TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Anton Shypilov vs Valerii Vlasenko 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
211911911––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:08 and never touched: 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeValerii Vlasenko to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingAnton Shypilov above · Valerii Vlasenko below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 53 set 3, 9-11 · our read held Valerii Vlasenko at 55.8%
53 points played in total.
H2H Anton Shypilov 50–53 Valerii Vlasenko Anton Shypilov has won 50 of their 103 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:08What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Vlasenko
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
50-53 in 103
Vlasenko
Correct
gap of 3 in 103, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shypilov 1523 vs Vlasenko 1500
Shypilov
Wrong
both rated, 23 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shypilov 60% vs Vlasenko 40%
Shypilov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shypilov 50% vs Vlasenko 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Shypilov -2 · Vlasenko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Vlasenko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vlasenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShypilov 2.10 / Vlasenko 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Vlasenko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13213626
Shypilov2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 163 of 365
Down 0–1, comes back29% 59 of 202
Down 0–2, comes back11% 12 of 108
Vlasenko1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite51% won 36 of 70
Up 2–0, closes it81% 17 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it60% 22 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShypilov6wins
AwayVlasenko4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderShypilov leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShypilov40%2 of 5
AwayVlasenko20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shypilov5Vlasenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Shypilov6Vlasenko4n = 10Shypilov took 6 of 10
S3Shypilov7Vlasenko3n = 10Shypilov took 7 of 10
S4Shypilov4Vlasenko5n = 9Vlasenko took 5 of 9
S5Shypilov1Vlasenko2n = 3Vlasenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricShypilovVlasenkoS − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.039.2+1.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShypilovVlasenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime387 / 849 vs 409 / 93545.6%43.7%387 / 849 vs 409 / 935Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
VlasenkoShypilov 2.10/Vlasenko 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Vlasenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Vlasenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 27 · 05:35A. Shypilov3961111113V. Vlasenko34117881
LSep 25 · 02:15A. Shypilov381261191V. Vlasenko4514119113
WSep 24 · 02:15A. Shypilov331111113V. Vlasenko206590
WSep 21 · 06:25A. Shypilov3951111123V. Vlasenko361187101
LSep 18 · 00:45A. Shypilov4711911792V. Vlasenko47511911113
LSep 16 · 00:45A. Shypilov381191171V. Vlasenko4491113113
WSep 13 · 05:35A. Shypilov48811117113V. Vlasenko4311671182
LSep 12 · 02:00A. Shypilov4311971152V. Vlasenko49811118113
WSep 10 · 02:15A. Shypilov44101111123V. Vlasenko351249101
A. Shypilov10
LSep 30 · 00:45A. Shypilov2.101091281O. Hura1.67121110113LSep 29 · 23:15A. Shypilov2.2091090M. Smyrnov1.611112113WSep 29 · 21:45A. Shypilov1.91115129113N. Kovalchuk1.80611101192WSep 29 · 20:15A. Shypilov1.838121111113O. Mitla1.8311144872WSep 27 · 11:35A. Shypilov2.001111113M. Smyrnov1.737770LSep 27 · 09:35V. Boyko2.00111111133A. Shypilov1.739139111LSep 27 · 07:35A. Kotyk1.331111113A. Shypilov3.257680LSep 27 · 06:35A. Shypilov2.25118791O. Hura1.5791111113WSep 27 · 05:35V. Vlasenko1.80117881A. Shypilov1.9161111113WSep 26 · 19:05A. Shypilov2.2511611163O. Hura1.578119141
V. Vlasenko10
LSep 30 · 01:15V. Vlasenko2.1075120M. Smyrnov1.671111143LSep 30 · 00:15V. Vlasenko1.7313811872O. Mitla2.001111811113WSep 29 · 22:45V. Vlasenko2.20101111113O. Hura1.61127981LSep 29 · 20:45V. Vlasenko2.251111111072N. Kovalchuk1.57133712113WSep 27 · 11:05V. Vlasenko2.0013101110113O. Hura1.73111291292LSep 27 · 09:05A. Kotyk1.4411129113V. Vlasenko2.637101181WSep 27 · 08:05V. Vlasenko2.20511711113M. Smyrnov1.6111411742LSep 27 · 07:05V. Boyko1.6711119133V. Vlasenko2.107811111LSep 27 · 05:35V. Vlasenko1.80117881A. Shypilov1.9161111113WSep 26 · 02:00O. Napirko1.8061116672V. Vlasenko1.911151411113
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