WOct 5 · 16:25O. Coufal—6740T. Ogrocki—1111113WOct 5 · 15:45T. Ogrocki2.38111158113V. Reska1.5399111182LOct 5 · 14:45T. Ogrocki1.83101141M. Janik1.8312541LOct 5 · 13:45T. Ogrocki1.8058111152O. Coufal1.91111179113LOct 3 · 20:40J. Jnr2.631111113T. Ogrocki1.443910LOct 3 · 19:40T. Ogrocki1.6713911462J. Matus2.1011111112113LOct 3 · 18:40T. Ogrocki1.40981181J. Jnr2.7511116113
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