TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Artem Chepurnyi vs Eduard Rubtsov 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1121121412––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:53 and never touched: 74.1% is still 74.1%
Graded at full timeArtem Chepurnyi to win
74.1%
74.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingArtem Chepurnyi above · Eduard Rubtsov below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 14-12
Point 52 set 3, 14-12 · our read held Artem Chepurnyi at 74.1%
52 points played in total.
H2H Artem Chepurnyi 65–37 Eduard Rubtsov Eduard Rubtsov has won 37 of their 102 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:53What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Chepurnyi
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
65-37 in 102
Chepurnyi
Correct
gap of 28 in 102, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chepurnyi 1781 vs Rubtsov 1449
Chepurnyi
Correct
both rated, 333 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chepurnyi 80% vs Rubtsov 40%
Chepurnyi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chepurnyi 60% vs Rubtsov 40%
Chepurnyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chepurnyi +4 · Rubtsov -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% · Strong (leans Chepurnyi) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChepurnyi 1.33 / Rubtsov 3.25
Signal prob.74% / 26%
Edge (Chepurnyi)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13213807
Chepurnyi1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 158 of 242
Up 2–0, closes it93% 79 of 85
Up 1–0, closes it83% 122 of 147
Rubtsov3.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 100 of 279
Down 0–1, comes back15% 23 of 157
Down 0–2, comes back9% 10 of 114
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChepurnyi5wins
AwayRubtsov5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChepurnyi66.7%4 of 6
AwayRubtsov75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chepurnyi6Rubtsov4n = 10Chepurnyi took 6 of 10
S2Chepurnyi5Rubtsov5n = 10split evenly
S3Chepurnyi5Rubtsov5n = 10split evenly
S4Chepurnyi3Rubtsov3n = 6split evenly
S5Chepurnyi1Rubtsov2n = 3Rubtsov took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricChepurnyiRubtsovC − RBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.937.7−0.8per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChepurnyiRubtsovBasisWin rate · lifetime542 / 922 vs 290 / 75158.8%38.6%542 / 922 vs 290 / 751Avg sets wonper match2.21.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.535.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ChepurnyiChepurnyi 1.33/Rubtsov 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.1%
Chepurnyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Chepurnyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 22 · 22:55A. Chepurnyi511110611133E. Rubtsov45512116112
LJul 22 · 21:25A. Chepurnyi208840E. Rubtsov331111113
LJul 22 · 01:55A. Chepurnyi208840E. Rubtsov331111113
WJul 2 · 14:25A. Chepurnyi331111113E. Rubtsov185580
LJul 2 · 00:25A. Chepurnyi36791191E. Rubtsov4011117113
LJun 30 · 22:25A. Chepurnyi4211128382E. Rubtsov529101111113
LJun 25 · 22:25A. Chepurnyi4011117472E. Rubtsov49971111113
WJun 23 · 23:55A. Chepurnyi4311711143E. Rubtsov389116121
WJun 18 · 22:25A. Chepurnyi331111113E. Rubtsov228680
WJun 16 · 17:55A. Chepurnyi51121611123E. Rubtsov4714149101
A. Chepurnyi10
WSep 30 · 00:25A. Chepurnyi2.6341111113S. Ponomarenko1.44118871WSep 29 · 22:55A. Chepurnyi1.53811711113O. Mishchenko2.3811811992WSep 29 · 21:25A. Chepurnyi1.401111113V. Kovalenko2.757690WSep 27 · 04:25A. Chepurnyi1.831111113O. Gavryshko1.837650LSep 27 · 02:25Y. Kryvorotko1.611111113A. Chepurnyi2.209540WSep 27 · 00:25O. Mishchenko2.5061170A. Chepurnyi1.501113113WSep 26 · 23:25A. Chepurnyi1.4491112113I. Demchenko2.631171031LSep 26 · 22:25O. Dukhovenko1.4411912143A. Chepurnyi2.6381110121LSep 25 · 19:25A. Chepurnyi2.505750O. Dukhovenko1.501111113LSep 25 · 17:55A. Chepurnyi2.20115641Y. Kryvorotko1.6181111113
E. Rubtsov10
LSep 30 · 00:55E. Rubtsov3.00811561O. Mishchenko1.3611811113LSep 29 · 23:55O. Kovalchuk1.73912212113E. Rubtsov2.001110111062LSep 29 · 22:25E. Rubtsov8.0011960S. Ponomarenko1.061311113WSep 23 · 18:03O. Kovalchuk1.73117111182E. Rubtsov2.00911137113WSep 23 · 17:05E. Rubtsov9.001111113S. Ponomarenko1.048870WSep 23 · 16:05E. Rubtsov2.6381111113P. Plakushchyi1.44118731LSep 23 · 14:35E. Rubtsov2.63612581V. Kovalenko1.44111011113LSep 23 · 13:35E. Rubtsov1.918840O. Kovalchuk1.801111113WSep 23 · 04:25S. Ponomarenko1.069111071E. Rubtsov8.0011612113LSep 23 · 02:55E. Rubtsov2.509490V. Kovalenko1.501111113
Upcoming Matches
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E. Rubtsov
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