TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jaroslav Neuwirth Snr vs Jaroslav Schwan 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7111131012511––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:57 and never touched: 64.9% is still 64.9%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Neuwirth Snr to win
64.9%
64.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJaroslav Neuwirth Snr above · Jaroslav Schwan below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 70 set 4, 5-11 · our read held Jaroslav Neuwirth Snr at 64.9%
70 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Neuwirth Snr 6–0 Jaroslav Schwan Jaroslav Schwan has won 0 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:5764.9%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50
short by 1.8pp66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)
What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Snr
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
6-0 in 6
Snr
Wrong
gap of 6 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Snr 1626 vs Schwan 1569
Snr
Wrong
both rated, 57 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Snr 100% vs Schwan 20%
Snr
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Snr 60% vs Schwan 40%
Snr
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Snr +5 · Schwan +1
Snr
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% · Clear lean (leans Snr) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Schwan form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSnr 1.50 / Schwan 2.50
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Snr)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13222501
Snr1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 46 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it78% 18 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it70% 32 of 46
Schwan2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog27% won 17 of 62
Down 0–1, comes back21% 9 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeSnr6wins
AwaySchwan0wins
3 of 6 to a deciderSnr leads 6–0, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSnr100%3 of 3
AwaySchwan0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Snr3Schwan3n = 6split evenly
S2Snr5Schwan1n = 6Snr took 5 of 6
S3Snr5Schwan1n = 6Snr took 5 of 6
S4Snr2Schwan2n = 4split evenly
S5Snr3Schwan0n = 3Snr took 3 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home350%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricSnrSchwanSnr − SchwanBasisWins60+6in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match43.336.0+7.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSnrSchwanBasisWin rate · lifetime128 / 250 vs 145 / 30851.2%47.1%128 / 250 vs 145 / 308Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.337.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SnrSnr 1.50/Schwan 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.9%
Snr · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Schwan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WMay 26 · 16:59J. Snr341211113J. Schwan2610790
WMay 26 · 14:30J. Snr511011116133J. Schwan50127911112
WMay 21 · 10:00J. Snr548111112123J. Schwan47114814102
WMar 26 · 13:00J. Snr331111113J. Schwan131660
WJan 28 · 11:00J. Snr4071111113J. Schwan31119471
WJan 12 · 12:30J. Snr48124912113J. Schwan491011111072
J. Snr10
WOct 1 · 07:30J. Mikula2.631261581J. Snr1.44101117113WOct 1 · 06:00J. Snr1.911211110113D. Heczko1.80103111272WSep 24 · 09:30A. Rinka2.1055110J. Snr1.671111133WSep 24 · 08:00A. Rinka2.1011912922J. Snr1.675111011113WSep 24 · 07:00J. Mikula2.256570J. Snr1.571111113LSep 24 · 06:30J. Snr1.6111491162D. Oborny2.20711115113LSep 8 · 12:59M. Heczko2.751111113J. Snr1.407140LSep 8 · 12:00J. Cabak1.611112123J. Snr2.20510100LSep 8 · 11:00J. Levicky2.0012139113J. Snr1.7310111151WSep 8 · 10:30J. Snr1.501111113M. Heczko2.505880
J. Schwan10
WOct 1 · 07:00D. Heczko2.257133101J. Schwan1.57111111123LOct 1 · 06:30J. Schwan1.7311831292J. Mikula2.009111110113LSep 30 · 08:58J. Schwan1.363118101V. Adamczyk3.0011711123LSep 30 · 08:00R. Skacelik1.801111113J. Schwan1.917860LSep 30 · 07:00R. Vavrecka1.615111310113J. Schwan2.20114111262WSep 30 · 06:30J. Schwan1.501111113V. Adamczyk2.507560WSep 29 · 16:59J. Schwan1.531111123V. Adamczyk2.3856100WSep 29 · 16:30J. Schwan1.5311611113V. Adamczyk2.38211651LSep 29 · 15:00J. Schwan1.9198111182A. Walek1.80111196113LSep 29 · 14:00D. Langer1.571111113J. Schwan2.258580
Upcoming Matches
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J. Schwan
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