TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Kamil Rudomina vs Bartosz Kwodawski 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117114911611116
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:52 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeKamil Rudomina to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
RightSent to Pro: Kamil Rudomina @ 1.73 · Won
How it is goingKamil Rudomina above · Bartosz Kwodawski below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 87 set 5, 11-6 · our read held Kamil Rudomina at 56.9%
87 points played in total.
H2H Kamil Rudomina 16–10 Bartosz Kwodawski Bartosz Kwodawski has won 10 of their 26 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 18:52What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Rudomina
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-10 in 26
Rudomina
Correct
gap of 6 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rudomina 1490 vs Kwodawski 1303
Rudomina
Correct
both rated, 187 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rudomina 40% vs Kwodawski 20%
Rudomina
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rudomina 50% vs Kwodawski 20%
Rudomina
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rudomina -3 · Kwodawski -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 57% · Slight lean (leans Rudomina) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kwodawski form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRudomina 1.73 / Kwodawski 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Rudomina)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13210080
Rudomina1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 214 of 349
Up 2–0, closes it96% 103 of 107
Up 1–0, closes it78% 156 of 200
Kwodawski2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog30% won 42 of 139
Down 0–1, comes back20% 17 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back11% 7 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRudomina7wins
AwayKwodawski3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderRudomina leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRudomina66.7%2 of 3
AwayKwodawski28.6%2 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rudomina3Kwodawski7n = 10Kwodawski took 7 of 10
S2Rudomina5Kwodawski5n = 10split evenly
S3Rudomina8Kwodawski2n = 10Rudomina took 8 of 10
S4Rudomina5Kwodawski2n = 7Rudomina took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRudominaKwodawskiR − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.434.2+2.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRudominaKwodawskiBasisWin rate · lifetime970 / 2078 vs 190 / 44546.7%42.7%970 / 2078 vs 190 / 445Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.535.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RudominaRudomina 1.73/Kwodawski 2.00
Hit
What we said
56.9%
Rudomina · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Kamil Rudomina @ 1.73 · Won
What happened
3–2
Rudomina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 11:50K. Rudomina441101111113B. Kwodawski4011127732
WAug 15 · 20:30K. Rudomina4291111113B. Kwodawski28113681
WAug 9 · 18:10K. Rudomina50891111113B. Kwodawski3911114582
LJul 6 · 10:35K. Rudomina195950B. Kwodawski331111113
WJun 17 · 09:25K. Rudomina4071111113B. Kwodawski31118571
WJun 15 · 13:30K. Rudomina361114113B. Kwodawski2781270
LJun 11 · 20:30K. Rudomina22113261B. Kwodawski4181111113
WMay 26 · 19:20K. Rudomina3961111113B. Kwodawski34115991
WApr 18 · 09:55K. Rudomina331111113B. Kwodawski225890
LMar 15 · 18:00K. Rudomina39781681B. Kwodawski47111114113
K. Rudomina10
WSep 28 · 21:25J. Glanowski1.731111361K. Rudomina2.0091115113LSep 28 · 18:30K. Staszczyk1.4411119113K. Rudomina2.63951161LSep 28 · 17:40J. Mitas1.281112113K. Rudomina3.5041060LSep 28 · 16:55K. Rudomina2.2511111112102J. Glanowski1.57613814123WSep 28 · 00:10J. Glanowski1.91611991K. Rudomina1.8011711113WSep 27 · 23:45K. Rudomina1.7511911113A. Linek1.90611871WSep 27 · 22:55K. Rudomina1.301111113D. Kotwica3.209990LSep 27 · 21:05K. Rudomina1.718660S. Brud2.001111113LSep 27 · 20:05D. Kotwica1.38111312113K. Rudomina2.838151091WSep 27 · 19:20J. Glanowski2.2511311892K. Rudomina1.54711611113
B. Kwodawski10
LSep 28 · 21:00B. Kwodawski5.756540J. Mitas1.121111113LSep 28 · 19:15J. Glanowski1.57111169113B. Kwodawski2.2554111182LSep 28 · 17:20K. Staszczyk1.25118911113B. Kwodawski3.7551111552LSep 28 · 16:28J. Nadolny1.44186118113B. Kwodawski2.63161191172LSep 28 · 15:00J. Mitas1.4011911113B. Kwodawski2.75511751WSep 16 · 00:35B. Kwodawski3.40118113113D. Solilo1.3061171162LSep 15 · 23:45A. Linek1.80513811113B. Kwodawski1.91111111892LSep 15 · 22:35B. Kwodawski2.50815111172K. Kostyk1.50111736113LSep 15 · 21:50L. Pietraszko1.361111113B. Kwodawski3.002850LSep 15 · 20:05B. Kwodawski1.911159101A. Linek1.8091111123
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