TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Dawid Kosmal vs Tomasz Filbrandt 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811711611––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:07 and never touched — 67.8% is still 67.8%
Graded at full timeTomasz Filbrandt to win
67.8%
67.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
54 points played in total.
Set by set
811711611––––
H2H Dawid Kosmal 5–13 Tomasz Filbrandt Dawid Kosmal has won 5 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:07What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Filbrandt
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-13 in 18
Filbrandt
Correct
gap of 8 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosmal 1638 vs Filbrandt 1549
Kosmal
Wrong
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosmal 100% vs Filbrandt 40%
Kosmal
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosmal 80% vs Filbrandt 50%
Kosmal
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosmal +7 · Filbrandt -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kosmal) · live re-read · sealed at 32% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Filbrandt form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosmal 1.85 / Filbrandt 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kosmal)+4.7pp
TT Elite Series · #13195792
Kosmal1.85
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 7
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog38% won 66 of 172
Down 0–1, comes back23% 22 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 53
Filbrandt1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite63% won 131 of 209
Up 2–0, closes it96% 50 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it77% 89 of 115
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKosmal2wins
AwayFilbrandt8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderFilbrandt leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKosmal33.3%2 of 6
AwayFilbrandt100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosmal6Filbrandt4n = 10Kosmal took 6 of 10
S2Kosmal3Filbrandt7n = 10Filbrandt took 7 of 10
S3Kosmal4Filbrandt6n = 10Filbrandt took 6 of 10
S4Kosmal3Filbrandt7n = 10Filbrandt took 7 of 10
S5Kosmal1Filbrandt3n = 4Filbrandt took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKosmalFilbrandtK − FBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.643.5−3.9per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosmalFilbrandtBasisWin rate · lifetime366 / 681 vs 673 / 126853.7%53.1%366 / 681 vs 673 / 1268Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.339.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosmalKosmal 1.85/Filbrandt 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kosmal · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Filbrandt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 1 · 21:20D. Kosmal45811115102T. Filbrandt50117911123
WAug 1 · 15:25D. Kosmal4411814113T. Filbrandt348111231
LMay 12 · 16:20D. Kosmal51119711132T. Filbrandt51811116153
LMay 5 · 17:50D. Kosmal31113891T. Filbrandt4071111113
WMay 5 · 11:50D. Kosmal51136129113T. Filbrandt521111101192
LApr 21 · 17:00D. Kosmal29113871T. Filbrandt3961111113
LApr 21 · 11:50D. Kosmal324111161T. Filbrandt4111613113
LMar 24 · 19:30D. Kosmal501011611122T. Filbrandt44124113143
LMar 24 · 15:40D. Kosmal331110751T. Filbrandt4281211113
LMar 10 · 14:05D. Kosmal30591151T. Filbrandt4211119113
D. Kosmal10
WSep 26 · 10:05D. Kosmal1.251111113I. Dabrowski3.409670WSep 26 · 09:00D. Kosmal1.221111113T. Piotrowski4.008860WSep 26 · 07:40J. Zochniak2.206650D. Kosmal1.601111113WSep 26 · 06:50I. Dabrowski3.4588100D. Kosmal1.251111123WSep 26 · 06:00D. Kosmal1.361111113B. Mleczko2.905460WSep 26 · 04:25D. Kosmal1.3511116113T. Piotrowski2.95371131WSep 26 · 03:40J. Wozniak3.251011231D. Kosmal1.2712611113LSep 25 · 13:50G. Poliniewicz1.49117911113D. Kosmal2.4581111582WSep 25 · 13:00K. Kapik1.7151011101D. Kosmal2.0011124123LSep 25 · 12:10D. Kosmal3.106980P. Klos1.301111113
T. Filbrandt10
WSep 26 · 12:35I. Dabrowski3.5097100T. Filbrandt1.291111123LSep 26 · 10:55T. Filbrandt1.75118111182A. Wos1.95411313113LSep 26 · 09:45T. Filbrandt1.61119861B. Mleczko2.1951111113LSep 25 · 21:00B. Sulkowski2.5011514113T. Filbrandt1.507111281WSep 25 · 20:05K. Rudomina3.255880T. Filbrandt1.331111113WSep 25 · 19:15T. Filbrandt1.36111111113A. Mugowski3.00991381WSep 25 · 17:40T. Filbrandt1.911211113K. Staszczyk1.8010840WSep 25 · 16:55R. Malinowski3.25681431T. Filbrandt1.33111112113WSep 25 · 14:40M. Zagajewski2.78116461T. Filbrandt1.3971111113LSep 25 · 13:30T. Filbrandt2.0513911892K. Wisniewski1.651111811113
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