TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Frantisek Pusch vs Radim Urbaniec 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1189111210111––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:52 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeRadim Urbaniec to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingFrantisek Pusch above · Radim Urbaniec below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-1
Point 73 set 4, 11-1 — our read held Radim Urbaniec at 61.2%
73 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Pusch 2–3 Radim Urbaniec Frantisek Pusch has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:52What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Urbaniec
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pusch 1760 vs Urbaniec 1783
Urbaniec
Wrong
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pusch 40% vs Urbaniec 60%
Urbaniec
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pusch 40% vs Urbaniec 70%
Urbaniec
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pusch +2 · Urbaniec -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Urbaniec) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPusch 2.38 / Urbaniec 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Urbaniec)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13206620
Pusch2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog54% won 35 of 65
Down 0–1, comes back33% 13 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back15% 4 of 26
Urbaniec1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 192 of 290
Up 2–0, closes it92% 97 of 106
Up 1–0, closes it80% 135 of 169
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomePusch2wins
AwayUrbaniec3wins
2 of 5 to a deciderUrbaniec leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePusch66.7%2 of 3
AwayUrbaniecn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pusch3Urbaniec2n = 5Pusch took 3 of 5
S2Pusch2Urbaniec3n = 5Urbaniec took 3 of 5
S3Pusch2Urbaniec3n = 5Urbaniec took 3 of 5
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away240%
These 5 meetings
MetricPuschUrbaniecP − UBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match32.836.2−3.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPuschUrbaniecBasisWin rate · lifetime84 / 152 vs 670 / 131155.3%51.1%84 / 152 vs 670 / 1311Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UrbaniecPusch 2.38/Urbaniec 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.2%
Urbaniec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pusch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 27 · 19:30F. Pusch214890R. Urbaniec331111113
LSep 27 · 17:30F. Pusch143560R. Urbaniec331111113
LSep 27 · 14:30F. Pusch47131157112R. Urbaniec541181111133
WSep 8 · 11:00F. Pusch491161110113R. Urbaniec4341191272
WSep 8 · 08:30F. Pusch331111113R. Urbaniec187560
F. Pusch10
WSep 27 · 20:59O. Svacha1.73311881F. Pusch2.0011711113WSep 27 · 20:00F. Pusch2.00341111123O. Svacha1.73111198102LSep 27 · 19:30R. Urbaniec1.731111113F. Pusch2.004890LSep 27 · 18:00F. Pusch2.509650J. Mecl Jr1.501111113LSep 27 · 17:30R. Urbaniec2.021111113F. Pusch1.703560WSep 27 · 16:00A. Barton1.5741111842F. Pusch2.2511851193WSep 27 · 15:00J. Mecl Jr1.5791115962F. Pusch2.251161311113LSep 27 · 14:30F. Pusch1.67131157112R. Urbaniec2.101181111133LSep 20 · 12:58F. Pusch2.0010670J. Kanera1.731211113LSep 20 · 12:30J. Kanera1.83111110113F. Pusch1.83651261
R. Urbaniec10
LSep 27 · 21:30R. Urbaniec2.20310131192J. Mecl Jr1.601112116113LSep 27 · 20:30J. Mecl Jr1.531211119113R. Urbaniec2.3814381162WSep 27 · 19:30R. Urbaniec1.731111113F. Pusch2.004890WSep 27 · 18:30O. Svacha2.20511971R. Urbaniec1.6111511113WSep 27 · 17:30R. Urbaniec2.021111113F. Pusch1.703560WSep 27 · 16:30J. Mecl Jr1.53141011792R. Urbaniec2.381212411113WSep 27 · 15:30R. Urbaniec2.75111111123A. Barton1.401368101WSep 27 · 14:30F. Pusch1.67131157112R. Urbaniec2.101181111133LSep 26 · 21:30J. Mecl Jr1.5212511113R. Urbaniec2.351011891WSep 26 · 20:30R. Urbaniec1.5311114143T. Franek2.386511121
Upcoming Matches
F. Pusch
Sep 28 · 11:30F. Pusch2.25R. Rose1.57—Sep 28 · 12:00F. Pusch1.67J. Ruzicka2.10—Sep 28 · 14:30F. Pusch1.67J. Ruzicka2.10—Sep 28 · 15:30F. Pusch2.25O. Kolisnyk1.57—Sep 28 · 16:30F. Pusch1.80V. Nohejl1.91—Sep 29 · 10:00F. Pusch—O. Kolisnyk——Sep 29 · 11:00F. Pusch—R. Urbaniec——Sep 29 · 12:30F. Pusch—J. Ruzicka——Sep 29 · 14:30F. Pusch—R. Urbaniec——Sep 29 · 15:30F. Pusch—O. Svacha——
R. Urbaniec
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