TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Mikolaj Lukaszewski vs Kamil Klocek 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1161210811117––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:33 and never touched — 58.8% is still 58.8%
Graded at full timeMikolaj Lukaszewski to win
58.8%
58.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
76 points played in total.
Set by set
1161210811117––
H2H Mikolaj Lukaszewski 19–25 Kamil Klocek Mikolaj Lukaszewski has won 19 of their 44 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:33What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.42 (65%)
Klocek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-25 in 44
Klocek
Wrong
gap of 6 in 44, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lukaszewski 1275 vs Klocek 1391
Klocek
Wrong
both rated, 116 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lukaszewski 60% vs Klocek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lukaszewski 50% vs Klocek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lukaszewski -1 · Klocek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Klocek) · live re-read · sealed at 41% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Klocek form (60%) is below what odds imply (70%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLukaszewski 2.60 / Klocek 1.42
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Klocek)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13189825
Lukaszewski2.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 260 of 638
Down 0–1, comes back14% 48 of 346
Down 0–2, comes back2% 4 of 191
Klocek1.42
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 241 of 378
Up 2–0, closes it96% 126 of 131
Up 1–0, closes it82% 185 of 226
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLukaszewski5wins
AwayKlocek5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLukaszewski100%4 of 4
AwayKlocek83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lukaszewski4Klocek6n = 10Klocek took 6 of 10
S2Lukaszewski6Klocek4n = 10Lukaszewski took 6 of 10
S3Lukaszewski5Klocek5n = 10split evenly
S4Lukaszewski3Klocek2n = 5Lukaszewski took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricLukaszewskiKlocekL − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match30.532.6−2.1per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLukaszewskiKlocekBasisWin rate · lifetime908 / 2004 vs 473 / 90545.3%52.3%908 / 2004 vs 473 / 905Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KlocekLukaszewski 2.60/Klocek 1.42
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.9%
Klocek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Lukaszewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 21:05M. Lukaszewski3611113113K. Klocek26521181
WSep 10 · 15:00M. Lukaszewski4291111113K. Klocek32114981
LSep 4 · 03:25M. Lukaszewski2011810K. Klocek351311113
WSep 3 · 06:30M. Lukaszewski341211113K. Klocek2410860
LSep 2 · 05:40M. Lukaszewski3451111432K. Klocek47119511113
LSep 1 · 05:15M. Lukaszewski157530K. Klocek331111113
WAug 28 · 21:55M. Lukaszewski4011711113K. Klocek30411961
WAug 28 · 15:25M. Lukaszewski351311113K. Klocek2411670
LAug 28 · 00:35M. Lukaszewski359114111K. Klocek4211711133
LAug 27 · 07:20M. Lukaszewski144460K. Klocek331111113
M. Lukaszewski10
WSep 26 · 00:10A. Eliasz1.987101181M. Lukaszewski1.7511128113LSep 25 · 22:55M. Lukaszewski2.006940W. Gluszek1.721111113WSep 25 · 21:05M. Lukaszewski1.95111111113B. Mrugala1.75881391WSep 25 · 20:05D. Szlubowski1.5711711652M. Lukaszewski2.20711511113WSep 25 · 19:20A. Eliasz1.90881191M. Lukaszewski1.7511114113LSep 25 · 17:20W. Gluszek1.931111113M. Lukaszewski1.789870LSep 25 · 16:35P. Strus2.0012137113M. Lukaszewski1.7010111181WSep 25 · 15:00B. Mrugala1.95611991M. Lukaszewski1.7511611113LSep 25 · 08:10M. Lukaszewski1.7085100B. Wisniewski2.001111123WSep 25 · 06:30B. Czerwinski1.3261111992M. Lukaszewski3.05119911113
K. Klocek10
WSep 25 · 22:35K. Klocek1.4510111110113B. Mrugala2.5012631262WSep 25 · 21:55A. Eliasz2.809117101K. Klocek1.3711611123LSep 25 · 00:10B. Sulkowski1.441312113K. Klocek2.63111090WSep 24 · 23:45K. Klocek3.50115711113K. Staszczyk1.2861111632LSep 24 · 22:55K. Klocek3.0081191282D. Solilo1.361161110113LSep 24 · 21:00K. Klocek2.107960K. Rudomina1.671111113LSep 24 · 19:40K. Klocek2.6391191272J. Zochniak1.441181110113LSep 24 · 18:30K. Klocek3.0011119862D. Solilo1.36691111113LSep 24 · 17:20K. Klocek2.75114101132M. Minda1.40911124113WSep 24 · 16:05K. Rudomina1.8391160K. Klocek1.831113113
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