TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Radek Benes vs Adam Kanak 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711911115711––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Kanak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Benes above · Adam Kanak below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 72 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Adam Kanak at 54.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Radek Benes 1–2 Adam Kanak Radek Benes has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:08What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kanak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Benes 1575 vs Kanak 1534
Benes
Wrong
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Benes 80% vs Kanak 20%
Benes
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Benes 50% vs Kanak 30%
Benes
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Benes +3 · Kanak -1
Benes
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kanak) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kanak form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBenes 1.91 / Kanak 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kanak)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13208286
Benes1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 57 of 135
Down 0–1, comes back27% 21 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 37
Kanak1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 37 of 68
Up 2–0, closes it86% 12 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it77% 23 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeBenes1wins
AwayKanak2wins
Kanak leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Benes1Kanak2n = 3Kanak took 2 of 3
S2Benes0Kanak3n = 3Kanak took 3 of 3
S3Benes2Kanak1n = 3Benes took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricBenesKanakB − KBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match33.734.7−1.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBenesKanakBasisWin rate · lifetime510 / 984 vs 79 / 14551.8%54.5%510 / 984 vs 79 / 145Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.839.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KanakBenes 1.91/Kanak 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kanak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kanak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 28 · 12:10R. Benes34791171A. Kanak3811115113
WAug 29 · 20:38R. Benes4411913113A. Kanak335111161
LAug 29 · 20:15R. Benes237790A. Kanak331111113
R. Benes10
WSep 28 · 13:10A. Kanak1.80117581R. Benes1.9171111113WSep 28 · 10:40B. Mrowetz1.5311119131R. Benes2.3871311153WSep 28 · 10:10L. Dzida2.00118741R. Benes1.7361111113WSep 23 · 08:43R. Benes1.50911911113R. Solle2.5011911782LSep 23 · 07:40J. Krupnik1.8391111113R. Benes1.83118771WSep 23 · 07:10E. Precek2.2041111952R. Benes1.61114811113WSep 23 · 06:10R. Benes1.6111119113R. Solle2.20861161LSep 22 · 08:53M. Moravec2.001111113R. Benes1.732460LSep 22 · 07:45T. Krenek1.731110911113R. Benes2.0091211892LSep 22 · 07:15T. Kindl1.91111189113R. Benes1.8059111192
A. Kanak10
LSep 28 · 13:10A. Kanak1.80117581R. Benes1.9171111113LSep 28 · 11:10A. Kanak2.0089111142L. Dzida1.73111198113WSep 28 · 09:40B. Mrowetz1.4410990A. Kanak2.631211113LSep 27 · 08:39J. Skalicky1.671111153A. Kanak2.1069130LSep 27 · 08:10A. Veliiev2.001411113A. Kanak1.7312480LSep 27 · 07:10A. Kanak1.73811115132D. Stusek2.00116711153LSep 27 · 05:40J. Skalicky1.73691111113A. Kanak2.0011119732LSep 25 · 21:10A. Kanak1.53811391A. Cizek2.3811911113LSep 25 · 19:40A. Kanak2.001151111122M. Moravec1.73911135143WSep 25 · 18:40A. Kanak1.571217123A. Cizek2.251015100
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.