TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Adrian Eliasz vs Mikolaj Lukaszewski 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7111012118811––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
78 points played in total.
Set by set
7111012118811––
H2H Adrian Eliasz 9–9 Mikolaj Lukaszewski Dead even across their 18 meetings.
Last 10 · 4–6Head to head
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Lukaszewski beat Eliasz 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lukaszewski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lukaszewski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsEliasz 1.98 / Lukaszewski 1.75
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Lukaszewski)+0.9pp
TT Elite Series · #13197762
Eliasz1.98
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog34% won 73 of 216
Down 0–1, comes back19% 24 of 128
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 62
Lukaszewski1.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 93 of 170
Up 2–0, closes it96% 42 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it82% 76 of 93
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeEliasz4wins
AwayLukaszewski6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLukaszewski leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeEliasz66.7%4 of 6
AwayLukaszewski100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Eliasz6Lukaszewski4n = 10Eliasz took 6 of 10
S2Eliasz4Lukaszewski6n = 10Lukaszewski took 6 of 10
S3Eliasz5Lukaszewski5n = 10split evenly
S4Eliasz2Lukaszewski7n = 9Lukaszewski took 7 of 9
S5Eliasz2Lukaszewski2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricEliaszLukaszewskiE − LBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.441.3−1.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricEliaszLukaszewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime348 / 930 vs 909 / 200537.4%45.3%348 / 930 vs 909 / 2005Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LukaszewskiEliasz 1.98/Lukaszewski 1.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Lukaszewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Lukaszewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 25 · 19:20A. Eliasz36881191M. Lukaszewski3711114113
LSep 13 · 09:50A. Eliasz2257100M. Lukaszewski341111123
WSep 10 · 16:15A. Eliasz4111118113M. Lukaszewski33971161
WAug 30 · 04:10A. Eliasz44111147113M. Lukaszewski4257111182
WAug 28 · 21:30A. Eliasz4313511143M. Lukaszewski3911115121
LAug 28 · 16:55A. Eliasz371187111M. Lukaszewski4491111133
LJul 19 · 14:40A. Eliasz4381111582M. Lukaszewski48119611113
LJul 2 · 15:50A. Eliasz49111012792M. Lukaszewski528121011113
LJun 28 · 09:25A. Eliasz34961181M. Lukaszewski4111118113
WJun 28 · 06:05A. Eliasz45111166113M. Lukaszewski4377111172
A. Eliasz10
LSep 25 · 23:20A. Eliasz1.937860B. Mrugala1.781111113LSep 25 · 21:55A. Eliasz2.809117101K. Klocek1.3711611123WSep 25 · 21:30A. Eliasz1.851111113W. Gluszek1.858970LSep 25 · 20:30B. Mrugala1.71117911113A. Eliasz2.0061111732LSep 25 · 19:20A. Eliasz1.90881191M. Lukaszewski1.7511114113WSep 25 · 18:10P. Strus2.3511116852A. Eliasz1.50761111113LSep 25 · 16:55D. Szlubowski1.621111113A. Eliasz2.157970LSep 25 · 15:25W. Gluszek1.71111179113A. Eliasz2.0095111152LSep 20 · 19:40D. Kotwica1.7151311113A. Eliasz2.001111881WSep 20 · 18:55K. Kostyk1.3281141192A. Eliasz3.05118119113
M. Lukaszewski10
WSep 25 · 23:45M. Lukaszewski2.6011128113K. Klocek1.426101171LSep 25 · 22:55M. Lukaszewski2.006940W. Gluszek1.721111113WSep 25 · 21:05M. Lukaszewski1.95111111113B. Mrugala1.75881391WSep 25 · 20:05D. Szlubowski1.5711711652M. Lukaszewski2.20711511113WSep 25 · 19:20A. Eliasz1.90881191M. Lukaszewski1.7511114113LSep 25 · 17:20W. Gluszek1.931111113M. Lukaszewski1.789870LSep 25 · 16:35P. Strus2.0012137113M. Lukaszewski1.7010111181WSep 25 · 15:00B. Mrugala1.95611991M. Lukaszewski1.7511611113LSep 25 · 08:10M. Lukaszewski1.7085100B. Wisniewski2.001111123WSep 25 · 06:30B. Czerwinski1.3261111992M. Lukaszewski3.05119911113
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