TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Pawel Slosarczyk vs Mariusz Baron · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Live
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Set 3
1 – 1
Sets
611121032––––
Points in set 3
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 5
How it is goingPawel Slosarczyk above · Mariusz Baron below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 0-1 in play
Point 40 set 3, 0-1
40 points drawn · the score is 4 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Pawel Slosarczyk 6–19 Mariusz Baron Pawel Slosarczyk has won 6 of their 25 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Baron beat Slosarczyk 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlosarczyk 1.80 / Baron 1.909
TT Elite Series · #13222159
Slosarczyk1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 86 of 131
Up 2–0, closes it91% 42 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it80% 60 of 75
Baron1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 192 of 480
Down 0–1, comes back25% 67 of 265
Down 0–2, comes back9% 12 of 136
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSlosarczyk4wins
AwayBaron6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderBaron leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlosarczyk75%3 of 4
AwayBaron83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slosarczyk4Baron6n = 10Baron took 6 of 10
S2Slosarczyk4Baron6n = 10Baron took 6 of 10
S3Slosarczyk5Baron5n = 10split evenly
S4Slosarczyk3Baron6n = 9Baron took 6 of 9
S5Slosarczyk3Baron2n = 5Slosarczyk took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSlosarczykBaronS − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.544.8−3.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlosarczykBaronBasisWin rate · lifetime355 / 941 vs 874 / 183237.7%47.7%355 / 941 vs 874 / 1832Avg sets wonper match1.72.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.339.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 23:50P. Slosarczyk541181110143M. Baron49811612122
LSep 21 · 17:55P. Slosarczyk36571591M. Baron46111113113
LSep 11 · 11:25P. Slosarczyk391181371M. Baron4581115113
WSep 11 · 05:15P. Slosarczyk50111189113M. Baron4169111142
LSep 9 · 22:25P. Slosarczyk40311101152M. Baron51118129113
WAug 10 · 03:05P. Slosarczyk4211911113M. Baron33611791
LAug 9 · 21:05P. Slosarczyk4561117652M. Baron571191511113
LJul 30 · 23:10P. Slosarczyk36812881M. Baron43111011113
WJul 30 · 17:10P. Slosarczyk51791212113M. Baron501111101082
LJul 20 · 01:55P. Slosarczyk226880M. Baron331111113
P. Slosarczyk10
LOct 1 · 10:35P. Slosarczyk3.75159101322W. Urban1.2513111211113LOct 1 · 09:50P. Gumulinski1.28111113113P. Slosarczyk3.501371181LOct 1 · 08:35P. Slosarczyk2.0011119182M. Baron1.73891111113WOct 1 · 06:55P. Slosarczyk2.201111113O. Vincenec1.617980LOct 1 · 05:40P. Slosarczyk3.50631161P. Gumulinski1.2811118113LOct 1 · 04:10P. Slosarczyk2.1081161172R. Idaczyk1.67116118113LOct 1 · 03:00P. Slosarczyk3.252640W. Urban1.331111113WSep 30 · 01:45M. Koczyba1.445111181P. Slosarczyk2.6311138113WSep 30 · 01:00J. Nowak1.8311119592P. Slosarczyk1.83961111113LSep 30 · 00:10P. Slosarczyk3.50114111172P. Gumulinski1.28911139113
M. Baron10
WOct 1 · 11:00P. Gumulinski1.801016121192M. Baron1.911218108113WOct 1 · 09:25R. Idaczyk2.008680M. Baron1.731111113WOct 1 · 08:35P. Slosarczyk2.0011119182M. Baron1.73891111113WOct 1 · 07:20M. Baron1.831112710113W. Urban1.83910111252WOct 1 · 06:05O. Vincenec1.677580M. Baron2.101111113LOct 1 · 04:55P. Gumulinski1.80711128113M. Baron1.91119101182LOct 1 · 03:25R. Idaczyk1.9111811123M. Baron1.808116101LSep 29 · 16:40P. Polok1.421111113M. Baron2.609680LSep 29 · 15:55W. Ptak1.731111113M. Baron1.989740LSep 29 · 13:55S. Juzek1.9011911113M. Baron1.80611561
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