TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Artur Kubiak vs Grzegorz Mucha 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9111513119711911
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:56 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Mucha to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingArtur Kubiak above · Grzegorz Mucha below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 15-13
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 106 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Grzegorz Mucha at 59.3%
106 points played in total.
H2H Artur Kubiak 5–14 Grzegorz Mucha Artur Kubiak has won 5 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:56What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Mucha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-14 in 19
Mucha
Correct
gap of 9 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kubiak 1313 vs Mucha 1322
Mucha
Correct
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kubiak 40% vs Mucha 20%
Kubiak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kubiak 40% vs Mucha 20%
Kubiak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kubiak +1 · Mucha -3
Mucha
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Mucha)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mucha form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKubiak 2.20 / Mucha 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Mucha)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13206296
Kubiak2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 71 of 208
Down 0–1, comes back16% 21 of 130
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 79
Mucha1.61
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 100 of 157
Up 2–0, closes it98% 51 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it76% 68 of 89
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKubiak2wins
AwayMucha8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMucha leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKubiakn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayMucha87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kubiak2Mucha8n = 10Mucha took 8 of 10
S2Kubiak4Mucha6n = 10Mucha took 6 of 10
S3Kubiak4Mucha6n = 10Mucha took 6 of 10
S4Kubiak3Mucha4n = 7Mucha took 4 of 7
S5Kubiak1Mucha3n = 4Mucha took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKubiakMuchaK − MBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match35.543.1−7.6per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKubiakMuchaBasisWin rate · lifetime486 / 895 vs 165 / 33754.3%49%486 / 895 vs 165 / 337Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MuchaKubiak 2.20/Mucha 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Mucha · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Mucha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 27 · 20:05A. Kubiak5191511792G. Mucha551113911113
LSep 14 · 01:25A. Kubiak111460G. Mucha331111113
WSep 13 · 19:20A. Kubiak4211812113G. Mucha399111091
LAug 22 · 23:35A. Kubiak3981131162G. Mucha49118118113
LAug 22 · 17:35A. Kubiak32813471G. Mucha44111111113
LAug 16 · 22:35A. Kubiak2491050G. Mucha341112113
WAug 16 · 15:00A. Kubiak50711118133G. Mucha46114911112
LAug 13 · 00:10A. Kubiak166640G. Mucha331111113
LAug 12 · 20:30A. Kubiak4688111182G. Mucha50111189113
LAug 4 · 02:10A. Kubiak44111210111G. Mucha4891412133
A. Kubiak10
WSep 27 · 18:30M. Lewczuk1.8310131141A. Kubiak1.8312157113LSep 27 · 17:45A. Szurgot2.631111113A. Kubiak1.445770WSep 27 · 16:55A. Kubiak2.631211113H. Tkaczyk1.4410950LSep 27 · 15:50A. Kubiak2.206480A. Krezel1.611111113LSep 24 · 02:35J. Skorupa2.0010111011113A. Kubiak1.7312512772LSep 24 · 01:25A. Kubiak1.83510140Z. Nocun1.831112163WSep 24 · 00:10M. Lewczuk2.10167311112A. Kubiak1.671411118133LSep 23 · 22:55A. Staniczek3.40111184113A. Kubiak1.3053111192WSep 23 · 21:20K. Delikatny2.25611531A. Kubiak1.5411711113LSep 23 · 20:30M. Lewczuk1.7311134133A. Kubiak2.0071111111
G. Mucha10
LSep 27 · 19:20H. Tkaczyk1.25411911113G. Mucha3.7511411782LSep 27 · 17:20M. Lewczuk1.53117114113G. Mucha2.3841161162LSep 27 · 16:35A. Krezel1.61118138123G. Mucha2.205111111102WSep 27 · 15:00A. Szurgot2.63111187122G. Mucha1.44871111143LSep 27 · 02:20G. Mucha2.70971211142J. Oracz1.401111107163LSep 27 · 00:45M. Machelski2.501112811133G. Mucha1.45714117112LSep 27 · 00:00A. Fomin1.6071713113G. Mucha2.1011151151LSep 26 · 23:10G. Mucha2.8851391192A. Zmijewski1.371111118113WSep 26 · 22:00G. Mucha2.50111011133C. Pawlik1.456123111LSep 26 · 20:20G. Mucha3.009670J. Oracz1.361111113
Upcoming Matches
A. Kubiak
Sep 27 · 21:45A. Kubiak1.67A. Szurgot2.10—Sep 27 · 22:55A. Kubiak2.63H. Tkaczyk1.44—Sep 27 · 23:45A. Kubiak2.75A. Krezel1.40—Sep 28 · 00:35A. Kubiak2.00M. Lewczuk1.73—Sep 28 · 02:10A. Kubiak2.10G. Mucha1.67—Sep 28 · 15:10A. Kubiak—J. Zelezik——Sep 28 · 16:25A. Kubiak—J. Cyndera——Sep 28 · 18:00A. Kubiak—P. Gesiarz——Sep 28 · 19:10A. Kubiak—D. Maszczynski——Sep 28 · 20:45A. Kubiak—A. Staniczek——
G. Mucha
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.