TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Adrian Spychala vs Jakub Kuzmicz 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711115511911––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
70 points played in total.
Set by set
711115511911––
H2H Adrian Spychala 11–17 Jakub Kuzmicz Adrian Spychala has won 11 of their 28 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 18h before this match
Spychala beat Kuzmicz 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzmicz form (20%) is below what odds imply (74%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSpychala 3.00 / Kuzmicz 1.35
TT Elite Series · #13220502
Spychala3.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog31% won 100 of 324
Down 0–1, comes back15% 32 of 213
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 115
Kuzmicz1.35
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 399 of 635
Up 2–0, closes it98% 167 of 171
Up 1–0, closes it83% 279 of 338
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSpychala5wins
AwayKuzmicz5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSpychala75%3 of 4
AwayKuzmicz66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Spychala4Kuzmicz6n = 10Kuzmicz took 6 of 10
S2Spychala5Kuzmicz5n = 10split evenly
S3Spychala5Kuzmicz5n = 10split evenly
S4Spychala3Kuzmicz6n = 9Kuzmicz took 6 of 9
S5Spychala3Kuzmicz1n = 4Spychala took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSpychalaKuzmiczS − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.542.2−1.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSpychalaKuzmiczBasisWin rate · lifetime538 / 1429 vs 726 / 126337.7%57.5%538 / 1429 vs 726 / 1263Avg sets wonper match1.62.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.440.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KuzmiczSpychala 3.00/Kuzmicz 1.35
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
1–3
Kuzmicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 29 · 11:45A. Spychala50111189113J. Kuzmicz4799111172
LSep 2 · 10:05A. Spychala36481591J. Kuzmicz46111113113
WAug 25 · 10:55A. Spychala43115115113J. Kuzmicz4571181182
LAug 18 · 18:50A. Spychala374111391J. Kuzmicz4611915113
LAug 17 · 15:25A. Spychala2366110J. Kuzmicz351111133
WAug 14 · 19:40A. Spychala4111811113J. Kuzmicz33911581
WAug 13 · 14:35A. Spychala51811129113J. Kuzmicz47119101162
LJun 27 · 06:05A. Spychala50119111182J. Kuzmicz47611136113
LJun 4 · 10:20A. Spychala31711491J. Kuzmicz4211911113
WJun 4 · 07:10A. Spychala43101111113J. Kuzmicz34127961
A. Spychala10
LSep 30 · 04:00G. Poliniewicz2.10911114113A. Spychala1.6611941192WSep 30 · 03:20A. Spychala1.7011114113K. Wisniewski2.05581131WSep 29 · 14:15A. Spychala1.67111011113K. Staszczyk2.10812231LSep 29 · 12:35M. Miastowski1.7421411113A. Spychala1.991112391WSep 29 · 11:45J. Kuzmicz1.4099111172A. Spychala2.75111189113WSep 29 · 10:55A. Spychala1.69812161113K. Kolodziej2.061110141162WSep 29 · 09:45A. Spychala1.7511611113M. Sklensky1.98911671WSep 2 · 19:40A. Spychala1.801211113J. Witkowski1.9110790WSep 2 · 18:30A. Spychala1.73119411113M. Olbrycht2.0031111772LSep 2 · 17:20A. Spychala1.83117781K. Kapik1.8371111113
J. Kuzmicz10
LSep 30 · 04:25M. Olbrycht2.401111123J. Kuzmicz1.5097100WSep 30 · 03:00G. Poliniewicz2.606101141J. Kuzmicz1.4411125113LSep 29 · 14:35J. Kuzmicz2.10541171K. Kolodziej1.6511116113LSep 29 · 13:00J. Kuzmicz1.90117891M. Sklensky1.8091111113LSep 29 · 11:45J. Kuzmicz1.4099111172A. Spychala2.75111189113LSep 29 · 10:05J. Kuzmicz2.005970M. Miastowski1.731111113WSep 29 · 09:00J. Kuzmicz1.401111113K. Staszczyk2.756990LSep 28 · 07:40J. Kuzmicz1.301191341D. Kostal3.1091115113WSep 28 · 06:25J. Kuzmicz1.5721511113M. Sklensky2.271113871LSep 28 · 05:15J. Kuzmicz1.5169111172G. Poliniewicz2.40111195113
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