TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vitalii Boyko vs Orest Hura 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1012711116119911
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:39 and never touched — 62.9% is still 62.9%
Graded at full timeOrest Hura to win
62.9%
62.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Boyko above · Orest Hura below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 97 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Orest Hura at 62.9%
97 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Boyko 51–67 Orest Hura Vitalii Boyko has won 51 of their 118 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:39What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Hura
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
51-67 in 118
Hura
Correct
gap of 16 in 118, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Boyko 1502 vs Hura 1559
Hura
Correct
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Boyko 40% vs Hura 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Boyko 40% vs Hura 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Boyko +1 · Hura +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Hura)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hura form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBoyko 2.50 / Hura 1.50
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Hura)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13202796
Boyko2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 35 of 93
Down 0–1, comes back25% 15 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 35
Hura1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite51% won 85 of 166
Up 2–0, closes it98% 41 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it71% 60 of 84
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBoyko1wins
AwayHura9wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHura leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBoyko20%1 of 5
AwayHura100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Boyko5Hura5n = 10split evenly
S2Boyko2Hura8n = 10Hura took 8 of 10
S3Boyko5Hura5n = 10split evenly
S4Boyko1Hura7n = 8Hura took 7 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBoykoHuraB − HBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.940.7−4.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBoykoHuraBasisWin rate · lifetime222 / 477 vs 411 / 78846.5%52.2%222 / 477 vs 411 / 788Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.839.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HuraBoyko 2.50/Hura 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.9%
Hura · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hura won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 27 · 08:35V. Boyko48107111192O. Hura49121169113
WSep 26 · 15:35V. Boyko331111113O. Hura209470
LSep 11 · 23:30V. Boyko2361250O. Hura361114113
LAug 23 · 07:05V. Boyko311144121O. Hura4591111143
LAug 21 · 22:30V. Boyko361161091O. Hura3951112113
LAug 16 · 07:35V. Boyko34591191O. Hura3811115113
LAug 15 · 13:05V. Boyko31124961O. Hura43101111113
LAug 1 · 18:35V. Boyko4211116772O. Hura46851111113
LAug 1 · 01:00V. Boyko45121012111O. Hura49141210133
LJun 28 · 09:05V. Boyko36971191O. Hura4211119113
V. Boyko10
WSep 27 · 09:35V. Boyko2.00111111133A. Shypilov1.739139111WSep 27 · 07:05V. Boyko1.6711119133V. Vlasenko2.107811111LSep 27 · 05:05V. Boyko1.7310490M. Smyrnov2.001211113LSep 26 · 18:35V. Boyko2.20611861R. Lazebnyi1.6111711113LSep 26 · 16:35N. Kovalchuk1.571111173V. Boyko2.2569150WSep 26 · 15:35V. Boyko2.251111113O. Hura1.579470WSep 26 · 14:35O. Mitla2.0081311482V. Boyko1.731111711103LSep 26 · 13:05V. Boyko2.00910111372A. Shypilov1.731112911113LSep 26 · 03:00V. Boyko1.67751181M. Smyrnov2.1011117113WSep 26 · 01:00V. Vlasenko2.1013881192V. Boyko1.671111118113
O. Hura10
WSep 27 · 06:35A. Shypilov2.25118791O. Hura1.5791111113LSep 27 · 04:35A. Kotyk1.61118611113O. Hura2.2041111992LSep 26 · 19:05A. Shypilov2.2511611163O. Hura1.578119141WSep 26 · 17:35O. Hura1.8011117183R. Lazebnyi1.919611161LSep 26 · 15:35V. Boyko2.251111113O. Hura1.579470LSep 26 · 13:35N. Kovalchuk1.61817911113O. Hura2.20111511642WSep 26 · 12:35O. Mitla2.10811381O. Hura1.6711611113LSep 25 · 02:45O. Mitla2.00814115163O. Hura1.731112811142WSep 25 · 01:45M. Smyrnov2.007790O. Hura1.731111113WSep 25 · 00:15V. Vlasenko2.258813151O. Hura1.57111111173
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