TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Kamil Rudomina vs Arkadiusz Mugowski 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1182422119––––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:01 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKamil Rudomina to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKamil Rudomina above · Arkadiusz Mugowski below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 24-22
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 85 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Kamil Rudomina at 54.0%
85 points played in total.
H2H Kamil Rudomina 66–69 Arkadiusz Mugowski Kamil Rudomina has won 66 of their 135 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:01What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Rudomina
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
66-69 in 135
Mugowski
Wrong
gap of 3 in 135, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rudomina 1511 vs Mugowski 1311
Rudomina
Correct
both rated, 200 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rudomina 40% vs Mugowski 0%
Rudomina
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rudomina 60% vs Mugowski 20%
Rudomina
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rudomina -1 · Mugowski -8
Mugowski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Rudomina) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mugowski form (0%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRudomina 1.67 / Mugowski 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Rudomina)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13189739
Rudomina1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 203 of 338
Up 2–0, closes it97% 96 of 99
Up 1–0, closes it77% 146 of 190
Mugowski2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 8
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 169 of 415
Down 0–1, comes back26% 64 of 250
Down 0–2, comes back15% 20 of 135
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRudomina4wins
AwayMugowski6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderMugowski leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRudomina75%3 of 4
AwayMugowski83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rudomina4Mugowski6n = 10Mugowski took 6 of 10
S2Rudomina5Mugowski5n = 10split evenly
S3Rudomina4Mugowski6n = 10Mugowski took 6 of 10
S4Rudomina5Mugowski4n = 9Rudomina took 5 of 9
S5Rudomina2Mugowski3n = 5Mugowski took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRudominaMugowskiR − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.741.3−0.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRudominaMugowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime967 / 2079 vs 907 / 198346.5%45.7%967 / 2079 vs 907 / 1983Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RudominaRudomina 1.67/Mugowski 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59%
Rudomina · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Rudomina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 17 · 22:55K. Rudomina49109111182A. Mugowski43121163113
LSep 17 · 20:05K. Rudomina2889110A. Mugowski351111133
LAug 30 · 22:55K. Rudomina381081191A. Mugowski4212118113
WAug 9 · 21:05K. Rudomina44111111113A. Mugowski34413891
WAug 9 · 19:20K. Rudomina43911110123A. Mugowski44119311102
LJul 27 · 00:10K. Rudomina33511981A. Mugowski4211911113
LJul 26 · 21:45K. Rudomina48121061192A. Mugowski511012117113
LJun 26 · 05:15K. Rudomina3971151152A. Mugowski48117118113
WJun 26 · 03:00K. Rudomina48111196113A. Mugowski4375111192
WJun 11 · 15:25K. Rudomina3711114113A. Mugowski31861161
K. Rudomina10
LSep 25 · 22:05K. Staszczyk1.501111123K. Rudomina2.5048100LSep 25 · 20:05K. Rudomina3.255880T. Filbrandt1.331111113WSep 25 · 18:50K. Rudomina1.731113108113R. Malinowski2.00911121192WSep 25 · 17:20K. Rudomina1.83711117113B. Sulkowski1.8311881162LSep 25 · 16:05K. Rudomina2.634850K. Staszczyk1.441111113LSep 24 · 23:20B. Sulkowski1.6111117113K. Rudomina2.20691171WSep 24 · 22:35K. Staszczyk1.443111111112K. Rudomina2.63112913133LSep 24 · 22:10K. Rudomina2.1010111051D. Solilo1.6712812113WSep 24 · 21:00K. Klocek2.107960K. Rudomina1.671111113WSep 24 · 20:30K. Rudomina1.801111113B. Sulkowski1.918790
A. Mugowski10
WSep 25 · 22:30A. Mugowski1.83111189113R. Malinowski1.8388111162LSep 25 · 20:30A. Mugowski3.756680K. Staszczyk1.251111113LSep 25 · 19:15T. Filbrandt1.36111111113A. Mugowski3.00991381LSep 25 · 18:05R. Malinowski1.6791111113A. Mugowski2.10116581LSep 25 · 16:30B. Sulkowski1.7391111113A. Mugowski2.00114761LSep 24 · 13:55W. Iwasyszyn2.301111113A. Mugowski1.559990LSep 24 · 13:05B. Czerwinski1.601111113A. Mugowski2.159890LSep 24 · 12:15A. Mugowski2.1581181162F. Krcil1.60119116113LSep 24 · 10:35A. Mugowski5.75814512102K. Wisniewski1.1211121110123WSep 24 · 09:50R. Stapor1.851011116112A. Mugowski1.80128711133
Upcoming Matches
K. Rudomina
A. Mugowski
Sep 26 · 00:20A. Mugowski2.10K. Rudomina1.67—Sep 26 · 01:10A. Mugowski3.75K. Staszczyk1.25—Sep 26 · 15:25A. Mugowski—D. Poloszczanski——Sep 26 · 16:55A. Mugowski—J. Glanowski——Sep 26 · 18:10A. Mugowski—T. Filbrandt——Sep 26 · 19:20A. Mugowski—K. Guminski——Sep 26 · 20:30A. Mugowski—D. Kotwica——Sep 26 · 21:30A. Mugowski—J. Glanowski——Sep 26 · 21:55A. Mugowski—K. Rudomina——Sep 26 · 23:20A. Mugowski—D. Kotwica——
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