TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jiri Louda vs Sebastian Kasnik 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311117119––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingJiri Louda above · Sebastian Kasnik below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 62 set 3, 11-9
62 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Louda 48–28 Sebastian Kasnik Sebastian Kasnik has won 28 of their 76 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Louda beat Kasnik 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kasnik form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLouda 1.61 / Kasnik 2.20
Czech Liga Pro · #13219143
Louda1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 175 of 322
Up 2–0, closes it87% 79 of 91
Up 1–0, closes it72% 131 of 182
Kasnik2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 118 of 294
Down 0–1, comes back19% 28 of 151
Down 0–2, comes back9% 8 of 88
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLouda5wins
AwayKasnik5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLouda71.4%5 of 7
AwayKasnik100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Louda7Kasnik3n = 10Louda took 7 of 10
S2Louda6Kasnik4n = 10Louda took 6 of 10
S3Louda4Kasnik6n = 10Kasnik took 6 of 10
S4Louda2Kasnik3n = 5Kasnik took 3 of 5
S5Louda1Kasnik2n = 3Kasnik took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricLoudaKasnikL − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.732.9+2.8per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLoudaKasnikBasisWin rate · lifetime613 / 1201 vs 470 / 100351%46.9%613 / 1201 vs 470 / 1003Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.436.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
LoudaLouda 1.61/Kasnik 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–0
Louda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 24 · 19:30J. Louda259880S. Kasnik331111113
WSep 22 · 08:30J. Louda3711114113S. Kasnik27651151
WSep 13 · 02:30J. Louda331111113S. Kasnik165650
LSep 10 · 23:00J. Louda50111110992S. Kasnik46841211113
LSep 4 · 06:00J. Louda4381111762S. Kasnik41115311113
LSep 1 · 14:00J. Louda30115681S. Kasnik3631111113
WAug 28 · 03:28J. Louda46114911113S. Kasnik3841111752
LAug 27 · 22:00J. Louda218580S. Kasnik331111113
WAug 21 · 03:30J. Louda361213113S. Kasnik26101150
J. Louda10
LSep 29 · 20:30J. Louda1.80118451P. Saleny1.9161111113LSep 29 · 19:00J. Louda2.006111261M. Wagner1.73111310113WSep 29 · 18:00S. Kasnik2.20105100J. Louda1.611211123WSep 28 · 17:30M. Regner1.8361391172J. Louda1.831111118113LSep 28 · 16:30J. Louda1.838470M. Regner1.831111113WSep 28 · 15:00J. Louda1.67114511123J. Tazler2.10811119102WSep 28 · 14:00M. Pikous1.916390J. Louda1.801111113LSep 28 · 02:58M. Pikous2.001111123J. Louda1.7375100LSep 28 · 02:30M. Pikous2.0011711113J. Louda1.73411591WSep 28 · 01:00S. Kadavy2.2010450J. Louda1.611211113
S. Kasnik10
LSep 29 · 20:00S. Kasnik2.106340M. Wagner1.671111113LSep 29 · 19:30P. Saleny1.4013911113S. Kasnik2.751111491LSep 29 · 18:00S. Kasnik2.20105100J. Louda1.611211123LSep 29 · 03:00M. Skakal1.501041512113S. Kasnik2.501211131092WSep 29 · 02:00R. Wagner1.5781111682S. Kasnik2.25116911113LSep 29 · 00:30S. Kasnik2.1081170M. Skakal1.671113113WSep 28 · 23:00S. Kasnik1.801011153133J. Tazler1.911281311112LSep 28 · 22:00O. Svacha1.361111113S. Kasnik3.002250WSep 25 · 08:58S. Kasnik2.0012113113M. Sychra1.731081191WSep 25 · 08:30M. Sychra1.735880S. Kasnik2.001111113
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