TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Maksymilian Miastowski vs Krystian Kolodziej 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
11712101210––––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:31 and never touched — 55.9% is still 55.9%
Graded at full timeMaksymilian Miastowski to win
55.9%
55.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaksymilian Miastowski above · Krystian Kolodziej below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 62 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Maksymilian Miastowski at 55.9%
62 points played in total.
H2H Maksymilian Miastowski 9–9 Krystian Kolodziej Dead even across their 18 meetings.
Last 10 · 7–3Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:31What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Miastowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-9 in 18
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Miastowski 1879 vs Kolodziej 1766
Miastowski
Correct
both rated, 113 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Miastowski 40% vs Kolodziej 20%
Miastowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Miastowski 40% vs Kolodziej 20%
Miastowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Miastowski +2 · Kolodziej -4
Kolodziej
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Miastowski) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolodziej form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMiastowski 1.67 / Kolodziej 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Miastowski)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13188368
Miastowski1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 106 of 183
Up 2–0, closes it94% 45 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it78% 74 of 95
Kolodziej2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog32% won 65 of 203
Down 0–1, comes back15% 17 of 114
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMiastowski7wins
AwayKolodziej3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMiastowski leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMiastowskin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKolodziej37.5%3 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Miastowski2Kolodziej8n = 10Kolodziej took 8 of 10
S2Miastowski6Kolodziej4n = 10Miastowski took 6 of 10
S3Miastowski8Kolodziej2n = 10Miastowski took 8 of 10
S4Miastowski5Kolodziej2n = 7Miastowski took 5 of 7
S5Miastowski2Kolodziej1n = 3Miastowski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMiastowskiKolodziejM − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match37.135.9+1.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMiastowskiKolodziejBasisWin rate · lifetime577 / 1109 vs 1273 / 189352%67.3%577 / 1109 vs 1273 / 1893Avg sets wonper match2.12.4per matchAvg pointsper match39.538.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MiastowskiMiastowski 1.67/Kolodziej 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59%
Miastowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Miastowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 3 · 17:00M. Miastowski3911311143K. Kolodziej388117121
WJun 2 · 19:00M. Miastowski44101112113K. Kolodziej371271081
WJun 1 · 15:55M. Miastowski4071111113K. Kolodziej32118581
LMay 12 · 20:10M. Miastowski248790K. Kolodziej331111113
WMay 11 · 20:35M. Miastowski4691111153K. Kolodziej411198131
WMar 11 · 18:00M. Miastowski331111113K. Kolodziej141490
WMar 9 · 21:35M. Miastowski46511118113K. Kolodziej3911561162
LAug 14 · 01:30M. Miastowski197840K. Kolodziej331111113
LAug 13 · 23:00M. Miastowski42101111552K. Kolodziej49128711113
WAug 13 · 16:40M. Miastowski38231111113K. Kolodziej4311117862
M. Miastowski10
WSep 25 · 07:45M. Miastowski2.25414411113M. Jadczyk1.57111211342WSep 25 · 06:30M. Miastowski1.731111113J. Kuzmicz2.009780LSep 25 · 05:15M. Miastowski2.25411261A. Abbasi1.5711811113LSep 25 · 04:10K. Wloczko1.91111011113M. Miastowski1.80912971LSep 25 · 03:25M. Miastowski2.6381170P. David1.441113113WSep 16 · 13:45M. Miastowski2.00791111113M. Jadczyk1.7311119562LSep 16 · 12:30M. Miastowski3.0051191362P. David1.361171111113LSep 16 · 11:15M. Miastowski1.8011841192J. Kuzmicz1.91911119113LSep 16 · 10:00G. Felkel1.44111197113M. Miastowski2.6395111172WSep 16 · 09:20M. Miastowski1.671112113K. Wloczko2.1071080
K. Kolodziej10
LSep 24 · 14:35P. David1.308111011113K. Kolodziej3.4011412782LSep 24 · 13:20K. Kolodziej2.504111161J. Zandecki1.5011138113LSep 24 · 12:05A. Grela1.4411118113K. Kolodziej2.63991151LSep 24 · 10:50S. Kolasa1.6711117123K. Kolodziej2.105911101WSep 24 · 09:20A. Daniel2.10109111162K. Kolodziej1.67121146113LSep 23 · 14:10J. Zandecki1.53118119113K. Kolodziej2.3841171132WSep 23 · 13:20S. Kolasa1.7351111632K. Kolodziej2.00115911113LSep 23 · 11:15J. Kosowski1.3331111113K. Kolodziej3.25117661LSep 23 · 10:25K. Strowski2.10111175113K. Kolodziej1.6739111182LSep 23 · 09:00A. Grela1.44111112113K. Kolodziej2.63431481
Upcoming Matches
M. Miastowski
K. Kolodziej
Sep 25 · 11:40K. Kolodziej2.63M. Jadczyk1.44—Sep 25 · 12:30K. Kolodziej1.61K. Wloczko2.20—Sep 25 · 14:35K. Kolodziej1.83J. Kuzmicz1.83—Sep 25 · 15:25K. Kolodziej3.00P. David1.36—Sep 26 · 09:20K. Kolodziej—G. Adamiak——Sep 26 · 10:50K. Kolodziej—A. Abbasi——Sep 26 · 12:05K. Kolodziej—M. Miastowski——Sep 26 · 13:20K. Kolodziej—K. Petas——Sep 26 · 14:35K. Kolodziej—T. Spanik——
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