TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Krzysztof Wloczko vs Maksymilian Miastowski 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1191012119117––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:41 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMaksymilian Miastowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKrzysztof Wloczko above · Maksymilian Miastowski below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 80 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Maksymilian Miastowski at 54.0%
80 points played in total.
H2H Krzysztof Wloczko 30–38 Maksymilian Miastowski Krzysztof Wloczko has won 30 of their 68 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:41What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Miastowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-38 in 68
Miastowski
Wrong
gap of 8 in 68, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wloczko 1825 vs Miastowski 1863
Miastowski
Wrong
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wloczko 60% vs Miastowski 20%
Wloczko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wloczko 50% vs Miastowski 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wloczko -1 · Miastowski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Miastowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Miastowski form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWloczko 1.91 / Miastowski 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Miastowski)+2.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13188881
Wloczko1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog38% won 141 of 368
Down 0–1, comes back17% 35 of 203
Down 0–2, comes back7% 8 of 120
Miastowski1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 106 of 182
Up 2–0, closes it94% 45 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it78% 74 of 95
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWloczko5wins
AwayMiastowski5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWloczko80%4 of 5
AwayMiastowski80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wloczko5Miastowski5n = 10split evenly
S2Wloczko3Miastowski7n = 10Miastowski took 7 of 10
S3Wloczko5Miastowski5n = 10split evenly
S4Wloczko5Miastowski3n = 8Wloczko took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricWloczkoMiastowskiW − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.837.7−0.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWloczkoMiastowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime941 / 1790 vs 575 / 110652.6%52%941 / 1790 vs 575 / 1106Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.439.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MiastowskiWloczko 1.91/Miastowski 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Miastowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Wloczko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 25 · 04:10K. Wloczko43111011113M. Miastowski37912971
LSep 16 · 09:20K. Wloczko2571080M. Miastowski341112113
WSep 16 · 04:10K. Wloczko3911116113M. Miastowski33681181
WSep 11 · 05:40K. Wloczko46116117113M. Miastowski3851131182
LSep 10 · 06:35K. Wloczko33911671M. Miastowski3911611113
WAug 23 · 07:20K. Wloczko3511112113M. Miastowski344111091
LAug 10 · 04:10K. Wloczko27121050M. Miastowski371412113
LJun 8 · 05:05K. Wloczko4515851162M. Miastowski531311117113
WMay 27 · 09:30K. Wloczko3851111113M. Miastowski27116461
LMay 26 · 14:25K. Wloczko3710512101M. Miastowski45121110123
K. Wloczko10
WSep 25 · 05:40K. Wloczko2.00118127113J. Kuzmicz1.73611101172LSep 25 · 03:00K. Wloczko3.2595110A. Abbasi1.331111133WSep 24 · 08:05G. Poliniewicz2.5041181152K. Wloczko1.45117117113WSep 24 · 07:15M. Rutkowski2.257660K. Wloczko1.551111113WSep 24 · 05:15J. Kwapis2.6810630K. Wloczko1.421211113LSep 24 · 04:25M. Malachowski1.56101111113K. Wloczko2.28128991WSep 24 · 03:00A. Daniel2.3551151162K. Wloczko1.52116118113LSep 23 · 08:05K. Wloczko1.807340D. Prokopcov1.901111113LSep 23 · 06:25K. Kapik3.4031211113K. Wloczko1.251110961LSep 23 · 05:35K. Strowski2.0511111111113K. Wloczko1.6613591352
M. Miastowski10
LSep 25 · 05:15M. Miastowski2.25411261A. Abbasi1.5711811113LSep 25 · 03:25M. Miastowski2.6381170P. David1.441113113WSep 16 · 13:45M. Miastowski2.00791111113M. Jadczyk1.7311119562LSep 16 · 12:30M. Miastowski3.0051191362P. David1.361171111113LSep 16 · 11:15M. Miastowski1.8011841192J. Kuzmicz1.91911119113LSep 16 · 10:00G. Felkel1.44111197113M. Miastowski2.6395111172WSep 16 · 09:20M. Miastowski1.671112113K. Wloczko2.1071080LSep 16 · 08:30M. Miastowski3.25411761P. David1.3311911113WSep 16 · 06:55M. Miastowski2.0012911123M. Jadczyk1.7310115101WSep 16 · 05:40M. Miastowski2.75111156113G. Felkel1.4086111182
Upcoming Matches
K. Wloczko
Sep 25 · 06:55K. Wloczko2.38M. Jadczyk1.53—Sep 25 · 08:30K. Wloczko3.50P. David1.28—Sep 25 · 10:25K. Wloczko1.83J. Kuzmicz1.83—Sep 25 · 11:15K. Wloczko2.10M. Miastowski1.67—Sep 25 · 12:30K. Wloczko2.20K. Kolodziej1.61—Sep 25 · 13:45K. Wloczko3.50P. David1.28—Sep 25 · 15:00K. Wloczko2.38M. Jadczyk1.53—
M. Miastowski
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