TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Yevhen Masko vs Evgeniy Pismenniy 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1194111168111210
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:46 and never touched — 66.5% is still 66.5%
Graded at full timeYevhen Masko to win
66.5%
66.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhen Masko above · Evgeniy Pismenniy below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 93 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Yevhen Masko at 66.5%
93 points played in total.
H2H Yevhen Masko 149–78 Evgeniy Pismenniy Evgeniy Pismenniy has won 78 of their 227 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:46What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Masko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
149-78 in 227
Masko
Correct
gap of 71 in 227, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Masko 1673 vs Pismenniy 1565
Masko
Correct
both rated, 108 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Masko 20% vs Pismenniy 40%
Pismenniy
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Masko 50% vs Pismenniy 30%
Masko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Masko +1 · Pismenniy -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Masko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Masko form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMasko 1.50 / Pismenniy 2.50
Signal prob.67% / 34%
Edge (Masko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13203235
Masko1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 138 of 211
Up 2–0, closes it99% 88 of 89
Up 1–0, closes it90% 113 of 126
Pismenniy2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog24% won 62 of 258
Down 0–1, comes back7% 11 of 151
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 97
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMasko7wins
AwayPismenniy3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderMasko leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMasko100%7 of 7
AwayPismenniy100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Masko7Pismenniy3n = 10Masko took 7 of 10
S2Masko7Pismenniy3n = 10Masko took 7 of 10
S3Masko7Pismenniy3n = 10Masko took 7 of 10
S4Masko1Pismenniy4n = 5Pismenniy took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaskoPismenniyM − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.332.9+4.4per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaskoPismenniyBasisWin rate · lifetime422 / 740 vs 208 / 70457%29.6%422 / 740 vs 208 / 704Avg sets wonper match2.11.6per matchAvg pointsper match36.636.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaskoMasko 1.50/Pismenniy 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.5%
Masko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Masko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 26 · 16:55Y. Masko351311113E. Pismenniy2111550
LSep 25 · 21:55Y. Masko358116101E. Pismenniy4111711123
LSep 20 · 19:55Y. Masko396118141E. Pismenniy4611811163
WSep 19 · 19:55Y. Masko331111113E. Pismenniy269890
WSep 19 · 03:25Y. Masko341111123E. Pismenniy2899100
WSep 13 · 16:55Y. Masko331111113E. Pismenniy216780
LSep 12 · 17:55Y. Masko3541011101E. Pismenniy4211127123
WSep 11 · 23:25Y. Masko51129118113E. Pismenniy41101151142
WSep 5 · 01:25Y. Masko4111118113E. Pismenniy30571171
Y. Masko10
WSep 27 · 17:55R. Reznychenko3.00119871Y. Masko1.3681111113LSep 27 · 16:55Y. Masko2.63771181A. Tuzhylin1.4411117113LSep 27 · 15:55V. Melnik1.731111103Y. Masko2.007770WSep 27 · 14:25Y. Masko1.506111592R. Cherevko2.501191391LSep 26 · 19:55Y. Masko1.501091131R. Cherevko2.5012119113LSep 26 · 17:55A. Tuzhylin1.4081111113Y. Masko2.75118971WSep 26 · 16:55Y. Masko1.361311113E. Pismenniy3.0011550WSep 26 · 15:55V. Melnik2.00911881Y. Masko1.7311911113WSep 26 · 04:25R. Cherevko2.50830Y. Masko1.501131WSep 26 · 02:55Y. Masko3.0011116113A. Tuzhylin1.36981171
E. Pismenniy10
LSep 27 · 18:55A. Tuzhylin1.111113113E. Pismenniy6.0041190WSep 27 · 17:25V. Melnik1.5711125692E. Pismenniy2.257101111113LSep 27 · 15:25R. Cherevko1.501191011133E. Pismenniy2.50711127112WSep 27 · 13:25R. Reznychenko2.2571111992E. Pismenniy1.57117911113LSep 26 · 20:25R. Reznychenko1.91111411113E. Pismenniy1.806121381LSep 26 · 18:55E. Pismenniy2.63115831R. Cherevko1.4471111113LSep 26 · 16:55Y. Masko1.361311113E. Pismenniy3.0011550LSep 26 · 14:55A. Tuzhylin1.111111113E. Pismenniy6.009820LSep 26 · 13:55V. Melnik1.44111110113E. Pismenniy2.63981261WSep 26 · 03:25R. Reznychenko2.208670E. Pismenniy1.611111113
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