TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Artur Gromek vs Adam Linek 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1171171416117––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:16 and never touched: 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeArtur Gromek to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingArtur Gromek above · Adam Linek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 14-16
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 84 set 4, 11-7 · our read held Artur Gromek at 61.7%
84 points played in total.
H2H Artur Gromek 1–2 Adam Linek Artur Gromek has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Linek beat Gromek 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:1661.7%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571
short by 2.0pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Gromek
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gromek 1537 vs Linek 1479
Gromek
Correct
both rated, 58 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gromek 60% vs Linek 40%
Gromek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gromek 60% vs Linek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gromek -1 · Linek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% · Slight lean (leans Gromek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGromek 1.571 / Linek 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Gromek)-2.0pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13249588
Gromek1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite70% won 26 of 37
Up 2–0, closes it94% 15 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it76% 19 of 25
Linek2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 136 of 336
Down 0–1, comes back29% 55 of 191
Down 0–2, comes back9% 8 of 89
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeGromek1wins
AwayLinek2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderLinek leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gromek2Linek1n = 3Gromek took 2 of 3
S2Gromek2Linek1n = 3Gromek took 2 of 3
S3Gromek1Linek2n = 3Linek took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricGromekLinekG − LBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match42.341.3+1.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGromekLinekBasisWin rate · lifetime62 / 173 vs 777 / 166335.8%46.7%62 / 173 vs 777 / 1663Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
GromekGromek 1.57/Linek 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Gromek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Gromek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LOct 6 · 20:30A. Gromek459121591A. Linek49111017113
LOct 5 · 21:25A. Gromek4511781182A. Linek47811116113
WOct 5 · 16:55A. Gromek371214113A. Linek28101260
A. Gromek10
WOct 7 · 00:10A. Gromek1.40411412113P. Blocho2.75119111092LOct 6 · 21:50A. Gromek3.25111111052K. Staszczyk1.33871112113WOct 6 · 21:25A. Gromek2.2513118143L. Pietraszko1.5711811121LOct 6 · 20:30A. Linek2.10111017113A. Gromek1.679121591WOct 6 · 19:15A. Gromek1.8311119113P. Blocho1.83681131WOct 6 · 18:05D. Kosmal1.613111110102A. Gromek2.20118612123LOct 6 · 16:55L. Pietraszko1.5381111143A. Gromek2.381178121WOct 6 · 15:25M. Minda2.105790A. Gromek1.671111113LOct 6 · 00:35K. Staszczyk1.30111168163A. Gromek3.40471111142WOct 5 · 22:55J. Glanowski2.10111137102A. Gromek1.67861111123
A. Linek10
LOct 6 · 22:35K. Staszczyk1.331111113A. Linek3.256760WOct 6 · 22:10A. Linek2.381211113L. Pietraszko1.5310590LOct 6 · 21:00P. Blocho1.7312118113A. Linek2.001071191WOct 6 · 20:30A. Linek2.10111017113A. Gromek1.679121591LOct 6 · 18:50A. Linek3.2548111142D. Kosmal1.33111168113LOct 6 · 17:40A. Linek2.2010270L. Pietraszko1.611211113WOct 6 · 16:05A. Linek1.83111189113M. Minda1.8399111182LOct 6 · 15:00A. Linek2.109490P. Blocho1.671111113WOct 6 · 00:10A. Linek2.00611911123J. Glanowski1.73119117102WOct 5 · 23:20A. Linek1.5011128113M. Trela2.508101181
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