TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Dalimil Machander vs Petr Osvald 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611119711119611
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:57 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePetr Osvald to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingDalimil Machander above · Petr Osvald below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 92 set 5, 6-11 · our read held Petr Osvald at 54.0%
92 points played in total.
H2H Dalimil Machander 0–1 Petr Osvald Dalimil Machander has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:5754.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833
short by 0.6pp54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Osvald
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Machander 1513 vs Osvald 1558
Osvald
Correct
both rated, 46 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Machander 40% vs Osvald 100%
Osvald
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Machander 40% vs Osvald 70%
Osvald
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Machander -1 · Osvald +6
Osvald
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Osvald) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Osvald form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMachander 1.833 / Osvald 1.833
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Osvald)-0.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13221121
Machander1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 29)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Osvald1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Sep 27)
Won last 6
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMachander0wins
AwayOsvald1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderOsvald leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMachanderOsvaldM − OBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match41.051.0−10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMachanderOsvaldBasisWin rate · lifetime180 / 395 vs 117 / 23545.6%49.8%180 / 395 vs 117 / 235Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.137.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
OsvaldMachander 1.83/Osvald 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Osvald · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Osvald won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LOct 1 · 06:00D. Machander4161171162P. Osvald51119119113
D. Machander10
LSep 29 · 09:28D. Machander1.67811581M. Volny2.1011811113WSep 29 · 08:00D. Machander1.7311119113M. Volny2.00461131LSep 29 · 07:30M. Blejchar2.63511711113D. Machander1.4411811982WSep 29 · 06:00D. Machander1.7311119113M. Koral2.00971141LSep 26 · 20:59D. Machander2.10471181R. Vavrecka1.6711118113LSep 26 · 20:00D. Machander2.5079100D. Langer1.501111123WSep 26 · 19:30A. Walek1.911011851D. Machander1.8012711113LSep 26 · 18:00D. Machander2.2519119782R. Vavrecka1.571791111113LSep 26 · 09:30P. Slavik1.571114113D. Machander2.2571250WSep 26 · 08:30D. Machander1.531115113L. Velicka2.3881350
P. Osvald10
WSep 27 · 13:30P. Osvald1.3511913133M. Kowolowski2.9071111111WSep 27 · 12:00P. Osvald1.8012711113M. Blejchar1.911011251WSep 27 · 11:30M. Kowolowski2.5010820P. Osvald1.501211113WSep 27 · 10:00P. Osvald1.83111211113P. Bajtek1.83814561WSep 24 · 08:58P. Osvald1.731111113T. Milota2.006910WSep 24 · 08:30P. Osvald2.501111123T. Milota1.5074100LSep 24 · 07:00P. Osvald2.63111070M. Koral1.441312113LSep 24 · 06:00M. Blejchar2.00911117113P. Osvald1.7311561172LSep 19 · 09:30P. Osvald1.8011511732P. Hanel1.90611611113WSep 19 · 08:30P. Hanel1.8320680P. Osvald1.832211113
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