TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Karol Wisniewski vs Mateusz Rutkowski 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911611911––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:39 and never touched: 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeMateusz Rutkowski to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
57 points played in total.
Set by set
911611911––––
H2H Karol Wisniewski 6–6 Mateusz Rutkowski Dead even across their 12 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:3954.7%Our read54.1%to break even at 1.85
clears by 0.6pp54.1% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.85 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.85 (50%)
Rutkowski
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
6-6 in 12
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wisniewski 1592 vs Rutkowski 1691
Rutkowski
Correct
both rated, 99 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wisniewski 20% vs Rutkowski 40%
Rutkowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wisniewski 30% vs Rutkowski 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wisniewski -4 · Rutkowski -1
Wisniewski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% · Coin-flip (leans Rutkowski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rutkowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWisniewski 1.85 / Rutkowski 1.85
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Rutkowski)+0.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13228622
Wisniewski1.85
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Rutkowski1.85
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWisniewski5wins
AwayRutkowski5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWisniewski100%4 of 4
AwayRutkowski83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wisniewski4Rutkowski6n = 10Rutkowski took 6 of 10
S2Wisniewski4Rutkowski6n = 10Rutkowski took 6 of 10
S3Wisniewski5Rutkowski5n = 10split evenly
S4Wisniewski7Rutkowski1n = 8Wisniewski took 7 of 8
S5Wisniewski2Rutkowski3n = 5Rutkowski took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricWisniewskiRutkowskiW − RBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.538.1+1.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWisniewskiRutkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime978 / 2176 vs 825 / 147244.9%56.1%978 / 2176 vs 825 / 1472Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
RutkowskiWisniewski 1.85/Rutkowski 1.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.7%
Rutkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Rutkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 23 · 12:35K. Wisniewski4212811113M. Rutkowski351011951
LSep 21 · 11:20K. Wisniewski178360M. Rutkowski331111113
LSep 21 · 03:00K. Wisniewski45710111162M. Rutkowski43111272113
WSep 18 · 09:45K. Wisniewski4011711113M. Rutkowski34911681
WAug 14 · 00:10K. Wisniewski48611911113M. Rutkowski4311411892
LAug 12 · 23:45K. Wisniewski4897111292M. Rutkowski471111410113
LAug 11 · 23:45K. Wisniewski29711561M. Rutkowski3911611113
WAug 10 · 21:00K. Wisniewski46116711113M. Rutkowski4171111482
WApr 24 · 12:20K. Wisniewski331111113M. Rutkowski249690
LFeb 15 · 20:50K. Wisniewski47111161182M. Rutkowski42134113113
K. Wisniewski10
LOct 1 · 07:40K. Wisniewski1.986190P. Jendrzejewski1.751111113LOct 1 · 06:25K. Wisniewski2.105930J. Kwapis1.661111113LOct 1 · 05:15K. Wisniewski1.85271191M. Kolek1.8511116113LOct 1 · 04:00M. Olbrycht2.0011118113K. Wisniewski1.70871161WOct 1 · 03:20K. Wisniewski1.90141115113K. Kapik1.751671371LSep 30 · 08:30G. Poliniewicz1.8031111143K. Wisniewski1.851168121LSep 30 · 07:15K. Wisniewski3.00116671J. Kuzmicz1.3261111113WSep 30 · 06:00M. Olbrycht2.0069111242K. Wisniewski1.721111610113WSep 30 · 04:50L. Jarocki1.6589130K. Wisniewski2.101111153LSep 30 · 03:20A. Spychala1.7011114113K. Wisniewski2.05581131
M. Rutkowski10
LOct 1 · 14:10M. Rutkowski3.009390K. Kolodziej1.361111113WOct 1 · 12:30L. Jarocki1.61791391M. Rutkowski2.20111111113WOct 1 · 11:40D. Michna1.40661191M. Rutkowski2.7511115113LOct 1 · 10:50M. Rutkowski2.6391111872K. Wloczko1.44119811113LOct 1 · 09:40M. Rutkowski5.505970A. Grela1.131111113WSep 30 · 14:15M. Rutkowski1.95411115113A. Spychala1.7511671182LSep 30 · 12:35K. Kolodziej1.201111113M. Rutkowski3.806330LSep 30 · 11:45M. Olbrycht1.8011514113M. Rutkowski1.859111261LSep 30 · 10:55M. Rutkowski2.00811101182L. Jarocki1.70114128113LSep 30 · 09:45M. Rutkowski1.98813111282G. Poliniewicz1.731115310113
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