Mateusz Rutkowski vs Artur Grela 0-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite Series

Played Oct 1Finished

Mateusz Rutkowski

Home

5.50

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

511911711––––

Artur Grela

Away

1.13

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 3

The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:34 and never touched: 85.8% is still 85.8%

Graded at full time

Artur Grela to win

85.8%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingMateusz Rutkowski above · Artur Grela below

Set 1 · 5-11

Set 2 · 9-11

Set 3 · 7-11

Point 54 set 3, 7-11 · our read held Artur Grela at 85.8%

54 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 09:34

85.8%Our read88.9%to break even at 1.125

short by 3.1pp

88.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.125 they are the same number)

What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.13 (83%)

Grela

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Rutkowski 1685 vs Grela 1937

Grela

Correct

both rated, 252 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Rutkowski 20% vs Grela 80%

Grela

Correct

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Rutkowski 50% vs Grela 50%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Rutkowski +1 · Grela +3

Grela

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 86% · Strong (leans Grela) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsRutkowski 5.50 / Grela 1.125

Signal prob.14% / 86%

Edge (Grela)-3.1pp (anti-value)

TT Elite Series · #13222201

Rutkowski5.50

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog40% won 121 of 300

Down 0–1, comes back21% 38 of 180

Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 88

Grela1.13

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 3

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite67% won 171 of 254

Up 2–0, closes it96% 65 of 68

Up 1–0, closes it76% 115 of 151

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricRutkowskiGrelaBasisWin rate · lifetime823 / 1467 vs 633 / 122456.1%51.7%823 / 1467 vs 633 / 1224Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.6per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Grela

Rutkowski 5.50/Grela 1.13

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

85.8%

Grela · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Grela won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

M. Rutkowski10