TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Mykyta Fomin vs Dmitriy Kim 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1210811611511––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:20 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeDmitriy Kim to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykyta Fomin above · Dmitriy Kim below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 74 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Dmitriy Kim at 61.7%
74 points played in total.
H2H Mykyta Fomin 16–37 Dmitriy Kim Mykyta Fomin has won 16 of their 53 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 23:20What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kim
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-37 in 53
Kim
Correct
gap of 21 in 53, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fomin 1439 vs Kim 1516
Kim
Correct
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fomin 40% vs Kim 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fomin 50% vs Kim 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Fomin +1 · Kim +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Kim) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kim form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFomin 2.20 / Kim 1.61
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Kim)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #13186727
Fomin2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog40% won 93 of 232
Down 0–1, comes back24% 29 of 122
Down 0–2, comes back12% 9 of 77
Kim1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 72 of 118
Up 2–0, closes it91% 31 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it77% 47 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFomin5wins
AwayKim5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFomin75%3 of 4
AwayKim66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fomin4Kim6n = 10Kim took 6 of 10
S2Fomin3Kim7n = 10Kim took 7 of 10
S3Fomin7Kim3n = 10Fomin took 7 of 10
S4Fomin5Kim4n = 9Fomin took 5 of 9
S5Fomin2Kim2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricFominKimF − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.240.4−1.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFominKimBasisWin rate · lifetime287 / 592 vs 493 / 101248.5%48.7%287 / 592 vs 493 / 1012Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KimFomin 2.20/Kim 1.61
Hit
What we said
59.7%
Kim · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kim won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 24 · 04:05M. Fomin4061112113D. Kim291151031
LSep 17 · 23:05M. Fomin48111249122D. Kim515101111143
LSep 14 · 20:25M. Fomin24361141D. Kim4111118113
LSep 11 · 24:35M. Fomin4081171132D. Kim44117114113
WSep 10 · 02:35M. Fomin47861111113D. Kim4811118992
LSep 8 · 03:35M. Fomin346101171D. Kim4311129113
WSep 3 · 23:05M. Fomin52146119123D. Kim531211911102
WSep 3 · 24:35M. Fomin4211811123D. Kim349114101
LSep 1 · 03:35M. Fomin257990D. Kim331111113
WAug 30 · 21:35M. Fomin4011711113D. Kim28111971
M. Fomin10
WSep 25 · 01:35M. Fomin1.8311713113D. Rehotun1.834111171LSep 25 · 24:05M. Fomin2.1011118532M. Skliar1.67551111113LSep 24 · 22:35M. Fomin1.61413651D. Us2.20111111113LSep 24 · 21:05M. Fomin1.7348160A. Peretiatko2.001111183WSep 24 · 04:05M. Fomin2.2061112113D. Kim1.611151031WSep 24 · 02:05A. Peretiatko1.911261181M. Fomin1.80101113113LSep 24 · 24:05Y. Sokoltsov1.441111113M. Fomin2.638880WSep 23 · 23:05M. Fomin1.579101212113D. Us2.251112101082LSep 23 · 22:05M. Skliar1.911111113M. Fomin1.807820WSep 21 · 20:25D. Rehotun1.8011511152M. Fomin1.91711116113
D. Kim10
WSep 25 · 02:05D. Kim1.731114113M. Skliar2.0091250WSep 25 · 01:05D. Kim2.201314113A. Peretiatko1.61111250LSep 24 · 23:35D. Kim1.7310101111112D. Rehotun2.00121297133LSep 24 · 21:35D. Kim1.6111810141D. Us2.2051112163LSep 24 · 04:05M. Fomin2.2061112113D. Kim1.611151031LSep 24 · 02:35D. Kim1.671111761D. Us2.1013511113LSep 24 · 24:35M. Skliar2.381613113D. Kim1.53141160WSep 23 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov1.7331171192D. Kim2.00113113113WSep 23 · 21:35A. Peretiatko1.614860D. Kim2.201111113LSep 22 · 04:05S. Khandetskyi2.381361011113D. Kim1.53111112562
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