TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Mytsyk vs Oleksandr Lipeiko 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1131157111311––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:13 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Lipeiko to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Mytsyk above · Oleksandr Lipeiko below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 72 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Oleksandr Lipeiko at 54.3%
72 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Mytsyk 36–31 Oleksandr Lipeiko Oleksandr Lipeiko has won 31 of their 67 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:13What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Lipeiko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
36-31 in 67
Mytsyk
Correct
gap of 5 in 67, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mytsyk 1381 vs Lipeiko 1448
Lipeiko
Wrong
both rated, 67 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mytsyk 40% vs Lipeiko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mytsyk 30% vs Lipeiko 60%
Lipeiko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mytsyk +1 · Lipeiko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lipeiko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lipeiko form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMytsyk 1.91 / Lipeiko 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Lipeiko)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13207697
Mytsyk1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 53 of 154
Down 0–1, comes back20% 18 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 49
Lipeiko1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 62 of 106
Up 2–0, closes it86% 36 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it78% 52 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMytsyk5wins
AwayLipeiko5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMytsyk75%3 of 4
AwayLipeiko66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mytsyk4Lipeiko6n = 10Lipeiko took 6 of 10
S2Mytsyk5Lipeiko5n = 10split evenly
S3Mytsyk6Lipeiko4n = 10Mytsyk took 6 of 10
S4Mytsyk3Lipeiko4n = 7Lipeiko took 4 of 7
S5Mytsyk2Lipeiko2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMytsykLipeikoM − LBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.637.3−0.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMytsykLipeikoBasisWin rate · lifetime535 / 1073 vs 252 / 52349.9%48.2%535 / 1073 vs 252 / 523Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LipeikoMytsyk 1.91/Lipeiko 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.3%
Lipeiko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Mytsyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 28 · 09:20O. Mytsyk4211117133O. Lipeiko303511111
LSep 17 · 06:50O. Mytsyk316111041O. Lipeiko3811412113
LJul 13 · 12:50O. Mytsyk4458111192O. Lipeiko45111166113
WJul 8 · 08:35O. Mytsyk50811119113O. Lipeiko3911361182
WJun 29 · 06:50O. Mytsyk351311113O. Lipeiko2911990
LJun 24 · 00:10O. Mytsyk3811411752O. Lipeiko48711811113
WMay 31 · 09:20O. Mytsyk49136118113O. Lipeiko44111161152
LMay 23 · 16:50O. Mytsyk205690O. Lipeiko331111113
WMay 14 · 05:30O. Mytsyk4071111113O. Lipeiko34118691
LMay 11 · 08:35O. Mytsyk171880O. Lipeiko331111113
O. Mytsyk10
WSep 28 · 10:20S. Skhabitskiy2.005990O. Mytsyk1.731111113WSep 28 · 08:20V. Melnykov2.2510470O. Mytsyk1.571211113LSep 28 · 06:50O. Mytsyk2.255990A. Kovalenko1.571111113LSep 25 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.917560O. Ovsiienko1.801111113LSep 25 · 10:05V. Melnykov2.101111153O. Mytsyk1.6778130WSep 25 · 08:05V. Mukhin2.7591161152O. Mytsyk1.40114113113LSep 25 · 07:05O. Mytsyk1.83194951V. Korniichuk1.83171111113WSep 25 · 06:05S. Skhabitskiy2.101147111O. Mytsyk1.6791111133LSep 24 · 12:50O. Mytsyk1.91111114982O. Ovsiienko1.80971611113LSep 24 · 10:50A. Kovalenko1.5711118113O. Mytsyk2.25781121
O. Lipeiko10
WSep 28 · 07:20S. Skhabitskiy2.5011111211162O. Lipeiko1.50713149183LSep 28 · 06:20V. Melnykov2.501111113O. Lipeiko1.506980LSep 24 · 11:35O. Lipeiko1.50871381E. Populovskyi2.50111111113WSep 24 · 09:35A. Kurtenko1.8311815992O. Lipeiko1.839111311113LSep 24 · 08:35O. Lipeiko1.9111129262S. Solomko1.805101111113WSep 24 · 07:35O. Leonenko3.7581311592O. Lipeiko1.251111811113LSep 24 · 06:05O. Lipeiko2.75117110A. Martyniuk1.401311133WSep 23 · 19:00O. Lipeiko1.8081111113A. Kovalenko1.91117731WSep 23 · 17:00V. Smyk2.20871941O. Lipeiko1.61111117113WSep 23 · 15:00S. Skhabitskiy2.25571191O. Lipeiko1.5711117113
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