TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Mykola Polysynskyi vs Hryhorii Kulishov 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
9111191210117––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 00:43 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeHryhorii Kulishov to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
WrongSent to Pro: Hryhorii Kulishov @ 1.61 · Lost
How it is goingMykola Polysynskyi above · Hryhorii Kulishov below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 80 set 4, 11-7 · our read held Hryhorii Kulishov at 60.9%
80 points played in total.
H2H Mykola Polysynskyi 21–18 Hryhorii Kulishov Hryhorii Kulishov has won 18 of their 39 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 00:43What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kulishov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-18 in 39
Polysynskyi
Correct
gap of 3 in 39, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Polysynskyi 1437 vs Kulishov 1557
Kulishov
Wrong
both rated, 120 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Polysynskyi 40% vs Kulishov 80%
Kulishov
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Polysynskyi 50% vs Kulishov 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Polysynskyi -2 · Kulishov +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Kulishov) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kulishov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPolysynskyi 2.50 / Kulishov 1.50
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Kulishov)-1.6pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13208410
Polysynskyi2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 18 of 42
Down 0–1, comes back18% 4 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 16
Kulishov1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 190 of 298
Up 2–0, closes it97% 110 of 114
Up 1–0, closes it77% 147 of 192
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePolysynskyi2wins
AwayKulishov8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKulishov leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePolysynskyi66.7%2 of 3
AwayKulishov100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Polysynskyi3Kulishov7n = 10Kulishov took 7 of 10
S2Polysynskyi4Kulishov6n = 10Kulishov took 6 of 10
S3Polysynskyi6Kulishov4n = 10Polysynskyi took 6 of 10
S4Polysynskyi0Kulishov5n = 5Kulishov took 5 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPolysynskyiKulishovP − KBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match31.438.2−6.8per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPolysynskyiKulishovBasisWin rate · lifetime348 / 670 vs 493 / 94151.9%52.4%348 / 670 vs 493 / 941Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.839.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulishovPolysynskyi 2.50/Kulishov 1.50
Miss
What we said
60.9%
Kulishov · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Hryhorii Kulishov @ 1.61 · Lost
What happened
3–1
Polysynskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 00:05M. Polysynskyi331111113H. Kulishov227870
LSep 14 · 00:05M. Polysynskyi29851151H. Kulishov4111118113
LSep 11 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi2012530H. Kulishov361411113
LAug 21 · 01:05M. Polysynskyi54117119162H. Kulishov52911311183
WAug 2 · 21:35M. Polysynskyi331111113H. Kulishov259790
LJul 15 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi195680H. Kulishov331111113
LJul 12 · 23:35M. Polysynskyi4491111582H. Kulishov49119711113
LJun 29 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi33541861H. Kulishov49111116113
LJun 25 · 00:05M. Polysynskyi218940H. Kulishov331111113
LJun 21 · 23:35M. Polysynskyi28411941H. Kulishov4211911113
M. Polysynskyi10
LSep 28 · 23:35M. Polysynskyi1.83141115192M. Fomin1.831671311113LSep 28 · 21:35M. Polysynskyi1.809560M. Skliar1.911111113WSep 21 · 03:05M. Polysynskyi1.91111134113A. Peretiatko1.8099111122LSep 21 · 01:35M. Polysynskyi1.504720M. Skliar2.501111113WSep 21 · 00:05M. Polysynskyi2.381111113H. Kulishov1.537870LSep 20 · 22:35M. Polysynskyi1.839940D. Kim1.831111113WSep 20 · 21:05M. Polysynskyi1.57811712113D. Us2.25119111092WSep 14 · 19:25A. Peretiatko1.8381111832M. Polysynskyi1.83117811113LSep 14 · 18:25M. Polysynskyi1.80911861D. Kim1.9111711113WSep 14 · 17:25M. Polysynskyi1.571111173M. Skliar2.2546150
H. Kulishov10
WSep 28 · 23:05D. Us2.5011111081H. Kulishov1.5013912113WSep 28 · 21:05D. Kim1.9112691272H. Kulishov1.8010111110113LSep 28 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.83118100S. Khandetskyi1.831311123WSep 28 · 02:05Y. Stepanchuk1.801281181H. Kulishov1.9114119113WSep 28 · 00:05Y. Sokoltsov2.758650H. Kulishov1.401111113WSep 27 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.5010101113113A. Peretiatko2.50121281192LSep 27 · 22:05D. Kim1.8311137113H. Kulishov1.836111191LSep 24 · 19:55V. Kobets2.50911811123H. Kulishov1.50117118102LSep 24 · 18:55D. Derevynskyi1.67111410113H. Kulishov2.109121291LSep 21 · 00:05M. Polysynskyi2.381111113H. Kulishov1.537870
Upcoming Matches
M. Polysynskyi
H. Kulishov
Sep 29 · 02:35H. Kulishov1.40M. Skliar2.75—Sep 29 · 03:35H. Kulishov2.00M. Fomin1.73—Sep 29 · 22:05H. Kulishov1.83S. Pitsyk1.83—Sep 29 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.83S. Khandetskyi1.83—Sep 30 · 00:05H. Kulishov1.40Y. Sokoltsov2.75—Sep 30 · 02:05H. Kulishov1.83Y. Stepanchuk1.83—Sep 30 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.83D. Kim1.83—
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