TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Anton Shypilov vs Oleksii Mitla 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
111381112101141311
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:01 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeOleksii Mitla to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAnton Shypilov above · Oleksii Mitla below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 104 set 5, 13-11 — our read held Oleksii Mitla at 54.1%
104 points played in total.
H2H Anton Shypilov 51–66 Oleksii Mitla Anton Shypilov has won 51 of their 117 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:01What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Mitla
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
51-66 in 117
Mitla
Wrong
gap of 15 in 117, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shypilov 1547 vs Mitla 1530
Shypilov
Correct
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shypilov 60% vs Mitla 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shypilov 50% vs Mitla 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Shypilov +1 · Mitla +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mitla)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShypilov 2.00 / Mitla 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Mitla)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13186872
Shypilov2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 161 of 362
Down 0–1, comes back29% 58 of 199
Down 0–2, comes back12% 13 of 105
Mitla1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 52 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it64% 9 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it73% 30 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShypilov4wins
AwayMitla6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderMitla leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShypilov42.9%3 of 7
AwayMitla66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shypilov7Mitla3n = 10Shypilov took 7 of 10
S2Shypilov5Mitla5n = 10split evenly
S3Shypilov3Mitla7n = 10Mitla took 7 of 10
S4Shypilov6Mitla3n = 9Shypilov took 6 of 9
S5Shypilov1Mitla4n = 5Mitla took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricShypilovMitlaS − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match44.843.2+1.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShypilovMitlaBasisWin rate · lifetime380 / 833 vs 350 / 80645.6%43.4%380 / 833 vs 350 / 806Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MitlaShypilov 2.00/Mitla 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Mitla · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Shypilov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 09:38A. Shypilov44111111113O. Mitla32513591
LSep 21 · 08:25A. Shypilov48119152112O. Mitla546111311133
WSep 20 · 05:35A. Shypilov331111113O. Mitla227870
LSep 18 · 02:15A. Shypilov51118111472O. Mitla547111312113
LSep 17 · 02:15A. Shypilov49121181172O. Mitla51146119113
WSep 16 · 02:15A. Shypilov538111011133O. Mitla51119128112
LSep 13 · 11:05A. Shypilov361187101O. Mitla4061111123
WSep 12 · 14:35A. Shypilov4311129113O. Mitla349101141
LSep 12 · 24:00A. Shypilov48116911112O. Mitla47511117133
LSep 9 · 20:15A. Shypilov4391410101O. Mitla47111212123
A. Shypilov10
LSep 25 · 02:15A. Shypilov2.201261191V. Vlasenko1.6114119113WSep 24 · 23:15A. Shypilov2.6312911133S. Berezynskyi1.4410116111LSep 24 · 21:45A. Shypilov2.10991361M. Smyrnov1.67111111113WSep 24 · 20:15A. Shypilov2.10151111123O. Hura1.671779101WSep 24 · 02:15A. Shypilov2.201111113V. Vlasenko1.616590LSep 24 · 24:45A. Shypilov2.20611111152M. Smyrnov1.61113135113LSep 23 · 23:15A. Shypilov2.004813101N. Kovalchuk1.73111111123LSep 23 · 21:45A. Shypilov2.6391241152S. Berezynskyi1.441110118113WSep 23 · 20:15A. Shypilov2.0071211113O. Napirko1.731110491WSep 21 · 09:38O. Mitla1.83513591A. Shypilov1.83111111113
O. Mitla10
WSep 25 · 02:45O. Mitla2.00814115163O. Hura1.731112811142WSep 24 · 23:45O. Mitla1.8311116113M. Smyrnov1.83991191WSep 24 · 22:45V. Vlasenko1.806440O. Mitla1.911111113LSep 24 · 21:15O. Mitla2.2531111162S. Berezynskyi1.57118116113LSep 21 · 09:38O. Mitla1.83513591A. Shypilov1.83111111113WSep 21 · 08:25A. Shypilov2.10119152112O. Mitla1.676111311133LSep 21 · 06:55O. Hura1.6791412113O. Mitla2.1011121081WSep 21 · 05:25V. Vlasenko1.9161751272O. Mitla1.8011151110113LSep 21 · 04:25N. Kovalchuk1.401111113O. Mitla2.758770WSep 20 · 11:05O. Mitla2.75911156113R. Lazebnyi1.40117131182
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