TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Mariusz Koczyba vs Wojciech Pytlas 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118911611911––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:34 and never touched: 58.3% is still 58.3%
Graded at full timeMariusz Koczyba to win
58.3%
58.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
76 points played in total.
Set by set
118911611911––
H2H Mariusz Koczyba 40–42 Wojciech Pytlas Mariusz Koczyba has won 40 of their 82 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:3458.3%Our read52.6%to break even at 1.90
clears by 5.7pp52.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.90 they are the same number)
What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.81 (51%)
Pytlas
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
40-42 in 82
Pytlas
Correct
gap of 2 in 82, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Koczyba 1354 vs Pytlas 1355
Pytlas
Correct
both rated, 1 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Koczyba 60% vs Pytlas 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Koczyba 60% vs Pytlas 80%
Pytlas
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Koczyba +1 · Pytlas -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% · Slight lean (leans Koczyba) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKoczyba 1.90 / Pytlas 1.81
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Pytlas)-13.5pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13233227
Koczyba1.90
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Oct 01)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 22 of 65
Down 0–1, comes back20% 9 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 30
Pytlas1.81
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Oct 01)
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 143 of 225
Up 2–0, closes it94% 80 of 85
Up 1–0, closes it84% 110 of 131
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKoczyba3wins
AwayPytlas7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPytlas leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKoczyba33.3%2 of 6
AwayPytlas75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Koczyba6Pytlas4n = 10Koczyba took 6 of 10
S2Koczyba4Pytlas6n = 10Pytlas took 6 of 10
S3Koczyba6Pytlas4n = 10Koczyba took 6 of 10
S4Koczyba1Pytlas6n = 7Pytlas took 6 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKoczybaPytlasK − PBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.137.5−0.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKoczybaPytlasBasisWin rate · lifetime851 / 1317 vs 399 / 75564.6%52.9%851 / 1317 vs 399 / 755Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KoczybaKoczyba 1.90/Pytlas 1.81
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.3%
Koczyba · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pytlas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 1 · 18:45M. Koczyba341185101W. Pytlas3951111123
LSep 30 · 15:35M. Koczyba46111111852W. Pytlas51813811113
LSep 17 · 16:00M. Koczyba371181171W. Pytlas4013115113
LSep 9 · 16:25M. Koczyba49111110892W. Pytlas47761211113
LAug 23 · 07:10M. Koczyba431591271W. Pytlas49171110113
WAug 19 · 15:35M. Koczyba331111113W. Pytlas199370
WAug 9 · 08:00M. Koczyba4391112113W. Pytlas381181091
LJul 29 · 17:35M. Koczyba2581070W. Pytlas341112113
LJul 28 · 16:00M. Koczyba281125101W. Pytlas3951111123
WJul 26 · 08:00M. Koczyba331111113W. Pytlas198560
M. Koczyba10
WOct 1 · 20:00M. Koczyba1.57721214123G. Jurowicz2.2011111012102LOct 1 · 18:45M. Koczyba1.551185101W. Pytlas2.3051111123WOct 1 · 17:35M. Koczyba1.6011411113K. Juszczyk2.10911771LOct 1 · 16:25K. Adamus1.73111188113M. Koczyba2.0034111162WOct 1 · 15:35M. Koczyba2.009121111113M. Tkocz1.7111143362WSep 30 · 20:00M. Koczyba1.68911119113S. Krupa2.0511751132WSep 30 · 18:45M. Koczyba1.68118811113A. Ruszkiewicz2.0881111572LSep 30 · 17:35M. Koczyba1.9112121171K. Juszczyk1.7814141113WSep 30 · 16:25P. Kaczynski2.4091111882M. Koczyba1.50119411113LSep 30 · 15:35M. Koczyba1.65111111852W. Pytlas2.10813811113
W. Pytlas10
LOct 1 · 20:20W. Pytlas1.8377110K. Juszczyk1.831111133WOct 1 · 18:45M. Koczyba1.551185101W. Pytlas2.3051111123WOct 1 · 18:00K. Adamus1.60106120W. Pytlas2.101211143LOct 1 · 17:10W. Pytlas2.501151411M. Tkocz1.4841116113WOct 1 · 16:00W. Pytlas1.6611911113G. Jurowicz2.05811761WSep 30 · 20:45P. Kaczynski1.7299111122W. Pytlas2.02111185113WSep 30 · 19:35W. Pytlas1.86117116113K. Juszczyk1.8081151132WSep 30 · 18:25S. Krupa1.84111211482W. Pytlas1.871310311113WSep 30 · 17:10A. Ruszkiewicz1.951211641W. Pytlas1.7514611113WSep 30 · 15:35M. Koczyba1.65111111852W. Pytlas2.10813811113
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