TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jaroslav Prokupek vs Pavel Fojt 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117114811119––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:19 and never touched: 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Prokupek to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
RightSent to Pro: Jaroslav Prokupek @ 1.61 · Won
How it is goingJaroslav Prokupek above · Pavel Fojt below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 72 set 4, 11-9 · our read held Jaroslav Prokupek at 61.2%
72 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Prokupek 51–11 Pavel Fojt Pavel Fojt has won 11 of their 62 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 23:1961.2%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615
short by 0.7pp61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Prokupek
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
51-11 in 62
Prokupek
Correct
gap of 40 in 62, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prokupek 1497 vs Fojt 1529
Fojt
Wrong
both rated, 32 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prokupek 80% vs Fojt 20%
Prokupek
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prokupek 70% vs Fojt 40%
Prokupek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Prokupek +3 · Fojt +1
Prokupek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Prokupek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fojt form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsProkupek 1.615 / Fojt 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Prokupek)-0.7pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13243628
Prokupek1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite51% won 83 of 162
Up 2–0, closes it91% 48 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it72% 62 of 86
Fojt2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 59 of 161
Down 0–1, comes back19% 18 of 95
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeProkupek7wins
AwayFojt3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderProkupek leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeProkupek80%4 of 5
AwayFojt40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prokupek5Fojt5n = 10split evenly
S2Prokupek7Fojt3n = 10Prokupek took 7 of 10
S3Prokupek7Fojt3n = 10Prokupek took 7 of 10
S4Prokupek3Fojt4n = 7Fojt took 4 of 7
S5Prokupek2Fojt1n = 3Prokupek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricProkupekFojtP − FBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.833.8+5.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricProkupekFojtBasisWin rate · lifetime667 / 1395 vs 340 / 69547.8%48.9%667 / 1395 vs 340 / 695Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ProkupekProkupek 1.61/Fojt 2.20
Hit
What we said
61.2%
Prokupek · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Jaroslav Prokupek @ 1.61 · Won
What happened
3–1
Prokupek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 4 · 00:30J. Prokupek56151479113P. Fojt531312111162
WSep 14 · 00:30J. Prokupek518111110113P. Fojt3511541232
LSep 8 · 02:00J. Prokupek3911511752P. Fojt51911911113
WSep 6 · 00:30J. Prokupek3631111113P. Fojt27116461
WAug 21 · 03:00J. Prokupek341112113P. Fojt2351080
WAug 21 · 01:00J. Prokupek4311119123P. Fojt316411101
LAug 17 · 00:30J. Prokupek177370P. Fojt331111113
LJul 15 · 02:00J. Prokupek348101151P. Fojt3911125113
WJul 12 · 22:30J. Prokupek4291111113P. Fojt26116361
WJul 9 · 00:30J. Prokupek361111143P. Fojt2035120
J. Prokupek10
LOct 6 · 02:00J. Plachy1.73111110113J. Prokupek2.00541231WOct 5 · 23:00J. Prokupek1.7312115133K. Darin2.0010811111WOct 5 · 22:00J. Dedek1.805630J. Prokupek1.911111113WOct 4 · 03:30J. Plachy1.8581080J. Prokupek1.851112113LOct 4 · 02:00J. Plachy1.8311110123J. Prokupek1.836511101WOct 4 · 00:30J. Prokupek1.57151479113P. Fojt2.251312111162WOct 3 · 23:00J. Prokupek1.831111113J. Trefny1.837890WOct 3 · 22:00M. Vedmoch1.736930J. Prokupek2.001111113WOct 3 · 13:00J. Stolfa1.5391270J. Prokupek2.381114113LOct 3 · 12:30M. Vedmoch1.571191112113J. Prokupek2.2571171442
P. Fojt10
LOct 6 · 01:30P. Fojt1.44137971K. Darin2.63111111113WOct 5 · 23:30J. Dedek1.57108111192P. Fojt2.25121199113LOct 5 · 22:30P. Fojt1.73117911122J. Plachy2.00611115143LOct 4 · 01:30P. Fojt1.57611991J. Trefny2.2511611113LOct 4 · 00:30J. Prokupek1.57151479113P. Fojt2.251312111162LOct 3 · 23:30M. Vedmoch1.501111113P. Fojt2.509970LOct 3 · 22:30P. Fojt1.73341181J. Plachy2.0011116113WOct 3 · 21:30T. Vinter1.35117481P. Fojt2.9021111113WOct 3 · 20:30M. Sedlak1.57951171P. Fojt2.2511116113LOct 3 · 19:30P. Fojt2.637630T. Vinter1.441111113
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