TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vitalii Boyko vs Anton Shypilov 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11911131191311––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:11 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAnton Shypilov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVitalii Boyko above · Anton Shypilov below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 88 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Anton Shypilov at 54.0%
88 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Boyko 18–19 Anton Shypilov Vitalii Boyko has won 18 of their 37 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:11What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Shypilov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-19 in 37
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Boyko 1502 vs Shypilov 1526
Shypilov
Wrong
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Boyko 20% vs Shypilov 40%
Shypilov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Boyko 40% vs Shypilov 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Boyko -1 · Shypilov -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Shypilov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shypilov form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBoyko 2.00 / Shypilov 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Shypilov)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13202135
Boyko2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 35 of 93
Down 0–1, comes back25% 15 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 35
Shypilov1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite63% won 15 of 24
Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it81% 13 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBoyko3wins
AwayShypilov7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderShypilov leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBoyko66.7%2 of 3
AwayShypilov85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Boyko3Shypilov7n = 10Shypilov took 7 of 10
S2Boyko3Shypilov7n = 10Shypilov took 7 of 10
S3Boyko5Shypilov5n = 10split evenly
S4Boyko5Shypilov2n = 7Boyko took 5 of 7
S5Boyko1Shypilov3n = 4Shypilov took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBoykoShypilovB − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.140.8−2.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBoykoShypilovBasisWin rate · lifetime222 / 477 vs 384 / 84346.5%45.6%222 / 477 vs 384 / 843Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShypilovBoyko 2.00/Shypilov 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Shypilov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Boyko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 26 · 13:05V. Boyko50910111372A. Shypilov541112911113
WSep 19 · 18:05V. Boyko4011711113A. Shypilov37811991
WSep 13 · 09:05V. Boyko331111113A. Shypilov173590
LSep 12 · 16:35V. Boyko3961251152A. Shypilov501110117113
WSep 11 · 22:30V. Boyko49771111133A. Shypilov44111156112
LAug 22 · 12:05V. Boyko2511770A. Shypilov351311113
LAug 21 · 23:30V. Boyko409121181A. Shypilov4511149113
LAug 16 · 10:35V. Boyko2315350A. Shypilov391711113
LAug 15 · 18:35V. Boyko311131071A. Shypilov4171112113
LJun 21 · 06:05V. Boyko51121191182A. Shypilov46144116113
V. Boyko10
WSep 27 · 10:35A. Kotyk1.367980V. Boyko3.001111113LSep 27 · 08:35V. Boyko2.50107111192O. Hura1.50121169113WSep 27 · 07:05V. Boyko1.6711119133V. Vlasenko2.107811111LSep 27 · 05:05V. Boyko1.7310490M. Smyrnov2.001211113LSep 26 · 18:35V. Boyko2.20611861R. Lazebnyi1.6111711113LSep 26 · 16:35N. Kovalchuk1.571111173V. Boyko2.2569150WSep 26 · 15:35V. Boyko2.251111113O. Hura1.579470WSep 26 · 14:35O. Mitla2.0081311482V. Boyko1.731111711103LSep 26 · 13:05V. Boyko2.00910111372A. Shypilov1.731112911113LSep 26 · 03:00V. Boyko1.67751181M. Smyrnov2.1011117113
A. Shypilov10
LSep 27 · 07:35A. Kotyk1.331111113A. Shypilov3.257680LSep 27 · 06:35A. Shypilov2.25118791O. Hura1.5791111113WSep 27 · 05:35V. Vlasenko1.80117881A. Shypilov1.9161111113WSep 26 · 19:05A. Shypilov2.2511611163O. Hura1.578119141LSep 26 · 17:05O. Mitla1.7311951183A. Shypilov2.0091111872LSep 26 · 15:05N. Kovalchuk1.801211910113A. Shypilov1.91106111282LSep 26 · 14:05A. Shypilov2.635121151R. Lazebnyi1.441114873WSep 26 · 13:05V. Boyko2.00910111372A. Shypilov1.731112911113LSep 25 · 02:15A. Shypilov2.201261191V. Vlasenko1.6114119113WSep 25 · 00:45A. Shypilov2.001181211133O. Mitla1.731311104112
Upcoming Matches
V. Boyko
Nothing scheduled
A. Shypilov
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