Dmytro Neborak vs Oleh Napirko 1-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Sep 27Finished

Dmytro Neborak

Home

1.67

At publish

Won last 5

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 5

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

911511115811––

Oleh Napirko

Away

2.10

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:27 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%

Graded at full time

Dmytro Neborak to win

58.6%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingDmytro Neborak above · Oleh Napirko below

Set 1 · 9-11

Set 2 · 5-11

Set 3 · 11-5

Set 4 · 8-11

Point 71 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Dmytro Neborak at 58.6%

71 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 20:27

What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.67 (56%)

Neborak

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Neborak 1743 vs Napirko 1631

Neborak

Wrong

both rated, 112 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Neborak 100% vs Napirko 80%

Neborak

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Neborak 70% vs Napirko 70%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Neborak +5 · Napirko -1

Neborak

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Neborak) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Napirko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsNeborak 1.67 / Napirko 2.10

Signal prob.59% / 41%

Edge (Neborak)+2.8pp

Setka Cup · #13203339

Neborak1.67

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 25)

Won last 5

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite62% won 37 of 60

Up 2–0, closes it100% 21 of 21

Up 1–0, closes it82% 27 of 33

Napirko2.10

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 26)

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog38% won 56 of 147

Down 0–1, comes back18% 13 of 73

Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 40

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricNeborakNapirkoBasisWin rate · lifetime311 / 843 vs 428 / 85336.9%50.2%311 / 843 vs 428 / 853Avg sets wonper match1.72.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.838.5per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Neborak

Neborak 1.67/Napirko 2.10

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

58.6%

Neborak · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Napirko won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

D. Neborak10