TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Konrad Staszczyk vs Kamil Rudomina 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119115911116––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:25 and never touched — 67.7% is still 67.7%
Graded at full timeKonrad Staszczyk to win
67.7%
67.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKonrad Staszczyk above · Kamil Rudomina below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 73 set 4, 11-6 · our read held Konrad Staszczyk at 67.7%
73 points played in total.
H2H Konrad Staszczyk 10–7 Kamil Rudomina Kamil Rudomina has won 7 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:25What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Staszczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-7 in 17
Staszczyk
Correct
gap of 3 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Staszczyk 1641 vs Rudomina 1498
Staszczyk
Correct
both rated, 144 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Staszczyk 80% vs Rudomina 60%
Staszczyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Staszczyk 90% vs Rudomina 60%
Staszczyk
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Staszczyk +1 · Rudomina -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% · Clear lean (leans Staszczyk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rudomina form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStaszczyk 1.44 / Rudomina 2.63
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Staszczyk)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13210081
Staszczyk1.44
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite65% won 188 of 290
Up 2–0, closes it91% 82 of 90
Up 1–0, closes it84% 134 of 160
Rudomina2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 188 of 523
Down 0–1, comes back21% 65 of 304
Down 0–2, comes back8% 12 of 146
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStaszczyk6wins
AwayRudomina4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderStaszczyk leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStaszczyk80%4 of 5
AwayRudomina60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Staszczyk5Rudomina5n = 10split evenly
S2Staszczyk6Rudomina4n = 10Staszczyk took 6 of 10
S3Staszczyk6Rudomina4n = 10Staszczyk took 6 of 10
S4Staszczyk4Rudomina2n = 6Staszczyk took 4 of 6
S5Staszczyk1Rudomina2n = 3Rudomina took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricStaszczykRudominaS − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.635.3+2.3per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaszczykRudominaBasisWin rate · lifetime230 / 398 vs 970 / 207757.8%46.7%230 / 398 vs 970 / 2077Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaszczykStaszczyk 1.44/Rudomina 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.7%
Staszczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Staszczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 25 · 22:05K. Staszczyk341111123K. Rudomina2248100
WSep 25 · 16:05K. Staszczyk331111113K. Rudomina174850
LSep 24 · 22:35K. Staszczyk473111111112K. Rudomina48112913133
WSep 23 · 21:00K. Staszczyk45811411113K. Rudomina3811911252
LSep 22 · 23:45K. Staszczyk2711970K. Rudomina351311113
WSep 17 · 23:45K. Staszczyk4312118123K. Rudomina4010911101
WSep 14 · 18:05K. Staszczyk3961111113K. Rudomina35119871
LAug 18 · 00:35K. Staszczyk46117117102K. Rudomina51811911123
WJun 14 · 14:35K. Staszczyk3811511113K. Rudomina33611881
LJun 7 · 15:05K. Staszczyk2461080K. Rudomina341112113
K. Staszczyk10
WSep 28 · 17:20K. Staszczyk1.25118911113B. Kwodawski3.7551111552LSep 28 · 16:05J. Mitas2.0011112113K. Staszczyk1.73881151WSep 28 · 15:25K. Staszczyk1.531111113J. Glanowski2.386530WSep 26 · 01:10A. Mugowski3.75991171K. Staszczyk1.2511119113WSep 26 · 00:45K. Staszczyk1.401111113J. Wozniak2.759380WSep 25 · 23:55K. Staszczyk1.301111113R. Malinowski3.405480WSep 25 · 22:05K. Staszczyk1.501111123K. Rudomina2.5048100WSep 25 · 21:20R. Malinowski3.008730K. Staszczyk1.361111113WSep 25 · 20:30A. Mugowski3.756680K. Staszczyk1.251111113WSep 25 · 18:30B. Sulkowski2.505101141K. Staszczyk1.5011124113
K. Rudomina10
LSep 28 · 17:40J. Mitas1.281112113K. Rudomina3.5041060LSep 28 · 16:55K. Rudomina2.2511111112102J. Glanowski1.57613814123WSep 28 · 00:10J. Glanowski1.91611991K. Rudomina1.8011711113WSep 27 · 23:45K. Rudomina1.7511911113A. Linek1.90611871WSep 27 · 22:55K. Rudomina1.301111113D. Kotwica3.209990LSep 27 · 21:05K. Rudomina1.718660S. Brud2.001111113LSep 27 · 20:05D. Kotwica1.38111312113K. Rudomina2.838151091WSep 27 · 19:20J. Glanowski2.2511311892K. Rudomina1.54711611113WSep 27 · 17:20D. Poloszczanski4.2031180K. Rudomina1.201113113LSep 25 · 22:05K. Staszczyk1.501111123K. Rudomina2.5048100
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