TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Marcin Zielinski vs Andriej Fomin 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
11912101210––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:35 and never touched: 57.6% is still 57.6%
Graded at full timeMarcin Zielinski to win
57.6%
57.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
64 points played in total.
Set by set
11912101210––––
H2H Marcin Zielinski 0–1 Andriej Fomin Marcin Zielinski has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:3557.6%Our read62.5%to break even at 1.60
short by 4.9pp62.5% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.60 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (56%)
Zielinski
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Zielinski 1606 vs Fomin 1497
Zielinski
Correct
both rated, 110 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zielinski 60% vs Fomin 80%
Fomin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zielinski 70% vs Fomin 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zielinski +3 · Fomin +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% · Slight lean (leans Zielinski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fomin form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (49%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZielinski 1.60 / Fomin 2.06
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Zielinski)-4.9pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13249731
Zielinski1.60
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite80% won 12 of 15
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Fomin2.06
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog47% won 60 of 129
Down 0–1, comes back36% 27 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeZielinski0wins
AwayFomin1wins
Fomin leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricZielinskiFominZ − FBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match31.043.0−12.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZielinskiFominBasisWin rate · lifetime28 / 38 vs 582 / 98673.7%59%28 / 38 vs 582 / 986Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ZielinskiZielinski 1.60/Fomin 2.06
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.6%
Zielinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zielinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LOct 1 · 02:20M. Zielinski31127751A. Fomin43101111113
M. Zielinski10
WOct 6 · 20:45H. Tkaczyk1.831110491M. Zielinski1.8351211113WOct 6 · 19:30D. Bartosik—101111662M. Zielinski—127711113WOct 6 · 17:55M. Machelski3.459770M. Zielinski1.261111113LOct 6 · 01:50M. Zielinski1.366550A. Krezel3.001111113LOct 6 · 00:30M. Zielinski1.338990M. Lewczuk3.251111113WOct 5 · 23:30M. Zielinski1.281110116113M. Leczycki3.5091261172WOct 5 · 22:10M. Zielinski1.051111133M. Kumor8.5081110LOct 5 · 21:00M. Zielinski1.50271121H. Tkaczyk2.5011117113WOct 5 · 19:40M. Kumor2.759470M. Zielinski1.401111113WOct 5 · 18:55M. Lewczuk2.75115931M. Zielinski1.4091111113
A. Fomin10
WOct 6 · 22:40D. Bartosik—61281162A. Fomin—1110117113WOct 6 · 19:55M. Machelski2.756660A. Fomin1.401111113WOct 6 · 19:10H. Tkaczyk1.627111111132A. Fomin2.18117713153WOct 6 · 17:30M. Brunner2.75881131A. Fomin1.4011115113WOct 4 · 02:35D. Pyrek2.5065130A. Fomin1.501111153LOct 4 · 01:25A. Fomin1.838111491M. Karpiuk1.8311616113LOct 4 · 00:10G. Mucha2.2091211133A. Fomin1.6111109111WOct 3 · 22:55D. Maszczynski5.006660A. Fomin1.141111113WOct 3 · 21:20P. Gesiarz2.7571170A. Fomin1.401113113LOct 3 · 20:30G. Mucha2.631111113A. Fomin1.448380
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