TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jan Vonasek vs Ondrej Fiklik 3-2 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
4111151176111311
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingJan Vonasek above · Ondrej Fiklik below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 90 set 5, 13-11
90 points played in total.
H2H Jan Vonasek 56–64 Ondrej Fiklik Jan Vonasek has won 56 of their 120 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Vonasek beat Fiklik 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fiklik form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVonasek 1.909 / Fiklik 1.80
TT Cup · #13221502
Vonasek1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 66 of 175
Down 0–1, comes back17% 17 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 58
Fiklik1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 89 of 164
Up 2–0, closes it93% 41 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it71% 60 of 84
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVonasek7wins
AwayFiklik3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVonasek leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVonasek85.7%6 of 7
AwayFiklik66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vonasek7Fiklik3n = 10Vonasek took 7 of 10
S2Vonasek5Fiklik5n = 10split evenly
S3Vonasek2Fiklik8n = 10Fiklik took 8 of 10
S4Vonasek7Fiklik3n = 10Vonasek took 7 of 10
S5Vonasek3Fiklik0n = 3Vonasek took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVonasekFiklikV − FBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match43.541.3+2.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVonasekFiklikBasisWin rate · lifetime352 / 716 vs 553 / 121149.2%45.7%352 / 716 vs 553 / 1211Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
FiklikVonasek 1.91/Fiklik 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–2
Vonasek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 30 · 09:25J. Vonasek3911512113O. Fiklik359111051
LSep 24 · 08:25J. Vonasek32511881O. Fiklik4011711113
WSep 21 · 09:25J. Vonasek48611811123O. Fiklik39114113102
WSep 20 · 16:20J. Vonasek3811115113O. Fiklik38991191
WSep 18 · 10:38J. Vonasek50111115133O. Fiklik403917111
WSep 18 · 07:25J. Vonasek601110711213O. Fiklik55612117192
WSep 14 · 12:50J. Vonasek45116611113O. Fiklik4371111682
LSep 10 · 11:55J. Vonasek435141591O. Fiklik51111613113
WAug 23 · 20:55J. Vonasek4211119113O. Fiklik29841161
LAug 22 · 21:25J. Vonasek381191081O. Fiklik4391112113
J. Vonasek10
WSep 30 · 09:25O. Fiklik1.919111051J. Vonasek1.8011512113LSep 30 · 08:25J. Vonasek1.7391311111V. Hejda Jr2.0011158133LSep 30 · 06:55A. Langer2.63111189113J. Vonasek1.4417111192WSep 29 · 13:50P. Benes1.36811891J. Vonasek3.0011411113LSep 29 · 12:50J. Vonasek2.756690P. Benes1.401111113WSep 29 · 11:20A. Langer2.507950J. Vonasek1.501111113WSep 29 · 10:50V. Hejda Jr2.1061161272J. Vonasek1.671191110113WSep 24 · 10:15J. Vonasek1.5011116113A. Langer2.50781191LSep 24 · 09:25V. Hejda Jr2.101011813113J. Vonasek1.67128111162LSep 24 · 08:25J. Vonasek2.00511881O. Fiklik1.7311711113
O. Fiklik10
LSep 30 · 09:25O. Fiklik1.919111051J. Vonasek1.8011512113LSep 30 · 07:55A. Langer2.2011911113O. Fiklik1.61911791LSep 30 · 07:25V. Hejda Jr2.6312811113O. Fiklik1.441011391WSep 29 · 21:18O. Fiklik1.731111123M. Sulc2.0086100WSep 29 · 20:20M. Sulc2.108112101O. Fiklik1.6711911123LSep 29 · 19:50A. Kosacky1.4411116113O. Fiklik2.63311181WSep 29 · 18:50O. Fiklik2.00118711113M. Kulisek1.7391111962WSep 28 · 21:53M. Kulisek1.8081411662O. Fiklik1.911112811113LSep 28 · 20:55O. Fiklik1.9161170M. Kulisek1.801113113WSep 24 · 08:25J. Vonasek2.00511881O. Fiklik1.7311711113
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