TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jiri Zuzanek vs Matej Nohejl 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511911611––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:59 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Zuzanek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Zuzanek above · Matej Nohejl below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 5-6
Point 47 set 3, 5-6 · our read held Jiri Zuzanek at 54.0%
47 points drawn · the score is 6 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Jiri Zuzanek 4–2 Matej Nohejl Matej Nohejl has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:5954.0%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 3.9pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Zuzanek
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Zuzanek
Wrong
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zuzanek 1518 vs Nohejl 1626
Nohejl
Correct
both rated, 108 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zuzanek 20% vs Nohejl 40%
Nohejl
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zuzanek 30% vs Nohejl 60%
Nohejl
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zuzanek -3 · Nohejl -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Zuzanek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zuzanek form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZuzanek 1.727 / Nohejl 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Zuzanek)-3.9pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13237728
Zuzanek1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite50% won 100 of 201
Up 2–0, closes it88% 51 of 58
Up 1–0, closes it71% 77 of 109
Nohejl2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 6 days ago (Sep 28)
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 19 of 42
Down 0–1, comes back22% 5 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeZuzanek4wins
AwayNohejl2wins
2 of 6 to a deciderZuzanek leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZuzanek100%4 of 4
AwayNohejln = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zuzanek4Nohejl2n = 6Zuzanek took 4 of 6
S2Zuzanek2Nohejl4n = 6Nohejl took 4 of 6
S3Zuzanek3Nohejl3n = 6split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away233%
These 6 meetings
MetricZuzanekNohejlZ − NBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match35.732.5+3.2per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZuzanekNohejlBasisWin rate · lifetime540 / 1087 vs 95 / 19049.7%50%540 / 1087 vs 95 / 190Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ZuzanekZuzanek 1.73/Nohejl 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zuzanek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Nohejl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 27 · 15:30J. Zuzanek2587100M. Nohejl341111123
WMay 27 · 15:30J. Zuzanek50118911113M. Nohejl4261111952
WMar 8 · 17:58J. Zuzanek351113113M. Nohejl2881190
LMar 8 · 15:00J. Zuzanek23101030M. Nohejl351212113
WOct 27 · 15:30J. Zuzanek48119116113M. Nohejl3951161162
WJul 28 · 08:00J. Zuzanek331111113M. Nohejl175570
J. Zuzanek10
LOct 3 · 16:59M. Sychra1.83911713113J. Zuzanek1.83116111162LOct 3 · 16:00M. Pikous1.3611916113J. Zuzanek3.008111461LOct 3 · 15:00J. Louda1.5371111113J. Zuzanek2.38115631WOct 3 · 14:30J. Zuzanek1.831281311113M. Sychra1.83141111862LOct 3 · 12:59J. Zuzanek1.6711991182M. Sychra2.10811118113LOct 3 · 12:30J. Zuzanek1.91811881M. Regner1.8011911113WOct 3 · 11:00J. Zuzanek1.831111143M. Sychra1.8358120LOct 3 · 10:00M. Klement1.5081111113J. Zuzanek2.50112771WSep 30 · 13:00V. Vejvoda1.8331181192J. Zuzanek1.83115119113LSep 30 · 12:00A. Brazda1.671211113J. Zuzanek2.1010890
M. Nohejl10
LSep 28 · 20:58M. Vizek1.8311913113M. Nohejl1.838111161LSep 28 · 20:30M. Nohejl1.837820M. Vizek1.831111113LSep 28 · 19:00M. Nohejl2.007670K. Schopf1.731111113WSep 28 · 18:00M. Sychra1.9111811752M. Nohejl1.80911511113WSep 27 · 17:30M. Nohejl1.9591111113M. Sychra1.75113441LSep 27 · 16:30K. Schopf1.8012129113M. Nohejl1.9110101191WSep 27 · 15:30M. Nohejl2.381111123J. Zuzanek1.5387100WSep 27 · 14:30M. Sychra1.57681161M. Nohejl2.2511119113WSep 20 · 09:30J. Holubec1.578770M. Nohejl2.251111113WSep 20 · 08:00M. Nohejl1.831311113M. Chlebecek1.8311560
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