TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Tomas Franek vs Ondrej Svacha 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
115811911911––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:55 and never touched: 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeOndrej Svacha to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Franek above · Ondrej Svacha below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 75 set 4, 9-11 · our read held Ondrej Svacha at 57.0%
75 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Franek 13–14 Ondrej Svacha Tomas Franek has won 13 of their 27 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:5557.0%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666
short by 3.0pp60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Svacha
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
13-14 in 27
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Franek 1644 vs Svacha 1710
Svacha
Correct
both rated, 66 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Franek 40% vs Svacha 60%
Svacha
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Franek 30% vs Svacha 60%
Svacha
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Franek -1 · Svacha +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% · Slight lean (leans Svacha) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFranek 2.10 / Svacha 1.666
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Svacha)-3.0pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13248439
Franek2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 05)
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog48% won 26 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back25% 7 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 18
Svacha1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 05)
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 94 of 159
Up 2–0, closes it97% 55 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it81% 75 of 93
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFranek5wins
AwaySvacha5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFranek75%3 of 4
AwaySvacha66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Franek4Svacha6n = 10Svacha took 6 of 10
S2Franek5Svacha5n = 10split evenly
S3Franek4Svacha6n = 10Svacha took 6 of 10
S4Franek4Svacha3n = 7Franek took 4 of 7
S5Franek2Svacha1n = 3Franek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricFranekSvachaF − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.038.8−1.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFranekSvachaBasisWin rate · lifetime96 / 195 vs 406 / 81049.2%50.1%96 / 195 vs 406 / 810Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SvachaFranek 2.10/Svacha 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Svacha · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Svacha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 5 · 02:58T. Franek1972100O. Svacha341111123
LOct 4 · 23:30T. Franek2151150O. Svacha351113113
WSep 26 · 21:00T. Franek361111143O. Svacha2989120
WSep 26 · 18:30T. Franek541211811123O. Svacha48146117102
LAug 14 · 00:00T. Franek331051171O. Svacha4012116113
WJul 2 · 01:00T. Franek3811511113O. Svacha29311871
WJun 23 · 22:00T. Franek4311138113O. Svacha377111181
WJun 10 · 00:30T. Franek43311711113O. Svacha4111411872
LJun 3 · 02:00T. Franek45111011672O. Svacha51812911113
LMay 25 · 00:30T. Franek38913881O. Svacha44111111113
T. Franek10
LOct 5 · 02:58O. Svacha1.911111123T. Franek1.8072100WOct 5 · 01:30T. Franek1.67119612113M. Skakal2.10811111092WOct 5 · 00:30R. Wagner1.6791171172T. Franek2.10116116113LOct 4 · 23:30O. Svacha1.911113113T. Franek1.8051150LOct 4 · 22:30T. Franek1.574111361V. Vejvoda2.2511815113LOct 4 · 20:59O. Cmerda1.9112118113T. Franek1.801081151WOct 4 · 20:00T. Franek1.6741111113M. Skakal2.10117691LOct 4 · 19:30O. Cmerda2.101112133T. Franek1.67910110LOct 4 · 18:00T. Franek1.6181181132V. Vejvoda2.20118118113LSep 27 · 03:30J. Tazler2.1561511113T. Franek1.631113761
O. Svacha10
WOct 5 · 02:58O. Svacha1.911111123T. Franek1.8072100WOct 5 · 02:30M. Skakal1.835590O. Svacha1.831111113LOct 5 · 01:00V. Vejvoda2.631111109113O. Svacha1.4483121162WOct 4 · 23:30O. Svacha1.911113113T. Franek1.8051150LOct 4 · 22:00O. Svacha1.9157110R. Wagner1.801111133LOct 2 · 21:30R. Wagner2.207111511113O. Svacha1.6011817952WOct 2 · 20:30O. Svacha1.441110613113A. Brazda2.63412111152LOct 2 · 19:00O. Svacha1.6781141192R. Wagner2.10116110113WOct 2 · 18:00R. Rose3.004840O. Svacha1.361111113WSep 30 · 20:59O. Svacha1.80111210113O. Cmerda1.917101291
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