TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Pawel Gola vs Szymon Radlo 3-0 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116117118––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:56 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePawel Gola to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
54 points played in total.
Set by set
116117118––––
H2H Pawel Gola 50–47 Szymon Radlo Szymon Radlo has won 47 of their 97 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:5654.0%Our read56.5%to break even at 1.77
short by 2.5pp56.5% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.77 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.77 (52%)
Gola
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
50-47 in 97
Gola
Correct
gap of 3 in 97, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gola 1550 vs Radlo 1585
Radlo
Wrong
both rated, 35 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gola 20% vs Radlo 60%
Radlo
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gola 30% vs Radlo 70%
Radlo
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gola -4 · Radlo +1
Gola
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Gola) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gola form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGola 1.77 / Radlo 1.95
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Gola)-2.5pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13247211
Gola1.77
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 154 of 250
Up 2–0, closes it98% 80 of 82
Up 1–0, closes it85% 113 of 133
Radlo1.95
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog50% won 169 of 336
Down 0–1, comes back22% 35 of 161
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 96
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGola6wins
AwayRadlo4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderGola leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGola100%5 of 5
AwayRadlo80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gola5Radlo5n = 10split evenly
S2Gola3Radlo7n = 10Radlo took 7 of 10
S3Gola7Radlo3n = 10Gola took 7 of 10
S4Gola5Radlo0n = 5Gola took 5 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricGolaRadloG − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.232.9+2.3per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGolaRadloBasisWin rate · lifetime578 / 1190 vs 404 / 81448.6%49.6%578 / 1190 vs 404 / 814Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
GolaGola 1.77/Radlo 1.95
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Gola · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Gola won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 1 · 09:00P. Gola4478111262S. Radlo521111910113
WSep 29 · 05:00P. Gola3711411113S. Radlo30811741
LSep 28 · 07:30P. Gola2797110S. Radlo351111133
WSep 23 · 08:00P. Gola44111111113S. Radlo31413681
WSep 21 · 12:30P. Gola331111113S. Radlo206680
LSep 21 · 10:30P. Gola236980S. Radlo331111113
LSep 20 · 23:15P. Gola224990S. Radlo331111113
WSep 20 · 16:35P. Gola46111311113S. Radlo38615981
WSep 16 · 11:30P. Gola4391112113S. Radlo351161081
WSep 13 · 22:40P. Gola331111113S. Radlo228590
P. Gola10
WOct 5 · 10:00P. Gola1.541111113S. Wloszek2.258980LOct 5 · 07:30P. Gola2.25211981M. Galus1.5011811113LOct 5 · 05:30P. Gola1.94981181J. Chojnacki1.7811115113LOct 2 · 12:30P. Gola8.7536100M. Galus1.061111123LOct 2 · 11:30P. Gola1.426121061J. Chojnacki2.69111012113WOct 2 · 09:30M. Burkacki4.7261151172P. Gola1.15116115113LOct 2 · 08:30P. Gola1.9112510101M. Lysakowski1.78101112123LOct 2 · 07:30B. Molka2.406131111113P. Gola1.50111113932WOct 2 · 07:00P. Gola1.8511148113M. Galus1.868121171LOct 1 · 13:30D. Stapor1.551111123P. Gola2.3088100
S. Radlo10
LOct 5 · 10:30J. Chojnacki3.1012711113S. Radlo1.331011991WOct 5 · 06:00S. Wloszek2.101313511142S. Radlo1.661115116163LOct 5 · 05:00D. Stapor1.68111611113S. Radlo2.05918761WOct 4 · 23:35S. Radlo2.151111123B. Molka1.6285100WOct 4 · 21:35M. Lysakowski1.5899111192S. Radlo2.25111126113LOct 4 · 20:35J. Masternak2.051116133S. Radlo1.66914110WOct 4 · 19:05M. Burkacki2.20117891S. Radlo1.5891111113WOct 4 · 17:05S. Wloszek2.051199121S. Radlo1.7081111143WOct 4 · 15:05B. Molka1.861296101S. Radlo1.83101111123LOct 1 · 12:30S. Radlo—9711121M. Burkacki—11117143
Upcoming Matches
P. Gola
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S. Radlo
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