TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Miroslaw Lewczuk vs Andrzej Krezel 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911611611––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 00:01 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAndrzej Krezel to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMiroslaw Lewczuk above · Andrzej Krezel below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 54 set 3, 6-11 · our read held Andrzej Krezel at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Miroslaw Lewczuk 4–5 Andrzej Krezel Miroslaw Lewczuk has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Krezel beat Lewczuk 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 00:01What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Krezel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-5 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lewczuk 1321 vs Krezel 1468
Krezel
Correct
both rated, 147 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lewczuk 40% vs Krezel 60%
Krezel
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lewczuk 40% vs Krezel 60%
Krezel
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lewczuk -1 · Krezel +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Krezel) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lewczuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLewczuk 1.83 / Krezel 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Krezel)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13207106
Lewczuk1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Krezel1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeLewczuk4wins
AwayKrezel5wins
2 of 9 to a deciderKrezel leads 5–4, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLewczuk100%4 of 4
AwayKrezel100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lewczuk4Krezel5n = 9Krezel took 5 of 9
S2Lewczuk4Krezel5n = 9Krezel took 5 of 9
S3Lewczuk5Krezel4n = 9Lewczuk took 5 of 9
S4Lewczuk3Krezel1n = 4Lewczuk took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away333%
These 9 meetings
MetricLewczukKrezelL − KBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match35.833.7+2.1per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLewczukKrezelBasisWin rate · lifetime498 / 975 vs 103 / 26851.1%38.4%498 / 975 vs 103 / 268Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.435.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrezelLewczuk 1.83/Krezel 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Krezel · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Krezel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 28 · 18:30M. Lewczuk239770A. Krezel331111113
LSep 27 · 22:10M. Lewczuk2911990A. Krezel351311113
WSep 27 · 19:40M. Lewczuk3811511113A. Krezel32911751
LSep 3 · 23:20M. Lewczuk53611161192A. Krezel52118184113
WSep 3 · 17:20M. Lewczuk331111113A. Krezel228770
WSep 2 · 22:35M. Lewczuk331111113A. Krezel154830
LSep 2 · 15:00M. Lewczuk46511119102A. Krezel49119611123
LAug 24 · 23:50M. Lewczuk237790A. Krezel331111113
WAug 24 · 20:30M. Lewczuk44111011123A. Krezel323127101
M. Lewczuk10
LSep 28 · 23:10M. Lewczuk2.25113761Z. Nocun1.5791111113WSep 28 · 22:10A. Barton7.5011115952M. Lewczuk1.07981111113LSep 28 · 21:20M. Lewczuk1.8381171192K. Kwiatkowski1.83119112113WSep 28 · 19:40M. Lewczuk1.50145611113A. Skupinski2.50121111182LSep 28 · 18:30M. Lewczuk1.739770A. Krezel2.001111113LSep 28 · 17:20M. Lewczuk2.25117211102Z. Nocun1.57611117123LSep 28 · 16:15H. Tkaczyk1.57612114113M. Lewczuk2.25111051142WSep 28 · 15:25M. Lewczuk1.9171111113K. Kwiatkowski1.80113891WSep 28 · 01:45M. Lewczuk1.22111111113A. Szurgot4.00641331LSep 28 · 00:35M. Lewczuk1.735450A. Kubiak2.001111113
A. Krezel10
WSep 28 · 23:30A. Barton3.7511580A. Krezel1.251311113LSep 28 · 22:50A. Krezel1.91128119132K. Kwiatkowski1.801011711153LSep 28 · 21:45A. Krezel2.5011117382H. Tkaczyk1.50671111113WSep 28 · 20:05A. Krezel2.251111133Z. Nocun1.5754110WSep 28 · 18:30M. Lewczuk1.739770A. Krezel2.001111113LSep 28 · 17:45H. Tkaczyk1.531111113A. Krezel2.385370LSep 28 · 16:55A. Krezel1.91891181K. Kwiatkowski1.8011111113WSep 28 · 15:50A. Krezel1.33111189113A. Skupinski3.2597111182WSep 28 · 02:35A. Krezel2.5011118113H. Tkaczyk1.50771161WSep 28 · 01:00A. Krezel1.501111133A. Szurgot2.5087110
Upcoming Matches
M. Lewczuk
Nothing scheduled
A. Krezel
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.