TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Arkadiusz Mugowski vs Kamil Rudomina 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1181191012117––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:06 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeKamil Rudomina to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
79 points played in total.
Set by set
1181191012117––
H2H Arkadiusz Mugowski 69–68 Kamil Rudomina Kamil Rudomina has won 68 of their 137 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:06What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.55 (60%)
Rudomina
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
69-68 in 137
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mugowski 1376 vs Rudomina 1505
Rudomina
Wrong
both rated, 129 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mugowski 80% vs Rudomina 60%
Mugowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mugowski 60% vs Rudomina 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mugowski +2 · Rudomina +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Rudomina) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mugowski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (43%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMugowski 2.30 / Rudomina 1.55
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Rudomina)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13195608
Mugowski2.30
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 169 of 421
Down 0–1, comes back25% 64 of 253
Down 0–2, comes back15% 20 of 138
Rudomina1.55
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite61% won 205 of 339
Up 2–0, closes it97% 97 of 100
Up 1–0, closes it77% 148 of 192
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMugowski6wins
AwayRudomina4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMugowski leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMugowski71.4%5 of 7
AwayRudomina66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mugowski7Rudomina3n = 10Mugowski took 7 of 10
S2Mugowski5Rudomina5n = 10split evenly
S3Mugowski4Rudomina6n = 10Rudomina took 6 of 10
S4Mugowski3Rudomina5n = 8Rudomina took 5 of 8
S5Mugowski3Rudomina1n = 4Mugowski took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMugowskiRudominaM − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.540.7+0.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMugowskiRudominaBasisWin rate · lifetime909 / 1984 vs 968 / 207845.8%46.6%909 / 1984 vs 968 / 2078Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RudominaMugowski 2.30/Rudomina 1.55
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.9%
Rudomina · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Mugowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 26 · 00:20A. Mugowski371171181K. Rudomina3941113113
LSep 25 · 21:45A. Mugowski3982290K. Rudomina461124113
WSep 17 · 22:55A. Mugowski43121163113K. Rudomina49109111182
WSep 17 · 20:05A. Mugowski351111133K. Rudomina2889110
WAug 30 · 22:55A. Mugowski4212118113K. Rudomina381081191
LAug 9 · 21:05A. Mugowski34413891K. Rudomina44111111113
LAug 9 · 19:20A. Mugowski44119311102K. Rudomina43911110123
WJul 27 · 00:10A. Mugowski4211911113K. Rudomina33511981
WJul 26 · 21:45A. Mugowski511012117113K. Rudomina48121061192
WJun 26 · 05:15A. Mugowski48117118113K. Rudomina3971151152
A. Mugowski10
LSep 26 · 21:30A. Mugowski1.75111111792J. Glanowski1.95013911113WSep 26 · 20:30D. Kotwica1.906580A. Mugowski1.801111113WSep 26 · 19:20A. Mugowski1.54711311113K. Guminski2.2511611982LSep 26 · 18:10T. Filbrandt1.3011811133A. Mugowski3.208114111WSep 26 · 16:55J. Glanowski1.85691281A. Mugowski1.80111110113WSep 26 · 15:25D. Poloszczanski2.05115131162A. Mugowski1.66911159113LSep 26 · 01:10A. Mugowski3.75991171K. Staszczyk1.2511119113LSep 26 · 00:20A. Mugowski2.101171181K. Rudomina1.6741113113WSep 25 · 22:50A. Mugowski2.001211113J. Wozniak1.7310970WSep 25 · 22:30A. Mugowski1.83111189113R. Malinowski1.8388111162
K. Rudomina10
WSep 26 · 00:20A. Mugowski2.101171181K. Rudomina1.6741113113WSep 25 · 23:35J. Wozniak2.38711891K. Rudomina1.5311711113LSep 25 · 23:15K. Rudomina1.839611141R. Malinowski1.8311117163LSep 25 · 22:05K. Staszczyk1.501111123K. Rudomina2.5048100WSep 25 · 21:45K. Rudomina1.671124113A. Mugowski2.1082290LSep 25 · 20:05K. Rudomina3.255880T. Filbrandt1.331111113WSep 25 · 18:50K. Rudomina1.731113108113R. Malinowski2.00911121192WSep 25 · 17:20K. Rudomina1.83711117113B. Sulkowski1.8311881162LSep 25 · 16:05K. Rudomina2.634850K. Staszczyk1.441111113LSep 24 · 23:20B. Sulkowski1.6111117113K. Rudomina2.20691171
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