TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Mateusz Trela vs Jakub Glanowski 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
115811611611––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:59 and never touched: 63.8% is still 63.8%
Graded at full timeJakub Glanowski to win
63.8%
63.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
69 points played in total.
Set by set
115811611611––
H2H Mateusz Trela 5–5 Jakub Glanowski Dead even across their 10 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:5963.8%Our read65.8%to break even at 1.52
short by 2.0pp65.8% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.52 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.52 (61%)
Glanowski
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
5-5 in 10
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Trela 1300 vs Glanowski 1438
Glanowski
Correct
both rated, 139 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Trela 100% vs Glanowski 40%
Trela
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Trela 60% vs Glanowski 40%
Trela
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Trela +5 · Glanowski +1
Trela
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% · Clear lean (leans Glanowski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Glanowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (66%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTrela 2.35 / Glanowski 1.52
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Glanowski)-2.0pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13228815
Trela2.35
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Sep 29)
Won last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 138 of 317
Down 0–1, comes back28% 48 of 173
Down 0–2, comes back10% 8 of 84
Glanowski1.52
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 225 of 366
Up 2–0, closes it90% 112 of 124
Up 1–0, closes it72% 159 of 221
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTrela5wins
AwayGlanowski5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTrela100%5 of 5
AwayGlanowski100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Trela5Glanowski5n = 10split evenly
S2Trela5Glanowski5n = 10split evenly
S3Trela8Glanowski2n = 10Trela took 8 of 10
S4Trela1Glanowski2n = 3Glanowski took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricTrelaGlanowskiT − GBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.234.4+0.8per matchSweeps52+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTrelaGlanowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime807 / 1644 vs 882 / 177249.1%49.8%807 / 1644 vs 882 / 1772Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
GlanowskiTrela 2.35/Glanowski 1.52
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.8%
Glanowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Glanowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 07:40M. Trela247980J. Glanowski331111113
WSep 2 · 03:25M. Trela361114113J. Glanowski3091290
WApr 19 · 14:00M. Trela451123113J. Glanowski3362160
LMar 1 · 05:15M. Trela4798111362J. Glanowski521111811113
WJan 24 · 13:35M. Trela331111113J. Glanowski225980
LJan 21 · 14:50M. Trela4771112171J. Glanowski53111310193
WDec 23 · 13:10M. Trela351311113J. Glanowski2711790
LDec 23 · 06:00M. Trela206590J. Glanowski331111113
WAug 24 · 13:50M. Trela331111113J. Glanowski197750
LAug 24 · 03:50M. Trela32951171J. Glanowski4211119113
M. Trela10
LOct 2 · 16:15M. Trela1.9512571172K. Klocek1.701011116113WSep 29 · 00:10M. Trela1.651213133W. Iwasyszyn2.101011110WSep 28 · 23:20M. Trela1.7013511113M. Kowalczyk2.001111871WSep 28 · 21:55M. Trela1.9392011113B. Mrugala1.781118681WSep 28 · 21:30M. Trela1.83811511113M. Skorski1.8311811682WSep 28 · 20:30M. Trela1.4012114113M. Kowalczyk2.651081191LSep 28 · 18:55M. Trela1.429950P. Strus2.551111113LSep 28 · 17:45M. Trela1.83510100B. Mrugala1.871112123WSep 28 · 16:15M. Trela1.7711116113M. Skorski1.95871181LSep 28 · 15:00M. Trela1.721181116142W. Iwasyszyn2.011311514163
J. Glanowski10
WOct 2 · 00:10D. Solilo1.73117119112J. Glanowski2.00811811133LOct 1 · 23:45J. Glanowski1.801191191B. Sulkowski1.9191113113LOct 1 · 22:55J. Glanowski2.0091090A. Linek1.731112113LOct 1 · 21:00J. Glanowski3.256950K. Staszczyk1.331111113WOct 1 · 20:05J. Glanowski1.91119116213A. Mugowski1.80611811192WOct 1 · 18:30A. Linek1.61991312122J. Glanowski2.2011111110143LOct 1 · 17:40K. Staszczyk1.331111123J. Glanowski3.2587100LOct 1 · 16:55J. Glanowski2.0055111192D. Solilo1.73111190113LOct 1 · 15:45J. Glanowski2.001112781D. Kosmal1.7391411113WSep 29 · 00:10J. Glanowski1.6711118113B. Kwodawski2.10951151
Upcoming Matches
M. Trela
J. Glanowski
Oct 2 · 16:35J. Glanowski1.23P. Strus3.80—Oct 2 · 17:20J. Glanowski1.57K. Klocek2.20—Oct 2 · 19:20J. Glanowski—K. Sulkowski——Oct 2 · 20:05J. Glanowski—D. Szlubowski——Oct 2 · 21:05J. Glanowski—M. Trela——Oct 2 · 22:55J. Glanowski—D. Poloszczanski——Oct 2 · 23:45J. Glanowski—J. Lamperski——Oct 3 · 00:10J. Glanowski—K. Sulkowski——
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.